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Ireland
First Division
Round 33

Longford Town vs Cork City Prediction & Betting Tips

26 Sep 2026
2 - 1
Full Time
Bishopsgate, Longford
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Over 2.5
2 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

24%
23%
54%
Longford Town Draw Cork City
Match Result
Cork City
54%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams Score
Yes
61%
Double Chance
Home/Away
39%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

The gulf in class between the top and middle reaches of the Irish First Division standings takes centre stage this Saturday as Cork City make the journey to Bishopsgate to face Longford Town. With the league leaders having accumulated 71 points through 32 games compared to Longford's 44, the visitor...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

2
3 Draws
7
3.33 Avg Goals
67% BTTS
58% Over 2.5
26 Sep 2026 Longford Town 2-1 Cork City
10 Jul 2026 Cork City 3-4 Longford Town
16 May 2026 Longford Town 0-2 Cork City
13 Mar 2026 Cork City 2-1 Longford Town
30 Aug 2024 Cork City 3-2 Longford Town
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Cork City Travel to Longford for First Division Showdown

The gulf in class between the top and middle reaches of the Irish First Division standings takes centre stage this Saturday as Cork City make the journey to Bishopsgate to face Longford Town. With the league leaders having accumulated 71 points through 32 games compared to Longford's 44, the visitors arrive as heavy favourites against a side sitting fifth in the table. Kickoff is scheduled for 19:30 BST.

Cork City have been in imperious form this campaign, securing 22 victories and suffering just five defeats across the season. Their recent sequence of results, recorded as WLDWD, suggests a side that continues to pick up points even when not at their clinical best. Longford, meanwhile, head into this Matchday 33 fixture having recorded WLLDW in their recent outings, a pattern that highlights inconsistency that has prevented them from mounting a serious push toward the upper reaches of the division.

With both sides having enjoyed an eight-day break from competitive action, fatigue will not be a factor in this contest. The extended preparation time may particularly benefit Longford, who will look to sharpen their defensive structure against a Cork attack that has regularly found the net throughout the season. For Cork, maintaining their winning momentum remains the priority as they continue their pursuit of what appears to be a dominant campaign.

Cork City's Recent Dominance Over Longford Town in Meetings Between the Sides

Cork City have established a clear upper hand in recent encounters with Longford Town, winning seven of the last eleven meetings between the clubs across all competitions. Longford Town have managed just a single victory in that span, with three additional meetings ending in stalemates. The most recent clash came in July 2026, where Longford Town claimed a notable 4-3 victory at Cork City's ground, breaking a sequence of results that had heavily favoured the hosts. However, Cork City responded with wins in both the May and March fixtures of 2026, suggesting the result was an exception rather than a shift in the balance of power.

The goal statistics paint a picture of consistently high-scoring affairs. The average goals per meeting stands at 3.36, indicating that clashes between these two sides typically produce plenty of goalmouth action. The both teams to score market has landed in 64 percent of their recent encounters, underlining the attacking intent on both sides and the defensive vulnerabilities that tend to surface when they meet. Of the five most recent fixtures documented, only one finished with one team failing to find the net, with that particular meeting ending 2-0 in Cork City's favour.

Longford Town's solitary win in the last eleven meetings demonstrates the scale of their task when facing this particular opponent. Their July 2026 triumph provided a rare bright spot, but the broader pattern remains one of Cork City control. With the average goals tally sitting above three per game and the both teams to score record above sixty percent, this fixture historically promises entertainment regardless of which side ultimately claims the three points.

Cork City Ride Scoring Wave but Defensive Questions Linger Ahead of Longford Test

Cork City arrive at Bishopsgate sitting comfortably atop the First Division with 71 points, and their recent form tells a story of a side that knows how to find the net. A thumping 5-1 victory over UCD showcased their attacking capabilities, while a 2-0 win against Wexford demonstrated they can control matches when at their best. However, results have not been entirely straightforward. A narrow 2-3 defeat to Cobh Ramblers and a 2-2 draw away to Treaty United highlight moments where the league leaders have struggled to close out proceedings. Their WLDWD sequence over the last five matches suggests a team that remains dangerous but not entirely bulletproof heading into this fixture against a Longford side hungry to climb the table.

The contrast in attacking output between the two sides is striking. Cork City average 2.6 goals per match across their last ten games, a figure that underlines their status as the division's most prolific attack. Their ability to score in abundance is reflected in an 80% BTTS rate, meaning the vast majority of their matches feature goals at both ends. Longford, by comparison, average 1.9 goals per match, a respectable figure that puts them firmly in competitive territory. Their 4-2 win against Bray Wanderers illustrated their ceiling when everything clicks, though that result sits alongside some frustrating blanks, including back-to-back losses to Treaty United and Kerry where they managed zero goals.

