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Morocco
Botola Pro
Round 24

Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat Prediction & Betting Tips

Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Confidence

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Raja Casablanca Draw UTS Rabat
Match Result
Raja Casablanca
Bet
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
Bet
54%
Both Teams Score
No
Bet
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Bet
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

With 25 points separating them in the Botola Pro table, Raja Casablanca and UTS Rabat prepare to face one another at the iconic Stade Mohamed V on Sunday afternoon in a fixture that carries vastly different significance for each club. Raja currently occupy fifth position with 42 points, having colle...

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Match Facts

Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca have kept 14 clean sheets in 21 matches (67%)
Raja Casablanca have kept 8 clean sheets in 11 home games (73%)
Raja Casablanca have scored all 4 penalties this season
Raja Casablanca concede just 0.38 goals per game (8 in 21)
Under 2.5 goals in 13 of Raja Casablanca's last 15 matches (87%)
UTS Rabat
UTS Rabat have lost their last 3 league matches
UTS Rabat have received 7 red cards in 21 matches this season
UTS Rabat score 32% of their goals after the 75th minute (7 goals)
UTS Rabat average 3.7 yellow cards per game (78 in 21 matches)
UTS Rabat have lost 5 of 11 home matches (45%)
UTS Rabat have won just 2 of 10 away matches this season

Key Statistics

3
3 Draws
1
1.43 Avg Goals
43% BTTS
29% Over 2.5
25 Jan 2026 UTS Rabat 1-1 Raja Casablanca
4 May 2025 UTS Rabat 0-0 Raja Casablanca
19 Dec 2024 Raja Casablanca 2-1 UTS Rabat
17 Feb 2024 UTS Rabat 0-0 Raja Casablanca
24 Sep 2023 Raja Casablanca 1-0 UTS Rabat
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Raja Casablanca and UTS Rabat Meet at Opposite Ends of Botola Pro Standings

With 25 points separating them in the Botola Pro table, Raja Casablanca and UTS Rabat prepare to face one another at the iconic Stade Mohamed V on Sunday afternoon in a fixture that carries vastly different significance for each club. Raja currently occupy fifth position with 42 points, having collected twelve victories across their 22 league outings, while UTS Rabat languish in 14th place with just 17 points and a paltry two wins to their name this campaign. The gap between these two Casablanca-based sides reflects their divergent trajectories this season, and all three points at stake here will carry substantial weight in their respective missions.

Raja enter this encounter having established themselves as a consistent top-half performer in Morocco's premier division, with their tally of 42 points placing them within touching distance of continental qualification spots as the season reaches its decisive phase. UTS Rabat, by stark contrast, find themselves mired in a battle against the relegation zone, their eleven draws from 22 matches highlighting a troubling inability to convert competitive performances into victories. The pressure on the visitors to end a nine-match winless streak in league play will be immense, particularly given their status as one of only two clubs in the division with fewer than three victories all season.

The showdown takes place in the heart of Casablanca's footballing culture, where neighbours Wydad Casablanca continue their own push for a strong league finish following a recent positive result that has tightened the race near the top of the standings. For Raja, maintaining their upward momentum against lesser opponents represents a critical test of their top-six credentials, while UTS must discover a winning formula on the road if they are to pull clear of danger before the campaign concludes. The 15:00 kickoff at Stade Mohamed V will set the stage for a compelling encounter between ambition and survival.

Key Players and Team News

With limited scoring options available to both sides, the individual battles across the pitch could prove decisive in determining the outcome. Youssef Bammou stands as the primary attacking threat for UTS Rabat, having contributed both a goal and an assist in the league campaign so far. His ability to drop deep and link play while also making penetrating runs into the box will be essential if the visitors are to breach what is expected to be an organised Raja Casablanca defensive structure. Bammou's versatility allows him to operate effectively in tight spaces, and he may prove the difference-maker in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Raja Casablanca will need to neutralise Bammou's influence through disciplined marking and compact defensive shape. The home side's preparation likely centres on restricting the space available to UTS Rabat's key attacking outlet, forcing the visitors into speculative attempts from distance. Whether Raja can dominate midfield possession and create numerical advantages in dangerous areas will depend heavily on their own creative players stepping up, though specific lineup details remain unavailable at the time of publication.

Team news for both clubs appears limited heading into this fixture, with neither side announcing significant injury concerns or suspensions that would alter their tactical approach. The sparse attacking returns for both teams this season suggest caution from both managers, potentially resulting in a methodical approach rather than an expansive gameplan. Fantasy bettors and match analysts should monitor pre-match lineups closely upon release, as the relative inexperience of both squads on the offensive side makes any late inclusions or exclusions particularly impactful for betting markets.

Can Raja's Defensive Solidity Shutdown UTS's Late-Game Threat at the Stade Mohamed V?

