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Ukraine
Premier League
Round 20

SK Poltava vs Karpaty Prediction & Betting Tips

13 Mar 2026
0 - 4
Full Time
Zirka Stadium, Kropyvnytsky
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Karpaty
0 : 4
FT

Betting Tips

10%
17%
73%
SK Poltava Draw Karpaty
Match Result
Karpaty
73%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams Score
No
57%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
45%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

The upcoming match between SK Poltava and Karpaty promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides as they look to improve their standings in the Premier League. With SK Poltava struggling mightily and Karpaty seeking to build on recent momentum, this Friday’s clash at the Zirka Stadium could prove...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

SK Poltava
SK Poltava have lost 11 of 15 home matches (73%)
SK Poltava failed to score in 15 of 30 matches (50%)
SK Poltava have won just 1 of 15 away matches this season
SK Poltava have received 4 red cards in 30 matches this season
SK Poltava have scored all 4 penalties this season
SK Poltava score 24% of their goals in the first 15 minutes (6 goals)
Karpaty
Karpaty have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches (47%)
Both teams scored in just 3 of Karpaty's last 15 matches (20%)
Karpaty failed to score in 9 of 30 matches (30%)

Key Statistics

0
1 Draws
3
2.5 Avg Goals
50% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
13 Mar 2026 SK Poltava 0-4 Karpaty
14 Sep 2025 Karpaty 1-1 SK Poltava
27 Apr 2024 SK Poltava 0-1 Karpaty
23 Mar 2024 Karpaty 2-1 SK Poltava
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Karpaty Look to Shake Off Form Slump Against Struggling SK Poltava

The upcoming match between SK Poltava and Karpaty promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides as they look to improve their standings in the Premier League. With SK Poltava struggling mightily and Karpaty seeking to build on recent momentum, this Friday’s clash at the Zirka Stadium could prove pivotal for their respective seasons. Let’s delve into the details that make this matchup so compelling.

Recent Momentum

SK Poltava has found themselves in a bit of a rut lately, with their most recent run of form reading LLLDL. Despite only managing one win in their last ten games, Poltava's determination to secure points in draws showcases their resilience. On the flip side, Karpaty have been steadier, posting a decent record of DLWDD in their last five fixtures. While they haven’t managed to string together consecutive victories, Karpaty's consistency in securing draws and wins keeps them within striking distance of the top half of the table.

Current State of Play

Looking at the broader context, SK Poltava finds themselves in a precarious position, occupying the 16th spot in the Premier League with just nine points from nineteen matches. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding nearly two goals per game, while their offensive struggles are highlighted by scoring just sixteen goals all season. Karpaty, meanwhile, sit comfortably in eleventh place with twenty points, showcasing better balance with twenty-one goals scored and twenty-six conceded. Their ability to keep clean sheets more frequently (six times compared to Poltava’s one) underscores their defensive solidity.

Tactical Preview

In terms of formation, both teams stick closely to their preferred setups. SK Poltava employs a 4-4-2 system, favoring a midfield diamond with two strikers leading the attack. Karpaty adopt a 4-3-3 shape, allowing for flexibility in their attacking play. This tactical disparity means we can expect Poltava to focus on direct play and aerial dominance, whereas Karpaty will aim to exploit the flanks and create numerical superiority in central areas.

Key Players to Watch

Yuri Misyura stands out as a vital figure for SK Poltava. His two goals and one assist have been critical in maintaining any hope of a point-scoring effort. Alongside him, Vitaliy Odaryuk and Denys Galenkov provide support, each contributing a goal and an assist. In contrast, Karpaty boasts a potent forward line, led by Bruninho with four goals. Ilya Krasnopir and Yuri Kostenko also contribute significantly, combining for seven goals in total. These attacking trio will be essential in breaking down Poltava’s defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between SK Poltava and Karpaty over the last three meetings reveals a slight edge for Karpaty. They won twice, with one draw recorded, indicating that they hold a psychological advantage. Additionally, both teams averaged around two goals per match, suggesting that there’s potential for an exciting, high-scoring affair. Recent encounters have shown that neither side is immune to conceding, making this matchup ripe for some thrilling moments.

