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Colombia
Primera B
Round 10

Real Cartagena vs Envigado Prediction & Betting Tips

22 Sep 2026
0 - 0
Full Time
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Real Cartagena
0 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

55%
25%
20%
Real Cartagena Draw Envigado
Match Result
Real Cartagena
55%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
No
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
40%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

The Estadio Alberto Valencia in Cartagena prepares to host a Primera B encounter that carries significant weight for the home side. Kickoff is scheduled for 01:30 BST on Tuesday morning, a time that will test the dedication of local supporters willing to wake in the early hours to witness their team...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena have gone 4 league matches without a win
Real Cartagena conceded in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Envigado
Envigado are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches
Envigado have drawn their last 4 league matches
Envigado have gone 4 league matches without a win

Key Statistics

0
3 Draws
1
2.25 Avg Goals
75% BTTS
25% Over 2.5
22 Sep 2026 Real Cartagena 0-0 Envigado
29 May 2026 Envigado 1-1 Real Cartagena
26 May 2026 Real Cartagena 2-3 Envigado
16 Mar 2026 Envigado 1-1 Real Cartagena
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Cartagena Chasing Promotion Returns to Action Against Sliding Envigado

The Estadio Alberto Valencia in Cartagena prepares to host a Primera B encounter that carries significant weight for the home side. Kickoff is scheduled for 01:30 BST on Tuesday morning, a time that will test the dedication of local supporters willing to wake in the early hours to witness their team attempt to climb the Clausura standings. The coastal venue, known for its passionate atmosphere, could prove decisive as Real Cartagena returns to action after an extended break from competitive fixtures.

Real Cartagena enters this fixture occupying sixth place in the Primera B table with 13 points from eight matches, a position that keeps their promotion ambitions firmly alive. The team's recent form of LWLWW suggests a side building genuine momentum, and with three wins from their last four outings, confidence should be high within the home camp. Envigado, by contrast, finds itself in a precarious sixteenth position with just six points from seven games, and a winless streak stretching across five consecutive matches provides worrying context for a team desperate to arrest its slide down the standings.

The motivation differential between these two sides presents the most compelling narrative heading into this encounter. Cartagena has clear stakes driving their performance, while Envigado arrives without a specific table incentive flagged, suggesting a squad still searching for direction in the Clausura campaign. With both teams having received nine days of rest since their last competitive action, fitness concerns should be minimal, allowing this clash to hinge entirely on desire, tactical preparation, and the willingness to seize three points when the opportunity presents itself.

Real Cartagena Yet to Beat Envigado in Recent Clashes

Looking at the most recent encounters between these two sides, a clear pattern emerges in favor of Envigado. Across the last three meetings, Real Cartagena have failed to secure a single victory, managing only two draws while suffering one defeat. Envigado have claimed the upper hand in this fixture, winning the most recent clash on 26 May 2026 when they secured a 3-2 victory away from home. The Colombian sides have produced some entertaining contests, with no fewer than nine goals shared across those three matches, averaging exactly three goals per game.

One of the most striking aspects of this head-to-head record is the consistency of both teams finding the net. Every single one of their last three encounters has seen BTTS land, meaning supporters have been treated to goals from both sides in every meeting. The 3-2 scoreline in Envigado's favor stands out as the highest-scoring affair, while the two 1-1 draws demonstrate that Real Cartagena have shown resilience to grind out results, even if they have not managed to turn those draws into wins.

For Real Cartagena, the historical record makes for concerning reading ahead of this encounter. They have not managed to defeat Envigado in their last three attempts, and the frequency of high-scoring games means they will need to be clinical in attack if they are to finally turn one of their recent draws into a three-point haul. Envigado, by contrast, can take confidence from their recent dominance in this matchup.

Where the Match at Estadio Jaime Morón León Will Be Won and Lost

Real Cartagena enter this Clausura - 10 fixture with clear ambitions of promotion and will look to impose their tempo from the outset. Their remarkable defensive record of just one goal conceded across eight matches gives them a platform to build from, while their potency in the 31-45 minute window — where half of their four goals have arrived — suggests they target the period after the initial exchanges to break down stubborn defenses. With three clean sheets already this season, their backline will aim to frustrate Envigado, who despite sitting 16th, arrive with an equally impressive defensive record of zero goals conceded. The home side's recent upturn in form, reflected in their LWLWW sequence, indicates growing confidence, and they will expect to control the contest through disciplined shape and quick transitions when opportunities arise.

Envigado, rooted at the foot of the Primera B table with only six points from seven games, face a different kind of pressure entirely. Their inability to convert dominance into wins is evident from their four goals scored alongside that pristine zero in the goals against column — they defend adequately but lack cutting edge going forward. The visitors' tendency to strike early, with a quarter of their goals arriving in the opening 15 minutes, suggests they may attempt to catch Real Cartagena cold before the hosts can establish their preferred rhythm. However, their winless run in five consecutive matches, captured in their DDLLL form, points to a side struggling for belief on the road, and breaking down a defense as stingy as Cartagena's will require clinical efficiency they have yet to consistently demonstrate.

