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Bulgaria
First League
Round 6

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction & Betting Tips

22 Aug 2026
6 - 0
Full Time
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

75%
16%
9%
Levski Sofia Draw Spartak Varna
Match Result
Levski Sofia
75%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
No
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
45%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

When Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna meet at the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov on Saturday, August 22, 2026, at 18:15 local time, both clubs will have their sights firmly set on strengthening their positions in the First League playoff race. The gap between fourth and fifth place amounts to just fiv...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

6
2 Draws
0
3.75 Avg Goals
50% BTTS
75% Over 2.5
22 Aug 2026 Levski Sofia 6-0 Spartak Varna
7 Dec 2025 Spartak Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia
10 Aug 2025 Levski Sofia 2-1 Spartak Varna
21 Feb 2025 Levski Sofia 2-0 Spartak Varna
31 Aug 2024 Spartak Varna 0-0 Levski Sofia
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna Enter Pivotal Matchday 6 Encounter with Playoff Spots in Sight

When Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna meet at the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov on Saturday, August 22, 2026, at 18:15 local time, both clubs will have their sights firmly set on strengthening their positions in the First League playoff race. The gap between fourth and fifth place amounts to just five points, yet the trajectory of each side heading into this Matchday 6 fixture tells strikingly different stories. Levski Sofia arrive with a perfect four wins from four outings, while Spartak Varna have accumulated seven points from a more uneven sequence of results that includes two victories but also a defeat and a draw.

The betting markets have reacted accordingly to this form disparity. Bet365 price Levski Sofia at 1.22 to claim all three points, with the draw available at 5.25 and Spartak Varna considered clear outsiders at 12.00. Those odds reflect not merely the gap in the current standings but also the convincing nature of Levski's recent performances, which have yielded four consecutive victories across all competitions. Spartak Varna, by contrast, have managed just one win in their last three league outings, a sequence that leaves them with work to do if they are to keep pace with the division's leading pack.

With both clubs having enjoyed extended breaks since their previous fixtures, freshness should not be a limiting factor under the Sofia lights. The real question centers on which version of each team emerges when the stakes are highest. Levski Sofia have demonstrated their title credentials through ruthless efficiency in front of goal, while Spartak Varna must find a way to translate their potential into points against opponents who have shown no signs of relinquishing their grip on the upper reaches of the table.

Levski Sofia's Unbeaten Run Meets Spartak Varna's Resurgent Away Form

Levski Sofia head into Matchday 6 with their perfect league record intact, having collected four consecutive victories to sit fourth in the First League standings. Their recent form of WWWWD reflects a side that has discovered both defensive solidity and clinical attacking efficiency. The 3-0 home victory against Septemvri Sofia demonstrated their ability to dominate domestic opponents, while tighter wins such as the 1-0 away success against Kairat Almaty and the 2-0 triumph over Lokomotiv Plovdiv at the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov show they can grind out results when needed. Their only setback came in a 2-2 draw away to Universitatea Craiova, a match that ended their sequence of clean sheets but also highlighted their capacity to fight back from difficult situations.

The numerical profile for the Sofia side is formidable. With an average of 1.9 goals scored per game and a miserly 0.5 conceded, they possess the league's most impressive goal difference outside of the top positions. Sixty percent clean sheet frequency underscores a defensive organisation that opponents struggle to breach, and with only two goals shipped across ten matches, goalkeeper composure has been a consistent feature. The 40% both teams to score ratio suggests they are more than capable of keeping opponents at bay, making them a difficult proposition for any side visiting Sofia this season.

Spartak Varna arrive in fifth place with seven points from their opening fixtures, a record built on three wins from six matches. Their form sequence of LWWDW reveals a side that has responded well to adversity, notably recovering from a 2-3 defeat away to Botev Plovdiv with three victories in their subsequent four fixtures. The wins include impressive away results such as the 3-0 victory against Cherno More Varna, demonstrating they can perform on their travels, alongside home successes against Lokomotiv Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The 2-2 draw against CSKA 1948 represents a positive point against competitive opposition.

While Spartak Varna average 1.7 goals per game and show encouraging signs in attack, their defensive record presents vulnerabilities that Levski Sofia will look to exploit. The average of one goal conceded per game, combined with a 40% clean sheet rate, indicates moments of fragility that have cost them points. Their 50% both teams to score percentage reflects a tendency to both score and concede in the same match, a pattern that could prove problematic against a Levski side averaging almost two goals per game. The form comparison of 63% versus 37% heavily favours the home side, though Spartak Varna's recent away win against Cherno More Varna proves they are capable of securing positive results on their travels when at their best.

