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Bulgaria
First League
Round 8

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Betting Tips

5 Sep 2026
1 - 1
Full Time
Stadion Spartak, Varna
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
CSKA Sofia
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

17%
23%
60%
Spartak Varna Draw CSKA Sofia
Match Result
CSKA Sofia
60%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
50%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
41%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

When Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia meet at Stadion Spartak on Saturday, the stakes carry genuine weight for both clubs. Spartak Varna sit sixth in the First League with eight points from seven matches, knowing that a positive result against the league's in-form side could reignite their playoff ambit...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

1
2 Draws
7
2.8 Avg Goals
40% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
5 Sep 2026 Spartak Varna 1-1 CSKA Sofia
29 Nov 2025 Spartak Varna 0-4 CSKA Sofia
26 Jul 2025 CSKA Sofia 1-1 Spartak Varna
13 May 2025 CSKA Sofia 5-0 Spartak Varna
26 Apr 2025 Spartak Varna 0-1 CSKA Sofia
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Playoff Aspirations on the Line as Spartak Varna Welcome CSKA Sofia to Stadion Spartak

When Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia meet at Stadion Spartak on Saturday, the stakes carry genuine weight for both clubs. Spartak Varna sit sixth in the First League with eight points from seven matches, knowing that a positive result against the league's in-form side could reignite their playoff ambitions after a difficult stretch. For CSKA Sofia, sitting third with 16 points from six games, the mission is equally clear: maintain their relentless momentum and keep pace with the teams above them in the title race.

The contrast in current trajectories could hardly be more stark. CSKA Sofia arrive in Varna on the back of five consecutive league victories, their unbeaten record intact and their confidence soaring. Spartak Varna, by contrast, head into Matchday 8 having won just one of their last five fixtures, a sequence that has left them with work to do if they are to secure a top-six finish. With both sides locked into the playoff picture, this encounter offers Spartak a chance to arrest their slide against the division's most clinical outfit.

The task confronting Spartak Varna is considerable. According to Bet365, CSKA Sofia are priced at 1.40 for the win, reflecting their dominance this season, while a Spartak victory is offered at 7 and the draw at 4.33. Kickoff is at 17:00 BST, and both teams have enjoyed six days' rest heading into this contest, meaning fatigue will not be a factor. For Spartak, stopping CSKA's winning streak begins with defensive discipline and capitalising on whatever opportunities arise.

Spartak Varna Searching for Consistency Against In-Form CSKA Sofia

Spartak Varna arrive at Matchday 8 in inconsistent form, with their recent results painting a picture of a side struggling to find stability. The club's last five league matches read DLLLW, a sequence that includes a concerning 0-6 defeat away to Levski Sofia, alongside a creditable 1-1 draw against Ludogorets. That result against the Bulgarian giants demonstrated that Spartak possess the capability to compete with the league's stronger sides, yet the heavy reverse in the capital suggests significant vulnerabilities when facing high-pressing, attacking opponents. Their sole victory in this sequence came courtesy of a narrow 1-0 home win against Lokomotiv Plovdiv, highlighting their tendency to grind out tight results rather than dominate proceedings.

Defensively, Spartak Varna present a balanced but unremarkable record, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match across their opening fixtures. Their clean sheet rate of 40% indicates a moderate ability to shut out opponents, though the 0-6 loss to Levski Sofia significantly skews this figure and exposes how fragile their backline can become against top-tier attacking units. In attack, they average 1.4 goals scored per game, with a BTTS percentage of just 30%, suggesting that they frequently fail to contribute to high-scoring encounters. This pattern points toward a side that often struggles to find the net, which could prove problematic against a CSKA Sofia defence that, while not impenetrable, has shown resilience in recent domestic matches.

CSKA Sofia enter this encounter in far stronger form, occupying third place with 16 points from their opening seven matches. Their recent results demonstrate a team capable of producing dominant performances, including a commanding 5-0 victory over Botev Vratsa and an impressive 3-1 win against Cherno More Varna. However, their European exertions against OFI have left visible marks, with back-to-back defeats by scorelines of 0-2 and 0-3 suggesting fatigue or tactical adjustments that did not pay off. A prior 1-3 loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv further illustrates that the Bulgarian outfit has struggled in continental competition, potentially raising questions about their squad depth and readiness to compete on multiple fronts simultaneously.

The statistical comparison underscores the gap between these two sides heading into Matchday 8. CSKA Sofia's attack percentage of 62% versus Spartak Varna's 38% reflects a considerable difference in offensive output, with the visitors averaging two goals per match compared to Spartak's 1.4. Defensively, CSKA Sofia hold a 67% rating against Spartak's 33%, though both clubs share an identical 40% clean sheet rate over their last ten fixtures. CSKA Sofia's superior form rating of 65% to Spartak's 35% captures the momentum shift between the clubs, with the visitors appearing well-positioned to claim all three points at Stadion Spartak. Spartak Varna will need to replicate the defensive discipline shown against Ludogorets while finding additional creativity in the final third if they are to trouble a CSKA Sofia side that has demonstrated its capability to score freely in domestic competition.

