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Kenya
Super League
Round 24

Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Mar 2026
0 - 1
Full Time
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Mwatate United Draw Kisumu All Stars
Match Result
Mwatate United
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
4 min read

In the heart of Kenya's bustling Super League, two underdogs are set to collide in a match that could potentially shake up the lower half of the table. Mwatate United and Kisumu All Stars meet on Saturday, March 14, 2026, in a contest that will surely captivate the attention of fans and analysts ali...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Mwatate United
Mwatate United failed to score in 18 of 35 matches (51%)
Mwatate United have won just 1 of 17 away matches this season
Mwatate United have lost 9 of 18 home matches (50%)
Under 2.5 goals in 13 of Mwatate United's last 15 matches (87%)
Both teams scored in just 3 of Mwatate United's last 15 matches (20%)
Kisumu All Stars
Kisumu All Stars failed to score in 19 of 36 matches (53%)
Kisumu All Stars have won just 1 of 18 away matches this season
Under 2.5 goals in 13 of Kisumu All Stars's last 15 matches (87%)
Both teams scored in just 3 of Kisumu All Stars's last 15 matches (20%)

Key Statistics

1
3 Draws
2
1.67 Avg Goals
17% BTTS
17% Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026 Mwatate United 0-1 Kisumu All Stars
1 Feb 2026 Kisumu All Stars 0-0 Mwatate United
7 Jun 2023 Mwatate United 2-0 Kisumu All Stars
12 Feb 2023 Kisumu All Stars 5-0 Mwatate United
5 Jun 2022 Mwatate United 1-1 Kisumu All Stars
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars Super League Predictions

In the heart of Kenya's bustling Super League, two underdogs are set to collide in a match that could potentially shake up the lower half of the table. Mwatate United and Kisumu All Stars meet on Saturday, March 14, 2026, in a contest that will surely captivate the attention of fans and analysts alike. With both teams battling for survival in the league, the stakes couldn't be higher.

Recent Momentum

Mwatate United have shown flashes of resilience recently, though their form has been somewhat inconsistent. After a win against Kariobangi Sharks, they've struggled to replicate that success, picking up just one point from their last four matches. However, their defense has shown some promise, keeping clean sheets in three of their last five games. Kisumu All Stars, on the other hand, are currently experiencing a bit of a slump. They've lost four consecutive matches and have only managed to score one goal during this run. Despite this, they've managed to keep clean sheets in three of those games, indicating a strong defensive showing even amidst their offensive struggles.

Current State of Play

Looking at the broader picture, Mwatate United sit in 18th place in the Super League, with 18 points from 23 matches. Their average of 0.8 goals per game highlights their struggle to consistently break down opponents. Meanwhile, Kisumu All Stars, occupying 17th spot, have 21 points from the same number of matches, but have found the back of the net less frequently, averaging only 0.4 goals per game. Despite the slight difference in points, both sides are fighting for the same cause – staying in the league.

Tactical Preview

The tactical approach of both teams could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome. While specific formations aren't mentioned, we can infer that Mwatate United might opt for a more attacking setup given their recent defensive solidity. Kisumu All Stars, with their recent defensive performances, might look to capitalize on any lapses in Mwatate’s defense, possibly deploying a counter-attacking strategy. The forward lines of both teams will be crucial in breaking the deadlock and securing the three points.

Head-to-Head History

When these two sides met previously, the encounters have been tightly contested. In their last five meetings, Mwatate United won once, with three draws and one loss to Kisumu All Stars. The most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 draw, showcasing the parity between the teams. Given this trend, it’s safe to say that both teams are well-matched and neither has a significant edge in head-to-head matchups.

Betting Analysis

Let's dive into the betting markets and see where the value lies. The odds for a home win (Mwatate United) stand at 2.3, drawing at 3.1, and Kisumu All Stars winning at 3.2. These imply probabilities of approximately 43%, 32%, and 31% respectively, suggesting a slight edge for Mwatate United. However, considering their recent form, the value might lie in backing a draw or even Kisumu All Stars, given their potential to catch Mwatate off guard.