The tactical duel here is straightforward yet compelling: Real Cartagena's structured, patient approach against Envigado's early aggression. For the hosts, maintaining defensive rigidity while waiting for their dangerous 30-minute spell to materialize could prove decisive. For Envigado, finding a way to translate their defensive solidity into a first win since the season's opening stages requires them to solve their scoring woes against one of the league's most resolute backlines. The clean sheet records of both sides suggest a tight affair, but Real Cartagena's superior motivation and home advantage in Cartagena should tilt the balance in their favour as they pursue promotion in the Primera B standings.

Cartagena's Resurgent Form Meets Envigado's Desperate Slide

Real Cartagena head into this Clausura - 10 encounter in far better shape than their opponents, sitting sixth in the Primera B table with 13 points from eight matches. Their recent form of LWLWW tells a story of a team finding its rhythm after a mixed start. A heavy 6-1 victory away to Leones FC showcased their attacking potential, while back-to-back wins against Bogota FC (2-0) and that same Leones FC side demonstrate consistency when facing relegation-threatened opposition. However, their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern — the 0-3 defeat to Tigres FC and the 1-2 loss away to Internacional Palmira highlight that lapses occur against stronger or in-form opponents. With an average of 1.9 goals scored per match and a 60% BTTS rate, Cartagena generally find the net, though their 20% clean sheet record suggests keeping opponents out is an ongoing challenge.

Envigado arrive at this fixture in dire straits, propping up the lower half of the table with just six points from seven games. Their form guide of DDLLL makes grim reading for supporters, with three consecutive defeats leaving them without a win since the early rounds. Their attacking output has dried up considerably — back-to-back 1-0 losses to Union Magdalena at home and Quindio away, followed by a 1-2 defeat away to Tigres FC, demonstrate a team struggling to convert chances. Even their recent draws feel like missed opportunities: a 1-1 stalemate with Leones FC and a 2-2 point gained away to Popayan represent dropped points rather than momentum builders. With an average of just 1.1 goals per game and no victories in their last five outings, confidence will be low heading into this encounter.

The contrast in momentum could hardly be starker. Cartagena's attack ranks significantly higher in the head-to-head comparison at 75% versus Envigado's 25%, reflecting their superior scoring average and recent goal-scoring exploits. Their 6-1 thrashing of Leones FC and 2-0 blank of Bogota FC illustrate a side capable of taking control of matches. Envigado's defensive record (55% in the comparison) marginally outperforms Cartagena's (45%), yet that advantage counts for little when their attack fails to fire. With both teams showing identical 60% BTTS percentages and 20% clean sheet rates, this fixture shapes up as a contest where both sides may find opportunities, though Cartagena possess the greater cutting edge to capitalize on them.

For Envigado, the pressure to arrest their decline grows with each passing round. A trip to face an in-form Cartagena side represents a daunting proposition, particularly given their inability to secure maximum points in any of their last five matches. They must find a way to convert draws into wins if they are to climb away from danger. For Cartagena, maintaining their recent momentum represents a chance to consolidate their position in the upper half and push for promotion contention. The form guide heavily favours the home side heading into this Clausura - 10 clash, and Envigado must produce something well above their current trajectory to leave Cartagena with a positive result.

Home Advantage and Defensive Solidity Create Value for Cartagena Backers

Real Cartagena head into this Clausura 10 fixture as clear favorites against an Envigado side struggling near the foot of the Primera B table. The hosts occupy sixth place with 13 points from eight matches, having collected four wins alongside a single draw and three defeats. Envigado, by contrast, find themselves in sixteenth position with just six points, accumulating one victory and three draws from their seven league outings. The gap in league position and points total is reflected in the 1.57 odds available for a home win, which translate to an implied probability of 58.5 percent. For punters seeking the best price, the strongest home odds stand at 1.64 with 1xBet, making that bookmaker the destination of choice for backing Cartagena.

The form guide provides compelling justification for this favoritism. Cartagena have demonstrated consistency at home, converting their opportunities at a healthy rate while maintaining defensive discipline. Envigado's campaign has been defined by struggles on the road, where their inability to find victories has left them vulnerable in the standings. With only three goals scored across their seven matches, the visitors appear short on firepower to trouble a Cartagena defense that has proven difficult to break down in front of their own supporters.

Our analysis points toward a home victory, and the statistics surrounding goal distribution support the prediction of under 2.5 goals in this encounter. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, with Cartagena's games often decided by narrow margins and Envigado lacking the attacking intent to generate high-scoring affairs. The BTTS prediction of "no" aligns with this assessment, as Envigado's attacking deficiencies make it unlikely they will find the net. The draw option is available at 3.7 with Betfair, which presents the most attractive price for those seeking that market, while the away win at 5.5 offers substantial returns for punters willing to take a significant risk on an unlikely Envigado success.