Contrasting Styles and Tactical Matchups at Stadion Spartak

The tactical landscape for this Matchday 8 encounter presents a fascinating juxtaposition. Spartak Varna, occupying sixth place with eight points from seven fixtures, head into this match following a difficult run of results that includes three consecutive defeats alongside two wins. Their recent form of DLLLW paints the picture of a side searching for consistency, though the club remains firmly in contention for a playoff position.CSKA Sofia, sitting in third place with an impressive 16 points from six games, arrive in Varna brimming with confidence after a remarkable sequence of five consecutive victories to open their campaign. The visitors' unbeaten record and current trajectory suggest they will adopt an assertive approach, dominating territorial battles and building attacks methodically from midfield.

Spartak Varna will likely prioritize defensive solidity against their high-flying opponents, deploying a compact middle block designed to restrict the space CSKA Sofia's attacking players thrive in. With the home side averaging just one goal per game this season, their route to points at Stadion Spartak almost certainly runs through defensive resilience and clinical set-piece opportunities rather than sustained possession football.

CSKA Sofia's five wins from five matches reflects a side that combines tactical discipline with genuine attacking quality. The visitors should enjoy the majority of possession and territory at Stadion Spartak, looking to break down Spartak's defensive structure through patient passing moves and intelligent movement between the lines. Bet365's odds of 1.4 on a CSKA Sofia victory underline the significant quality gap between these two sides, with the champions-elect expected to extend their winning run against a Spartak side desperately seeking a return to winning ways in this pivotal playoff-race fixture.

CSKA Sofia Dominate Recent Encounters with Spartak Varna

In their most recent meeting in November 2025, Spartak Varna suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat against CSKA Sofia. That result encapsulated a wider trend that has defined this fixture over recent seasons. Across the last nine meetings between these sides, CSKA Sofia have claimed victory seven times, while Spartak Varna have managed just one win alongside a single draw. The psychological edge clearly rests with the capital city club, who have accumulated overwhelming dominance in this particular head-to-head record.

The goal statistics paint a picture of generally competitive but ultimately one-sided matches. The average goal tally across those nine encounters stands at 2.89 goals per game, suggesting that while matches tend to feature goals, the scoring has been lopsided in favour of CSKA Sofia. Notably, both teams failed to find the net in 67% of those meetings, indicating that Spartak Varna have frequently struggled to break down their opponents' defence while also keeping things tight at the back. When Spartak Varna have managed to score, they have typically done so in losing efforts, as evidenced by the 2-3 defeat in December 2024 and the 0-1 loss in April 2025.

The aggregate scores across recent seasons reveal the scale of Spartak Varna's task. CSKA Sofia have repeatedly found ways to secure results, whether through commanding home victories such as the 5-0 thrashing in May 2025 or disciplined away performances like the 1-0 win in April 2025. Spartak Varna's solitary triumph came in a lower-scoring encounter, suggesting that when they do manage to upset the form book, it tends to be through a tight, defensive approach rather than an open attacking display. The most recent meeting, ending 0-4, demonstrated that CSKA Sofia remain firmly in control of this rivalry and will head into any future fixture as clear favourites based on historical evidence.

CSKA Sofia Poised to Continue Unbeaten Run Against Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna face a significant challenge when they host CSKA Sofia at Stadion Spartak on Matchday 8 of the Bulgarian First League. The hosts occupy sixth place with eight points from their opening seven fixtures, having recorded two wins, two draws, and three defeats. Their position suggests an inconsistent start to the campaign, and they now confront one of the league's form teams. CSKA Sofia sit third in the table with an impressive 16 points from six matches, boasting five victories and one draw, making them the clear favourites for this encounter.

The 1X2 market strongly reflects the disparity between these two sides. CSKA Sofia are priced at 1.5, implying a 59.6% probability of victory, while Spartak Varna are offered at 5.5 (16.3% implied probability). For punters seeking enhanced value, the best away price of 1.5 is available at 1xBet, making it the optimal choice for backing the visitors. The draw is offered at 3.7 (24.2% implied probability), with the most attractive draw odds of 4.36 accessible at Pinnacle. Given CSKA Sofia's unbeaten record and Spartak Varna's struggles, the away win presents the most logical selection in the outright market.

Our analysis projects over 2.5 goals at 52% confidence. CSKA Sofia's attacking prowess, demonstrated through their five wins from six matches, suggests they will contribute significantly to the scoring. While Spartak Varna's home performances may be more restrained, the quality gap between the sides increases the likelihood of a match featuring at least three goals. The opposing prediction of BTTS: no aligns with this assessment, as we anticipate CSKA Sofia controlling proceedings and potentially keeping a clean sheet against a Spartak Varna side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities on their travels.

For those seeking additional security, the double chance market offers X2 at 42% confidence, combining the draw and away win outcomes. This provides protection against the possibility of Spartak Varna securing an unexpected result on home soil. The best home odds of 7 are available at Bet365 for punters considering a flutter on the hosts, though the form guide hardly supports that position. CSKA Sofia's superior points tally, unbeaten record, and strong away form make them the overwhelming selection for this Matchday 8 fixture, with our confidence level of 64% in the away win reflecting the clear gap between these two First League contenders.