Contrasting Philosophies Collide at the Vivacom Arena

The encounter at the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov pitches together two clubs with markedly different trajectories this season. Levski Sofia sit comfortably in fourth place with a perfect four wins from four outings, accumulating 12 points and establishing themselves as genuine contenders in the playoff race. Spartak Varna, occupying fifth position with 7 points from two victories, one draw, and a single defeat, arrive in the capital with considerably more to prove. The odds from Bet365 heavily favour the home side at 1.22 for a Levski win, with the draw priced at 5.25 and Spartak Varna considered extreme outsiders at 12, reflecting the gulf in current form between these two sides.

Tactically, the contrast could hardly be starker. Levski Sofia's unbeaten start, underpinned by a recent run of four consecutive victories, suggests a side that has found a coherent identity under their current approach. The numerical data showing zero goals conceded speaks to an exceptionally well-organised defensive structure, likely built around a compact midfield that denies opponents space in dangerous areas. Spartak Varna's form of L-W-W-D indicates inconsistency, with their solitary defeat suggesting vulnerability when facing sides capable of imposing sustained pressure. They will need to show greater defensive solidity than their recent results imply if they are to frustrate a Levski outfit that has demonstrated they can grind out victories regardless of circumstances.

Both teams approach this Matchday 6 fixture with playoff ambitions firmly in focus, and the 12-day rest period both sides have enjoyed should ensure freshness if not necessarily sharpness. For Levski Sofia, maintaining their winning mentality while managing the expectations that accompany their status as heavy favourites will be the tactical challenge. Spartak Varna, by contrast, may adopt a more conservative shape, looking to absorb pressure and exploit spaces behind the home side's attacking full-backs. The outcome likely hinges on whether Levski can break down a potentially deep-lying Varna block, or whether the visitors can spring an upset through clinical efficiency on the counter-attack. Kickoff is at 19:15 BST on Saturday.

Levski Sofia Dominate Recent Meetings With Spartak Varna

The head-to-head record between these sides makes for grim reading for Spartak Varna supporters. Across the last seven meetings, Levski Sofia have claimed victory on five occasions, with the remaining two encounters ending in draws. Spartak Varna have never tasted success in this fixture during this sample, a sequence that underlines the significant disparity between the clubs in recent times. The Bulgarian capital side have built a psychological edge over their opponents, one that appears to compound with each subsequent encounter.

Goal trends offer plenty of appeal for attacking markets in this fixture. The average goal tally across these seven meetings stands at 3.43 per game, reflecting a consistent pattern of high-scoring affairs. Both teams have found the net in 57% of their recent clashes, with notable examples including the 2-2 draw from November 2022 and the more recent 1-3 result in December 2025. Levski Sofia have shown particular ruthlessness on their visits to Varna, winning 3-1 on their most recent trip in the winter portion of the season.

Looking at the most recent meetings, Levski Sofia have won three consecutive fixtures against Spartak Varna without conceding defeat in any of their last five encounters. The most decisive victory came in February 2025 when Levski Sofia ran out 2-0 winners on home soil. A goalless draw in August 2024 represents Spartak Varna's closest result to a breakthrough during this period, though the general trajectory heavily favors the visitors heading into this matchup.

Levski Sofia Expected to Continue Unbeaten Run Against Spartak Varna

Levski Sofia enter this Matchday 6 fixture in excellent form, having secured four wins from four matches to accumulate 12 points and occupy fourth place in the First League standings. The Sofia-based side's perfect record contrasts sharply with Spartak Varna's more modest haul of seven points from their opening five matches, leaving them fifth in the table. The odds reflect this form disparity, with Levski Sofia installed as heavy 1.25 favourites (72.8% implied probability) at most bookmakers, while the draw trades at 4.8 and Spartak Varna's away victory is priced around 11 (8.3% implied probability). The Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov provides Levski with a significant home advantage that further reinforces their position as overwhelming favourites for this encounter.

Our primary prediction centres on a Levski Sofia victory, with 75% confidence supporting the home win. The gap in quality between the two squads, combined with Levski's flawless early-season form and Spartak Varna's single defeat already this campaign, makes the 1X2 home selection the most logical outcome. For punters seeking enhanced value, the best available home odds of 1.26 are on offer at Betano, marginally superior to the standard 1.25 available elsewhere. While this represents only a small edge, securing the best possible price remains sound staking strategy regardless of how short the favourite.

Looking at the goals markets, we anticipate over 2.5 goals occurring in this match with 55% confidence. Levski Sofia's attacking output has been reliable throughout their winning streak, though the 60% confidence rating for no goals to both teams suggests a tighter, more controlled contest than a high-scoring spectacle. Spartak Varna are likely to adopt a cautious approach, attempting to frustrate their opponents and limit scoring opportunities rather than engage in an open exchange. This tactical posture points toward a match where Levski Sofia control proceedings without necessarily producing a flood of goals.