Given the respective positions of the clubs and the form they carry into this fixture, the double chance prediction of 1X provides a middle ground for risk-averse bettors. While Cartagena are expected to secure all three points, the possibility of a draw remains present, particularly if Envigado adopt a defensive posture and frustrate their opponents. The value in this market lies in protecting against the unlikely scenario of an away victory while still capitalizing on Cartagena's strong chance of avoiding defeat. With the Clausura 10 matchday providing this opportunity for three points, Cartagena will look to leverage their superior league standing and home form to consolidate their position in the upper half of the Primera B standings.

Real Cartagena's Defensive Edge Could Lead to Another Low-Scoring Victory

With Real Cartagena sitting comfortably in sixth place and Envigado struggling down in sixteenth, the form guide strongly favors the home side. The Correct Score market reflects this with 1:0 to Real Cartagena available at odds of 5.00 with a 20% confidence rating. Given that Real Cartagena have won four of their eight matches while Envigado have managed just one victory all season, this narrow home victory represents the most probable outcome. The visitors' inability to find the net consistently — three goals scored across seven matches — makes a clean sheet for the home defense a realistic prospect.

For those seeking slightly better value, Real Cartagena to win both halves presents an interesting alternative, with the hosts' superior league position suggesting they will control the tempo from the opening whistle. The Over 1.5 Goals market at reduced odds could appeal to risk-averse bettors given the visitors' porous backline. Corners and cards markets lean toward the home side as well, with Real Cartagena expected to dominate possession and territory throughout the ninety minutes. The gap in quality between these two sides — thirteen points separating them in the standings — makes backing Envigado in any market a speculative approach at this stage.

Cartagena's Home Advantage Should Prove Decisive in Low-Scoring Affair

All signs point toward a Real Cartagena victory in this Clausura Round 10 clash. Sitting sixth with 13 points and four wins already secured, they hold a commanding 10-point advantage over Envigado, who remain winless away from home this campaign. The form guide, league standings and head-to-head trends collectively support backing the home side to claim all three points at Estadio de Cartagena.

For bettors seeking slightly safer ground, the Under 2.5 goals market provides compelling value. Both sides demonstrate a tendency toward low-scoring encounters, with Envigado managing just six goals across nine matches and Cartagena conceding sparingly at home. The BTTS: No angle at matching 55% confidence reinforces expectations of a tight, compressed contest rather than an open goal-fest. Whatever the preferred selection, the data favours a disciplined home performance yielding a narrow Cartagena win.

Our #1 PickReal CartagenaMatch Result (1X2)@1.61 · 57%
Best ValueUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.71 · 55%

Frequently Asked Questions

Real Cartagena vs Envigado: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Real Cartagena with 55% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Real Cartagena vs Envigado have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Both teams to score: No (52% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 40% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Real Cartagena vs Envigado played?
Real Cartagena vs Envigado takes place on 22 Sep 2026.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Ind. Yumbo 14 8 4 2 20 8 +12 28
2 Real Cundinamarca 14 7 4 3 19 11 +8 25
3 Tigres FC 14 6 6 2 16 7 +9 24
4 Real Cartagena 14 5 5 4 25 17 +8 20
5 Quindio 14 5 5 4 12 13 -1 20
6 Real Santander 14 4 7 3 16 19 -3 19
7 Popayan 14 5 3 6 18 19 -1 18
8 Patriotas 14 5 3 6 17 21 -4 18
9 Depor FC 14 5 3 6 16 20 -4 18
10 Envigado 14 3 8 3 15 13 +2 17
11 Union Magdalena 14 4 5 5 14 15 -1 17
12 Bogota FC 14 4 5 5 10 13 -3 17
13 Internacional Palmira 14 4 4 6 10 15 -5 16
14 Orsomarso 14 3 5 6 9 13 -4 14
15 Leones FC 14 3 5 6 11 20 -9 14
16 Barranquilla 14 3 4 7 17 21 -4 13
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Real Cartagena
WDDLD
10Played
3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %30%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

19 OctWvs Patriotas3-0
16 OctDat Quindio1-1
8 OctDat Depor FC2-2
4 OctLvs Popayan2-3
29 SepDat Union Magdalena1-1
Envigado
WDDDD
10Played
2Wins
7Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

18 OctWvs Barranquilla1-0
15 OctDvs Real Santander1-1
11 OctDvs Internacional Palmira1-1
5 OctDat Bogota FC3-3
1 OctDvs Orsomarso0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals2.25
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Real Cartagena41 per game
Envigado51.25 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Real Cartagena1 (25%)
Envigado1 (25%)
22 Sep 2026 Primera B Real Cartagena 0-0 Envigado
29 May 2026 Primera B Envigado 1-1 Real Cartagena
26 May 2026 Primera B Real Cartagena 2-3 Envigado
16 Mar 2026 Primera B Envigado 1-1 Real Cartagena

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