CSKA Sofia's Away Dominance Creates Value Across Multiple Markets

CSKA Sofia's commanding league position and unbeaten record translate into strong value across several betting markets for Saturday's encounter. The standout selection comes in the Asian Handicap market, where CSKA Sofia -0.25 is priced at odds of 1.11 with a remarkable 90% confidence rating. This market provides a safety net against narrow margins while still capturing the significant quality gap between the third-placed visitors and their sixth-placed opponents. The Half-Time result market reinforces CSKA's expected start, with a CSKA Sofia lead at half-time available at odds of 1.85 (47% confidence), reflecting their tendency to control matches early and apply pressure from the first whistle.

For bettors seeking enhanced returns, the Half-Time/Full-Time combination of Away/Away at odds of 2.08 (48% confidence) presents a logical pairing, as it captures both the anticipated early dominance and the capacity to sustain control through the full ninety minutes. Leandro Godoy emerges as the most compelling anytime goalscorer selection at odds of 1.80 with 56% confidence, reflecting his importance to CSKA Sofia's attacking play and his likely involvement in the visitors' forward movements. The correct score market shows 0:3 as the most probable outcome at odds of 7.00, though with only 14% confidence, indicating this remains a speculative option rather than a statistically strong play.

The corners market offers an alternative angle with over 9.5 corners available at odds of 1.52 and 60% confidence. CSKA Sofia's attacking philosophy should generate numerous set-piece and open-play opportunities, pushing the total corner count beyond the line against a Spartak Varna defence under consistent pressure. When combining the high-confidence Asian Handicap selection with the anytime goalscorer punt on Leandro Godoy, bettors can construct a portfolio that balances the strongest statistical edge with targeted value in the goalscoring markets.

CSKA Sofia Favored to Claim All Three Points at Stadion Spartak

The data points firmly toward a CSKA Sofia victory on Saturday. Sitting third in the First League with an unbeaten record of five wins and one draw from six matches, the visitors arrive in Varna as the clear favourites. Their 16 points from six games reflects a side operating with strong consistency, while Spartak Varna's record of two wins, two draws, and three defeats leaves them eight points behind with a game in hand. The 64% confidence in the Match Result 2 pick reflects the gulf in current form between these two sides.

The tactical outlook suggests a controlled CSKA Sofia performance. The combined prediction of over 2.5 goals alongside no BTTS indicates expectations of a match where goals may arrive in bursts rather than as a feature of open play. Spartak Varna's three defeats this season have often come against sides with superior technical quality, and CSKA Sofia's 16-point haul demonstrates they possess exactly that. The Double Chance X2 at 42% confidence offers a more cautious alternative should the hosts manage to frustrate their opponents, though the primary prediction rests on CSKA Sofia taking all three points at Stadion Spartak.

Our #1 PickCSKA SofiaMatch Result (1X2)@1.35 · 64%
Best ValueOver 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.78 · 52%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Our model predicts CSKA Sofia with 60% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 41% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Leandro Godoy is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Both teams to score: Yes (50% confidence).
When and where is Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia played?
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia takes place on 5 Sep 2026 at Stadion Spartak.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21 4 +17 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24 7 +17 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16 7 +9 23
4 CSKA 1948 10 7 1 2 19 10 +9 22
5 Arda Kardzhali 10 5 2 3 15 12 +3 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9 8 +1 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9 19 -10 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8 18 -10 8
11 Lokomotiv Sofia 10 1 4 5 11 18 -7 7
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5 13 -8 7
13 Cherno More Varna 10 1 3 6 11 20 -9 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10 19 -9 5
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Spartak Varna
LDDDL
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

20 SepLvs Lokomotiv Sofia0-1
13 SepDat Slavia Sofia0-0
5 SepDvs CSKA Sofia1-1
30 AugDvs Ludogorets1-1
22 AugLat Levski Sofia0-6
CSKA Sofia
DWWDW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

20 SepDat Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
16 SepWat Lokomotiv Sofia2-0
12 SepWvs Arda Kardzhali4-1
5 SepDat Spartak Varna1-1
30 AugWvs Cherno More Varna3-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches10
Average Goals2.8
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals70%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Spartak Varna80.8 per game
CSKA Sofia202 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Spartak Varna1 (10%)
CSKA Sofia5 (50%)
5 Sep 2026 First League Spartak Varna 1-1 CSKA Sofia
29 Nov 2025 First League Spartak Varna 0-4 CSKA Sofia
26 Jul 2025 First League CSKA Sofia 1-1 Spartak Varna
13 May 2025 First League CSKA Sofia 5-0 Spartak Varna
26 Apr 2025 First League Spartak Varna 0-1 CSKA Sofia
15 Dec 2024 Bulgarian Cup Spartak Varna 2-3 CSKA Sofia
3 Dec 2024 First League CSKA Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna
3 Aug 2024 First League Spartak Varna 3-0 CSKA Sofia
18 Mar 2023 First League CSKA Sofia 1-0 Spartak Varna
3 Sep 2022 First League Spartak Varna 0-1 CSKA Sofia

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