Betting Analysis

Considering the current form and recent history, the odds provided by bookmakers offer interesting insights. The favorite for the match is Karpaty, priced at 1.08, reflecting their superior form and higher ranking. However, there’s also significant value in backing a draw or a Poltava win. The double chance option of X2 (draw or Karpaty win) is available at 1.07, providing a solid bet given the close nature of past encounters. Looking at the total goals market, betting on over 2.5 goals carries a probability of 55%, aligning well with the historical average of two goals per match. Furthermore, the absence of both teams scoring (BTTS no) has a 55% chance, suggesting a possible narrow victory for either side.

Our Predictions

Based on the detailed analysis, we predict a narrow victory for Karpaty, with a scoreline of 0-2. The recent form and home advantage give Poltava a fighting chance, but Karpaty’s consistent performances and strong attacking line should see them emerge victorious. Our confidence level for this prediction is set at 70%. As for the total goals, we’re leaning towards over 2.5, with a 55% confidence level. Lastly, we believe that both teams will not score (BTTS no), which we rate at 55% likelihood. Overall, the double chance of Karpaty or a draw (X2) seems like a prudent bet, with our confidence standing at 44%.

Best Bets Summary

In summary, the best bets for this match include:

  • Match Result: Karpaty to Win (1.08)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 (5.5)
  • Both Teams to Score: No (5.5)
  • Double Chance: X2 (1.07)

These selections take into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and statistical trends, offering excellent value for punters looking to back Karpaty’s continued success in the Premier League.

As the clock ticks closer to kick-off, the excitement builds for this crucial battle in the Premier League. Will SK Poltava manage to defy expectations and secure a much-needed point, or will Karpaty continue their upward trajectory with another victory? Stay tuned as we eagerly await the action at the Zirka Stadium!

Frequently Asked Questions

SK Poltava vs Karpaty: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Karpaty with 73% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for SK Poltava vs Karpaty?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 45% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will SK Poltava vs Karpaty have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (56% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in SK Poltava vs Karpaty?
Both teams to score: No (57% confidence).
When and where is SK Poltava vs Karpaty played?
SK Poltava vs Karpaty takes place on 13 Mar 2026 at Zirka Stadium.

Additional Information

SK Poltava

Top Scorers

Y. MisyuraDefender
2Goals
V. OdaryukMidfielder
1Goals
D. GalenkovMidfielder
1Goals
M. MarusychAttacker
1Goals
O. VeremienkoDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

Y. MisyuraDefender
1Assists
V. OdaryukMidfielder
1Assists
D. GalenkovMidfielder
1Assists
M. MarusychAttacker
1Assists
Emin KujovicMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

M. MarusychAttacker
40
O. VeremienkoDefender
40
D. PlakhtyrMidfielder
40
D. GalenkovMidfielder
30
V. DanylenkoMidfielder
30
Karpaty

Top Scorers

BruninhoMidfielder
4Goals
I. KrasnopirAttacker
3Goals
Y. KostenkoMidfielder
1Goals
Igor NevesAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

A. ChachuaMidfielder
2Assists
V. BabogloDefender
1Assists
Jean PedrosoDefender
1Assists
Y. KarabinMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

V. BabogloDefender
51
Jean PedrosoDefender
50
D. MiroshnichenkoDefender
40
Pablo ÁlvarezMidfielder
40
I. KrasnopirAttacker
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

SK Poltava
DLLLD
10Played
0Wins
4Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.4
Win %0%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg0.7
Conceded Avg2.3
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score70%

Recent Matches

23 MayDat Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-0
16 MayLvs Dynamo Kyiv0-2
13 MayLat LNZ Cherkasy0-2
10 MayLvs Shakhtar Donetsk0-4
1 MayDvs Kryvbas KR3-3
Karpaty
LWDLD
10Played
5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.8
Win %50%
Goals/Game2
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg0.5
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets70%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

23 MayLvs Zorya Luhansk1-2
17 MayWvs Veres Rivne2-0
12 MayDat Metalist 1925 Kharkiv2-2
8 MayLat Kryvbas KR0-1
2 MayDvs LNZ Cherkasy0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals2.5
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
SK Poltava20.5 per game
Karpaty82 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
SK Poltava0 (0%)
Karpaty2 (50%)
13 Mar 2026 Premier League SK Poltava 0-4 Karpaty
14 Sep 2025 Premier League Karpaty 1-1 SK Poltava
27 Apr 2024 Persha Liga SK Poltava 0-1 Karpaty
23 Mar 2024 Persha Liga Karpaty 2-1 SK Poltava

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