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Mexico
Liga MX
Round 3

Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction: Toluca — Win (61%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.43
65%
Confidence

Betting Tips

61%
22%
17%
Toluca Draw Necaxa
Match Result
Toluca
@ 1.39
Bet
62%
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.55
Bet
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.13
Bet
42%
Asian Handicap
Toluca -1.25
@ 1.91
Bet
52%
Half Time
Toluca
@ 1.85
Bet
46%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 2.01
Bet
49.8%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 7.50
Bet
13.3%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

10
7 Draws
3
3.05 Avg Goals
60% BTTS
55% Over 2.5
22 Feb 2026 Necaxa 0-3 Toluca
13 Jul 2025 Toluca 3-1 Necaxa
8 Mar 2025 Toluca 5-2 Necaxa
28 Oct 2024 Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
10 Feb 2024 Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.50 4.35
1xBet 1.47 4.40 6.04
Bet365 1.20 4.50 4.33

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Toluca vs Necaxa?
Our model predicts Toluca with 62% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Toluca vs Necaxa have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (65% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Toluca vs Necaxa?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Toluca vs Necaxa?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 42% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
What is the best bet for Toluca vs Necaxa?
Our top recommendation is Over 2.5 with 65% confidence.
When and where is Toluca vs Necaxa played?
Toluca vs Necaxa takes place on 3 Aug 2026.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 CF Pachuca 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
2 Club Tijuana 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
3 Toluca 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Monterrey 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Cruz Azul 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
6 Atlas 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
7 Necaxa 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Club America 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Puebla 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Santos Laguna 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
11 Atletico San Luis 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
12 Leon 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
13 Atlante FC 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
14 Club Queretaro 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
15 FC Juarez 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Tigres UANL 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
17 Guadalajara Chivas 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
18 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
Champions League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Toluca
WLWLL
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg1.9
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

19 JulWat Guadalajara Chivas2-0
10 MayLat CF Pachuca0-2
7 MayWvs Los Angeles FC4-0
4 MayLvs CF Pachuca0-1
30 AprLat Los Angeles FC1-2
Necaxa
WLDDL
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg1.1
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

17 JulWvs Atlante FC2-1
27 AprLat Cruz Azul1-4
23 AprDvs Guadalajara Chivas0-0
18 AprDvs Tigres UANL1-1
11 AprLat Club Queretaro1-3

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.05
BTTS60%
Over 2.5 Goals55%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Toluca391.95 per game
Necaxa221.1 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Toluca8 (40%)
Necaxa3 (15%)
22 Feb 2026 Liga MX Necaxa 0-3 Toluca
13 Jul 2025 Liga MX Toluca 3-1 Necaxa
8 Mar 2025 Liga MX Toluca 5-2 Necaxa
28 Oct 2024 Liga MX Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
10 Feb 2024 Liga MX Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
2 Jul 2023 Liga MX Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
30 Apr 2023 Liga MX Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
2 Jul 2022 Liga MX Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
5 Mar 2022 Liga MX Necaxa 0-1 Toluca
21 Oct 2021 Liga MX Toluca 1-1 Necaxa
24 Jan 2021 Liga MX Toluca 2-0 Necaxa
31 Oct 2020 Liga MX Necaxa 3-2 Toluca
19 Jan 2020 Liga MX Toluca 2-3 Necaxa
29 Aug 2019 Liga MX Necaxa 1-1 Toluca
10 Mar 2019 Liga MX Necaxa 1-1 Toluca
22 Sep 2018 Liga MX Toluca 3-2 Necaxa
4 Feb 2018 Liga MX Necaxa 0-0 Toluca
20 Aug 2017 Liga MX Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
2 Apr 2017 Liga MX Toluca 2-0 Necaxa
2 Oct 2016 Liga MX Necaxa 3-1 Toluca

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