For the total goals market, the over 2.5 goals stands at 2.2, while under 2.5 is at 1.65. This translates to probabilities of 45% and 55% respectively. Given the recent head-to-head history and the form of the teams, a slightly higher probability for over 2.5 goals seems justified, especially considering the defensive struggles of Kisumu All Stars.

In terms of both teams scoring (BTTS), the odds are at 2.2 for yes and 1.6 for no. This implies probabilities of 45% and 55%. Given the recent trends and the potential for both teams to create chances, backing BTTS to happen feels like a solid bet.

Predictions

Based on our analysis, we predict a narrow victory for Mwatate United, but the match could go either way given the form and recent head-to-head results. Our confidence level for a Mwatate United win is 45%, while for a draw it’s 53% for over 2.5 goals, and 62% for both teams scoring. A double chance bet of Mwatate United or a draw (1X) offers a high probability at 90%.

Best Bets Summary

The best bets for this match are:

  • Match Result: Mwatate United or Draw (1X)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes

These bets encapsulate the current form and historical context of the teams, providing excellent value for the discerning bettor. As the clock ticks down to kick-off, it's clear that this match promises to be a thrilling encounter in the battle for Super League survival.

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Stay tuned for the action and enjoy the match!

Frequently Asked Questions

Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Mwatate United with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (53% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars?
Both teams to score: Yes (62% confidence).
When and where is Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars played?
Mwatate United vs Kisumu All Stars takes place on 14 Mar 2026.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Migori Youth 37 25 5 7 56 28 +28 80
2 3K 37 23 7 7 61 25 +36 76
3 Mombasa Elite 37 24 3 10 50 31 +19 75
4 Equity Bank 37 20 11 6 54 28 +26 71
5 MOFA 37 16 15 6 50 29 +21 63
6 Naivas 37 17 9 11 46 29 +17 60
7 Fortune Sacco 37 17 9 11 58 41 +17 60
8 Talanta 37 16 9 12 51 38 +13 57
9 Kibera Black Stars 37 15 8 14 32 32 0 53
10 Soy United 37 13 10 14 30 27 +3 49
11 Nzoia Sugar 37 11 14 12 36 36 0 47
12 Luanda Villa 37 12 7 18 30 50 -20 43
13 Gucha Stars 37 11 8 18 32 39 -7 41
14 Nairobi City Stars 37 9 12 16 32 41 -9 39
15 Kabati Youth FC 37 10 8 19 31 51 -20 38
16 Kisumu All Stars 37 9 9 19 22 47 -25 36
17 Darajani Gogo 37 9 8 20 24 48 -24 35
18 MCF 37 9 10 18 24 39 -15 34
19 Vihiga United FC 37 9 9 19 29 54 -25 30
20 Mwatate United 37 6 7 24 27 62 -35 25
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Mwatate United
LLLDD
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game1.4
Scored Avg0.5
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score70%

Recent Matches

28 MayLvs Naivas0-2
24 MayLvs Mombasa Elite0-1
17 MayLat Luanda Villa0-2
10 MayDvs Kibera Black Stars1-1
2 MayDat Fortune Sacco0-0
Kisumu All Stars
LLDWD
10Played
2Wins
5Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %20%
Goals/Game1.1
Scored Avg0.5
Conceded Avg0.6
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

7 JunLat Darajani Gogo1-2
1 JunLvs Migori Youth0-1
28 MayDat Soy United0-0
24 MayWvs MOFA1-0
17 MayDat Equity Bank0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches6
Average Goals1.67
BTTS17%
Over 2.5 Goals17%
Over 1.5 Goals50%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Mwatate United30.5 per game
Kisumu All Stars71.17 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Mwatate United3 (50%)
Kisumu All Stars4 (67%)
14 Mar 2026 Super League Mwatate United 0-1 Kisumu All Stars
1 Feb 2026 Super League Kisumu All Stars 0-0 Mwatate United
7 Jun 2023 Super League Mwatate United 2-0 Kisumu All Stars
12 Feb 2023 Super League Kisumu All Stars 5-0 Mwatate United
5 Jun 2022 Super League Mwatate United 1-1 Kisumu All Stars
12 Mar 2022 Super League Kisumu All Stars 0-0 Mwatate United

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