Defensively, both teams enter this encounter with reasons for concern. Cork City concede an average of 1.9 goals per match and have kept clean sheets in just 20% of their recent outings, a record that sits uneasily alongside their impressive scoring rate. Longford fare slightly better on paper, conceding 1.4 goals per match on average with clean sheets in 30% of their last ten games, yet their recent results tell a more turbulent story. The 4-2 loss to Bray Wanderers and a 2-2 draw away to Cobh Ramblers indicate that defensive solidity remains inconsistent, particularly when facing opponents who can sustain pressure.

With the comparison metrics favouring Cork City marginally in overall form at 53% against Longford's 47%, and Longford holding a slight edge in attacking metrics at 55%, this shapes as an open contest where both defences may struggle to contain their opposites. The data suggests Longford will find opportunities against a Cork backline that has proved vulnerable, while Cork's prolific strike rate poses a constant threat regardless of opponent. For bettors, the high-scoring patterns from both camps point toward a match where goals are likely at both ends, though Cork's superior firepower gives them the edge in a game that could swing either way if Longford manage to frustrate their visitors early on.

Where the Match Could Be Won and Lost in Longford

The division's runaway leaders Cork City travel to Bishopsgate sitting 27 points clear of Longford Town in the standings, and that gap tells much of the story heading into Matchday 33. Cork's tally of 22 wins from 32 outings reflects a side built around controlled possession and relentless pressure in the final third, while Longford's more modest 44 points from a similar number of games points to a squad that has struggled to convert dominance into results as consistently. The visitors' recent sequence of WLDWD suggests some loosening in their grip at the top, but their underlying numbers still mark them as the side most likely to control the tempo and territorial battle across the pitch.

Longford enter this fixture with recent form reading WLLDW, a pattern that highlights vulnerability in consecutive fixtures but also a capacity to react positively after defeats. Without specific formation data available, the focus shifts to how each side is likely to position themselves relative to the ball. Cork's superior league position and points tally suggest a team comfortable dictating proceedings from midfield outward, using width and overlapping runs to stretch opposing defensive units. Longford, by contrast, may look to compress space in central areas and hit on transitions, forcing Cork to break down a disciplined low block if the visitors arrive in a patient, possession-heavy mood.

The eight-day gap both clubs enjoy since their last outings levels the physical landscape somewhat, though Cork's greater quality in depth could tell as the match wears on if fatigue becomes a factor. The tactical key for Longford lies in disrupting Cork's rhythm early and forcing turnovers in dangerous positions, while Cork must avoid complacency and convert territorial advantage into clear-cut chances. The gap in class is evident on paper, but Longford's occasional spark of quality means they cannot be dismissed entirely if the tactical approach is sound and the home side manage to execute their plan effectively for the full 90 minutes.

Cork City Tipped to Continue Title Charge at Longford Town's Expense

The gulf in class between these two sides becomes immediately apparent when examining the league table. Cork City occupy top spot with an imposing 71 points from their 32 fixtures, recording 22 wins and suffering just five defeats. Longford Town sit fifth on 44 points, with their record of 12 wins, eight draws and 12 losses painting the picture of a mid-table outfit lacking consistency. The visitors have been particularly dominant away from home, and the match odds reflect this imbalance. Pinnacle offers the best price for a Cork City victory at 1.68, while those fancying a home upset can find Longford at 4.39 with the same bookmaker.

The match result prediction backing Cork City at 56% confidence stems from more than just league positions. The visitors' superior firepower has been evident throughout the campaign, and their ability to break down well-organised defensive units separates them from the chasing pack. Longford's home record shows 12 wins from their 16 matches at Bishopsgate, suggesting they are competitive on their own patch, but Cork City's haul of 71 points indicates they perform consistently regardless of venue. The implied probability from the away odds sits at 54.1%, making City the clear favourites in this fixture.

Both the Over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes selections carry 58% confidence, and the underlying data supports these picks. Longford have shipped 43 goals this season, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that a side of Cork City's quality can exploit. The hosts' forward play has also been productive enough to trouble most opponents, suggesting they are capable of finding the net even in defeat. With City pushing hard to maintain their title advantage in the closing stages of the season, expect an attacking mindset from the visitors that could contribute to an open contest. The BTTS market at generous odds represents particular value given the respective defensive and offensive characteristics on display.

For those seeking additional security, the Double Chance X2 option carries 39% confidence and covers both a Cork City win and a draw. This market provides a cushion against the possibility of Longford securing a surprise result, though the odds will naturally be lower. Pinnacle stands out as the recommended bookmaker for most markets in this fixture, offering the most competitive prices across all three outcomes. Punters should consider combining the Double Chance with the Over 2.5 goals market for enhanced returns, as Cork City winning while both teams score satisfies both conditions simultaneously.