For those exploring alternative markets, the double chance 1X presents the most conservative option, combining Levski Sofia's victory with the draw at 46% confidence. This selection minimises risk by covering two of the three possible outcomes, though the odds will be correspondingly compressed. The best draw odds of 5.75 available at Unibet stand out as potentially valuable should the match develop into a stalemate, while the best away odds of 13 at Unibet reflect the long-shot nature of a Spartak Varna triumph. Punters must weigh the substantial gap in form against the mathematical appeal of longer odds when constructing their betting strategy for this Matchday 6 encounter.

Alternative Betting Angles for the Sofia Clash

Beyond the standard match result, several alternative markets present intriguing opportunities for this Matchday 6 fixture. The Asian Handicap line of Levski Sofia -1.75 is available at odds of 1.92 with a 52% confidence rating from our model. This handicap acknowledges the hosts' attacking prowess while recognizing that Spartak Varna possesses enough quality to keep the margin respectable. The pricing suggests the market considers this line reasonably balanced, offering moderate value for those anticipating a comfortable home victory.

The half-time markets paint a clear narrative in favour of the home side. Levski Sofia leading at half-time sits at odds of 1.53 with 55% confidence, while the Half-Time/Full-Time combination of Home/Home extends to 1.67 with a stronger 60% confidence level. This combination suggests our model expects the hosts to establish early control and maintain their advantage throughout the ninety minutes. The most likely correct score projection comes in at 3:0 with odds of 5.50, though this carries lower confidence at 18% given the inherent difficulty in predicting exact margins.

For those seeking higher-confidence plays, the corners market offers the strongest signal in our data. Over 9.5 total corners is priced at 1.50 with 61% confidence, reflecting the expectation of an attacking, open contest with multiple set-piece opportunities. Individual player markets also warrant attention, with Juan Perea available at odds of 2.00 with 50% confidence to score anytime. This price combines reasonably with the 3:0 correct score projection for those looking to build accumulator selections around a dominant Levski Sofia performance.

Levski Sofia the Value Pick as Unbeaten Run Continues at Vivacom Arena

Spartak Varna travel to Sofia facing a stern test against a Levski Sofia side that has made a blistering start to the campaign. The hosts sit joint-top of the table with four wins from four, while their visitors arrive with a respectable but modest record of two victories from four outings. The form guide strongly favours Levski Sofia here, and the 75% confidence rating on a home win reflects that superiority.

For bettors seeking value, backing the home side on the double chance market at 1X provides a safety net should Spartak Varna manage a draw. However, our analysis leans toward a straightforward home victory with under 3.5 goals likely, given Spartak Varna's struggles in front of goal this season. The clean sheet angle also warrants attention, with Levski Sofia's defensive record suggesting Spartak Varna may find chances hard to come by at the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.

Our #1 PickNoBoth Teams to Score@1.53 · 60%
Best ValueOver 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.71 · 55%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our model predicts Levski Sofia with 75% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (57% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Both teams to score: No (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 45% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Juan Perea is our pick to find the net.
When and where is Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna played?
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna takes place on 22 Aug 2026 at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21 4 +17 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24 7 +17 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16 7 +9 23
4 CSKA 1948 10 7 1 2 19 10 +9 22
5 Arda Kardzhali 10 5 2 3 15 12 +3 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9 8 +1 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9 19 -10 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8 18 -10 8
11 Lokomotiv Sofia 10 1 4 5 11 18 -7 7
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5 13 -8 7
13 Cherno More Varna 10 1 3 6 11 20 -9 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10 19 -9 5
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Levski Sofia
LDWWW
10Played
6Wins
2Draws
2Losses
Points/Game2
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

17 SepLvs Red Bull Salzburg0-1
13 SepDat Botev Vratsa0-0
5 SepWvs CSKA 19481-0
2 SepWat Slavia Sofia2-1
30 AugWat Botev Plovdiv3-1
Spartak Varna
LDDDL
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

20 SepLvs Lokomotiv Sofia0-1
13 SepDat Slavia Sofia0-0
5 SepDvs CSKA Sofia1-1
30 AugDvs Ludogorets1-1
22 AugLat Levski Sofia0-6

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches8
Average Goals3.75
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals88%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Levski Sofia253.13 per game
Spartak Varna50.63 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Levski Sofia4 (50%)
Spartak Varna1 (13%)
22 Aug 2026 First League Levski Sofia 6-0 Spartak Varna
7 Dec 2025 First League Spartak Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia
10 Aug 2025 First League Levski Sofia 2-1 Spartak Varna
21 Feb 2025 First League Levski Sofia 2-0 Spartak Varna
31 Aug 2024 First League Spartak Varna 0-0 Levski Sofia
6 Nov 2022 First League Spartak Varna 2-2 Levski Sofia
16 Jul 2022 First League Levski Sofia 5-0 Spartak Varna
25 Sep 2019 Bulgarian Cup Spartak Varna 1-5 Levski Sofia

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