Raja Casablanca will enter Sunday's encounter as the overwhelming favorites, and the underlying statistics fully justify that position. The club from the Ville Blanche sits fifth in the Botola Pro "Inwi" standings with an imposing 42 points, supported by the league's most miserly defense that has conceded just eight goals across 22 matches and kept 14 clean sheets. Hubert Rulier's preferred 4-2-3-1 formation functions as a well-oiled defensive unit, with the double pivot protecting the back four and enabling quick transitions through the attacking midfield trio. The creative players look to release the lone striker in behind opposition defenses, though Raja's offensive output of 26 goals suggests they are more comfortable controlling matches than dominating in the final third.

UTS Rabat arrives at the Mohammed V Sports Complex in grave danger, occupying 14th place with a meager 17 points from just two victories and 11 draws. The statistics make grim reading for coach Mounir Obbadi's side: zero clean sheets in 22 league fixtures and a goal difference of minus-11 underscores their fundamental defensive problems. Their 4-1-4-1 shape lacks the defensive cover necessary to protect a vulnerable back four, and the 33 goals conceded represents one of the worst records in the division. Despite their struggles, UTS have managed 22 goals themselves, suggesting they carry some threat on the counter-attack. Both teams share a curious late-game pattern, with UTS scoring 31.82 percent of their goals between the 76th and 90th minute, while Raja are equally dangerous in that period with 28 percent of their tally arriving in the final quarter.

The tactical battle will center on whether UTS can withstand Raja's patient build-up play and whether they can spring counters with enough pace to test the home side's outstanding defense. Raja's 14 clean sheets reflect not just goalkeeping excellence but also a coordinated pressing scheme that begins from the forwards and funnels opponents into low-percentage areas. UTS's failure to keep a single clean sheet this campaign indicates their defensive structure is fundamentally broken, and asking them to contain a side that has been so disciplined at the back represents a significant challenge for Obbadi. The visitors' best chance may lie in catching Raja on the counter during the final 15 minutes, when fatigue can create spaces, though that approach carries enormous risk against such a well-drilled defensive unit.

Raja Casablanca and UTS Rabat's Tight Recent Rivalry

The head-to-head record between Raja Casablanca and UTS Rabat reveals an evenly contested rivalry in recent seasons, with the clubs sharing results more often than not across their last seven meetings. Raja Casablanca hold a narrow advantage with three victories, while UTS Rabat have managed just one win against their rivals. The remaining four encounters have ended in draws, highlighting how difficult it is to separate these two sides when they face each other.

Goals have been at a premium in this fixture, with the average goals per meeting standing at just 1.43. The most recent clash in January 2026 ended in a 1-1 stalemate, a result that typifies the pattern of these matchups. Both teams have shown a tendency to cancel each other out, as evidenced by two goalless draws in the sample. When goals have arrived, they have typically been in low-scoring affairs, with Raja's 2-1 victory in December 2024 representing the highest-scoring game in the recent run.

The both-teams-to-score metric of 43% further underscores the defensive nature of this rivalry, suggesting that clean sheets remain a realistic outcome for one side in most encounters. With the balance of power so finely poised, neither team enters this fixture with a psychological edge, and another tightly contested battle appears likely based on historical trends.

Raja Casablanca's Defensive Solidity Meets UTS Rabat's Scoring Woes at Stade Mohamed V

Raja Casablanca enter Sunday's clash at the Stade Mohamed V in commanding mid-table territory, having accumulated 42 points from 22 matches. Their recent form guide of LWLWW tells a story of a side that rarely capitulates, though recent setbacks against Renaissance Berkane (0-1 home loss) and Wydad AC (0-1 home loss) exposed vulnerabilities when facing determined opponents. The Greens have bounced back impressively though, securing back-to-back away victories against Olympique Dcheïra (1-0) and Maghreb Fès (2-0) before dispatching Difaa EL Jadida 1-0 at home. Their defensive record during this ten-match stretch remains exceptional, with clean sheets kept in half of their encounters and an average of just 0.6 goals conceded per game.

UTS Rabat arrives in the opposite situation entirely. The side sits 14th with only 17 points and has managed just two wins all season, alongside an alarming eleven draws. Their form sequence of DWLLL offers little comfort, with the most recent draw a goalless stalemate against Kawkab Marrakech providing their only point from the last five fixtures. Prior to that, they suffered defeats to Maghreb Fès (0-1 at home), Renaissance Berkane (3-4 in an away thriller), and FUS Rabat (0-2 at home), with their sole victory coming from a 2-1 away trip to Yacoub El Mansour. The defensive numbers are alarming: 1.6 goals shipped per match and clean sheets in just one of their last ten games.

The contrast in defensive organization could hardly be starker. Raja's 80% defensive rating dwarfs UTS Rabat's 20%, and the statistical split reflects what the eye test confirms: the hosts absorb pressure expertly and transition quickly, while the visitors appear exposed and disorganized at the back. UTS's sole bright spot lies in their attacking output, with BTTS landing in 70% of their recent matches, suggesting they will trouble the scorers even in defeat. However, their attacking rating of 56% versus Raja's 44% feels misleading given the defensive chaos that precedes it.