Cork City Dominance Extends to Secondary Markets

The Asian Handicap market presents the strongest case for a Cork City victory, with the side giving just a quarter-goal start at odds of 1.20 with 83% confidence. Given Cork City's commanding position at the summit of the First Division table with 71 points from 27 matches, the visitors carry the overwhelming favourite status. Longford Town occupy fifth place on 44 points and face a significant challenge to contain a side that has accumulated 22 wins this season. The 83% confidence rating signals substantial data alignment supporting Cork's ability to cover this modest handicap, reflecting their superior scoring capability against opponents lower in the division.

For those seeking higher returns, the Correct Score market points toward a 1-2 Cork City win at odds of 6.50 with 15% confidence. While this represents the most probable individual scoreline, the relatively modest confidence figure indicates meaningful uncertainty. The HT/FT market similarly favours Cork City in both halves, though specific odds for that market remain unavailable in the current dataset. When examining Corners and Cards markets, the data does not provide specific figures, though Cork City's attacking dominance suggests they may accumulate corner kick advantages and that Longford Town could face disciplinary pressure when defending persistent visitor attacks.

Cork City Firm Favourites as Longford Look to Spring Surprise

Cork City arrive at Bishopsgate holding a commanding 27-point advantage over Longford Town in the First Division standings, with the visitors having collected 22 wins compared to just 12 for their opponents. The league leaders' superior goal difference and consistent form suggest they hold a significant edge, though Longford's solid home record provides them with a fighting chance. The statistics point toward an entertaining encounter, with both teams showing enough attacking quality to breach the opponent's defence throughout the campaign.

Our analysis favours Cork City to take all three points, backed by the Over 2.5 goals market and Both Teams To Score at 58% confidence each, indicating an open game with goals at both ends. For those seeking a safety net, the Double Chance X2 provides a lower-risk alternative covering either a Cork win or draw. The recommended primary selection remains the away victory given Cork City's dominance throughout the season and their clinical finishing ability on the road.

Our #1 PickOver 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.57 · 58%
Best ValueYesBoth Teams to Score@1.57 · 58%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Longford Town vs Cork City?
Our model predicts Cork City with 54% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Longford Town vs Cork City have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (61% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Cork City?
Both teams to score: Yes (61% confidence).
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Longford Town vs Cork City?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 39% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Longford Town vs Cork City played?
Longford Town vs Cork City takes place on 26 Sep 2026 at Bishopsgate.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Cork City 36 23 6 7 74 35 +39 75
2 UCD 36 16 8 12 67 51 +16 56
3 Bray Wanderers 36 15 9 12 67 53 +14 54
4 Kerry FC 36 14 10 12 45 41 +4 52
5 Longford Town 36 14 10 12 49 46 +3 52
6 Cobh Ramblers 36 14 7 15 46 54 -8 49
7 Athlone Town 36 13 9 14 42 43 -1 48
8 Wexford 36 11 9 16 44 58 -14 42
9 Treaty United 36 11 9 16 37 53 -16 42
10 Finn Harps 36 7 7 22 33 70 -37 28
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Longford Town
LLWDD
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

27 OctLat UCD0-2
24 OctLvs UCD0-2
16 OctWvs Athlone Town1-0
9 OctDat UCD1-1
2 OctDat Wexford3-3
Cork City
DWLLW
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.3
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

16 OctDat Kerry1-1
9 OctWvs Finn Harps2-0
2 OctLat Athlone Town1-2
26 SepLat Longford Town1-2
18 SepWvs UCD5-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches12
Average Goals3.33
BTTS67%
Over 2.5 Goals58%
Over 1.5 Goals92%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Longford Town141.17 per game
Cork City262.17 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Longford Town1 (8%)
Cork City4 (33%)
26 Sep 2026 First Division Longford Town 2-1 Cork City
10 Jul 2026 First Division Cork City 3-4 Longford Town
16 May 2026 First Division Longford Town 0-2 Cork City
13 Mar 2026 First Division Cork City 2-1 Longford Town
30 Aug 2024 First Division Cork City 3-2 Longford Town
7 Jun 2024 First Division Cork City 2-0 Longford Town
20 Apr 2024 First Division Longford Town 1-4 Cork City
9 Mar 2024 First Division Longford Town 0-2 Cork City
2 Sep 2022 First Division Cork City 2-2 Longford Town
18 Jun 2022 First Division Longford Town 1-1 Cork City
29 Apr 2022 First Division Cork City 4-1 Longford Town
5 Mar 2022 First Division Longford Town 0-0 Cork City

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