Bettors should note that Raja's matches have been low-scoring affairs, with BTTS landing in only 30% of their recent games. UTS Rabat, by contrast, have been involved in high-scoring encounters, their 70% BTTS rate driven largely by their inability to keep opponents out rather than clinical finishing. Combining these trends points toward a match where Raja controls proceedings and keeps another clean sheet, though UTS Rabat's determination to attack could introduce complications. The form comparison of 69% versus 31% for Raja reflects the gulf in momentum and suggests the hosts will start as clear favorites to extend their advantage.

Raja Casablanca's Home Advantage and Defensive Resilience Offer Value Against UTS Rabat's Draw-Heavy Struggles

Raja Casablanca enter this fixture at the Stade Mohamed V as clear favorites, occupying 5th position with 42 points from their 22 matches played. Their record of 12 wins and 6 draws demonstrates consistent competitiveness, particularly on home soil where they will hold a significant tactical advantage. UTS Rabat, by contrast, languish in 14th place with just 17 points, having managed only 2 victories across the entire campaign. Their survival prospects hinge entirely on their remarkable capacity to earn draws, with 11 of their 22 matches ending level. The gap between these two sides in the standings tells a compelling story ahead of Sunday's encounter.

The model projections place Raja Casablanca at 45% probability for a home victory, with the draw tantalizingly close at 45% and UTS Rabat given just 10% chance of an away success. This elevated draw probability reflects UTS Rabat's stubborn nature and their ability to grind out results despite lacking genuine quality. Punters considering the match result market should note that while Raja hold a mathematical edge, the narrow margin between a home win and a draw signals value in exploring combination markets. The double chance market favoring Raja Casablanca or a draw carries 90% confidence, making it the most statistically reliable selection on the board given the imbalance in league position.

Both the total goals and both teams to score predictions point toward a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. The under 2.5 goals market attracts 54% confidence, consistent with UTS Rabat's toothless attacking output of just 2 wins from 22 matches. Their 11 draws suggest a pattern of failed to convert superior positions into victories, and their forward line has struggled to breach organized defenses. Raja Casablanca, meanwhile, will prioritize defensive stability against a side they should defeat comfortably on paper. The BTTS: no selection at 51% confidence aligns with this cautious tactical outlook, expecting goals to be at a premium in Casablanca.

Raja's Superior Form Points to a Home Victory in Casablanca

Raja Casablanca enters this fixture with a commanding advantage over UTS Rabat. The hosts sit in 5th place with 42 points from 22 matches, having collected 12 wins compared to just 2 victories for their opponents. UTS Rabat languishes in 14th position with merely 17 points and has managed just 2 wins across 22 outings, indicating significant struggles on the road. The strong consensus on the Double Chance market (1X at 90% confidence) reinforces the expectation that Raja avoid defeat, while the Match Result pick of 1 at 45% confidence reflects their clear favourite status despite the moderate probability. The analysis also points toward a low-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No both carrying slight leanings. At the Stade Mohamed V, a venue where Raja typically perform with greater confidence, the home side holds the edge and looks well-positioned to secure all three points against a UTS Rabat outfit still searching for consistency.

Frequently Asked Questions

Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Raja Casablanca with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat?
Both teams to score: No (51% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat played?
Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat takes place on 14 Jun 2026 at Stade Mohamed V.

Additional Information

Raja Casablanca

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

B. Ould-ChikhForward
10
UTS Rabat

Top Scorers

Y. BammouForward
1Goals

Top Assists

Y. BammouForward
1Assists

Cards

Y. BammouForward
20

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Raja Casablanca
LWLWW
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %60%
Goals/Game1.9
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg0.6
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

3 JunLvs Renaissance Berkane0-1
24 MayWat Olympique Dcheïra1-0
9 MayLvs Wydad AC0-1
6 MayWat Maghreb Fès2-0
3 MayWvs Difaa EL Jadida1-0
UTS Rabat
DWLLL
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

1 JunDvs Kawkab Marrakech0-0
23 MayWat Yacoub El Mansour2-1
10 MayLvs Maghreb Fès0-1
7 MayLat Renaissance Berkane3-4
3 MayLvs FUS Rabat0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches7
Average Goals1.43
BTTS43%
Over 2.5 Goals29%
Over 1.5 Goals43%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Raja Casablanca60.86 per game
UTS Rabat40.57 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Raja Casablanca3 (43%)
UTS Rabat3 (43%)
25 Jan 2026 Botola Pro UTS Rabat 1-1 Raja Casablanca
4 May 2025 Botola Pro UTS Rabat 0-0 Raja Casablanca
19 Dec 2024 Botola Pro Raja Casablanca 2-1 UTS Rabat
17 Feb 2024 Botola Pro UTS Rabat 0-0 Raja Casablanca
24 Sep 2023 Botola Pro Raja Casablanca 1-0 UTS Rabat
22 Feb 2023 Botola Pro Raja Casablanca 2-1 UTS Rabat
9 Sep 2022 Botola Pro UTS Rabat 1-0 Raja Casablanca

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