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Russia
First League
Round 24

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik Prediction & Betting Tips

16 Mar 2026
3 - 0
Full Time
Arena Khimki, Khimki
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

47%
28%
25%
Torpedo Moskva Draw FK Neftekhimik
Match Result
Torpedo Moskva
47%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
58%
Both Teams Score
No
54%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
38%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
3 min read

In the quest to climb the ranks of First League, Torpedo Moskva and FK Neftekhimik face off in a pivotal match that could shape their fates. This encounter is more than just a meeting of two teams; it's a clash of styles and a battle for points that could push one side closer to the top.

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva score 33% of their goals after the 75th minute (12 goals)
Torpedo Moskva failed to score in 12 of 34 matches (35%)
FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik failed to score in 12 of 34 matches (35%)

Key Statistics

6
4 Draws
1
2 Avg Goals
36% BTTS
45% Over 2.5
16 Mar 2026 Torpedo Moskva 3-0 FK Neftekhimik
27 Jul 2025 FK Neftekhimik 0-0 Torpedo Moskva
15 Mar 2025 FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Torpedo Moskva
17 Aug 2024 Torpedo Moskva 2-1 FK Neftekhimik
12 Nov 2023 FK Neftekhimik 0-0 Torpedo Moskva
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik: A Battle for Points in First League

In the quest to climb the ranks of First League, Torpedo Moskva and FK Neftekhimik face off in a pivotal match that could shape their fates. This encounter is more than just a meeting of two teams; it's a clash of styles and a battle for points that could push one side closer to the top.

Match Context and Significance

Torpedo Moskva currently sits in 15th place, with 24 points from 23 matches. They are just six points away from the safety zone, and a win here could give them some breathing room as they look to secure their position. On the other hand, FK Neftekhimik is ninth in the table with 31 points from 22 games, and they're aiming to consolidate their spot and perhaps even challenge for higher finishes.

Recent Momentum

The last five matches for both teams paint a picture of struggle. Torpedo Moskva's recent form is marked by losses and draws, with their latest result being a loss. FK Neftekhimik also found themselves in a rut recently, ending with a draw after two consecutive losses. Despite this, both teams have shown resilience and can turn things around quickly.

Tactical Preview

Expect both sides to employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, showcasing a balanced approach between defense and attack. Torpedo Moskva will likely look to capitalize on their home advantage, aiming to press high and create chances early. FK Neftekhimik, on the other hand, might opt for a more patient game plan, focusing on quick counterattacks and exploiting gaps in the opposition's defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides leans slightly towards Torpedo Moskva, with five wins to FK Neftekhimik's one. However, the most recent encounters have seen closely contested matches, often resulting in low-scoring draws or narrow victories. This suggests that the next meeting could follow a similar pattern, with both teams fighting hard for every point.

Betting Analysis

The bookmakers offer a range of interesting options for this match:

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home (Torpedo Moskva) 2.09, Draw 3.2, Away (FK Neftekhimik) 3.68
  • Implied Probabilities: Home 45%, Draw 29.4%, Away 25.6%
  • Double Chance: 1X 1.25, 12 1.32, X2 1.7
  • Asian Handicap: Home -0.5 2.01, Away -0.5 1.77, Home -1.25 3.52, Away -1.25 1.23
  • Top Correct Scores: 1:0 5.6, 1:1 5.65, 1:1 5.7, 1:0 5.7, 0:0 7.2

Considering the recent form and head-to-head record, backing Torpedo Moskva at 2.09 seems like a solid choice. The draw option offers decent value at 3.2, given the tight nature of their previous meetings. As for the Asian Handicap, Torpedo Moskva at -0.5 looks appealing, as they have the momentum of playing at home.

Predictions

Based on our analysis, we predict a narrow victory for Torpedo Moskva, with a total goal count under 2.5. We also believe there's a strong chance neither team will score, making the 'no both teams to score' bet quite attractive.

Our confidence levels for these predictions are as follows:

  • Match Result: Torpedo Moskva 45%
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 59%
  • Both Teams Score: No 54%
  • Double Chance: 1X 37%

The reasons behind these predictions lie in Torpedo Moskva's home advantage and their desire to improve their standing in the league. With both teams showing resilience in recent fixtures, a low-scoring affair seems likely.

Best Bets Summary

For this match, our top picks would be:

  • Match Winner: Torpedo Moskva (2.09)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5
  • Both Teams Score: No
  • Double Chance: 1X (1.25)

These selections offer a combination of value and alignment with our predictions, making them the best bets for this exciting First League clash.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our model predicts Torpedo Moskva with 47% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (58% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Both teams to score: No (54% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 38% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik played?
Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik takes place on 16 Mar 2026 at Arena Khimki.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Rodina Moskva 34 19 11 4 58 28 +30 68
2 Fakel 34 20 8 6 44 22 +22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51 31 +20 61
4 Rotor Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47 26 +21 56
5 KAMAZ 34 12 13 9 46 34 +12 49
6 Enisey 34 13 10 11 37 35 +2 49
7 Spartak Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46 41 +5 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34 28 +6 48
9 Torpedo Moskva 34 12 10 12 37 39 -2 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42 40 +2 44
11 FK Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40 41 -1 43
12 Ska-khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37 45 -8 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42 44 -2 39
14 Volga Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35 48 -13 37
15 FC UFA 34 9 10 15 32 40 -8 37
16 Chernomorets 34 9 8 17 37 49 -12 35
17 FK Sokol Saratov 34 5 11 18 16 44 -28 26
18 Chayka 34 5 7 22 30 76 -46 22
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Torpedo Moskva
WDWDL
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

16 MayWvs Enisey1-0
11 MayDat Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1
3 MayWat Chayka2-0
27 AprDvs Fakel2-2
22 AprLat Ural0-2
FK Neftekhimik
LDLLW
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

16 MayLat Ska-khabarovsk0-2
10 MayDvs Volga Ulyanovsk2-2
2 MayLat Chelyabinsk0-2
26 AprLat Enisey0-2
22 AprWvs Chernomorets4-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches11
Average Goals2
BTTS36%
Over 2.5 Goals45%
Over 1.5 Goals55%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Torpedo Moskva161.45 per game
FK Neftekhimik60.55 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Torpedo Moskva6 (55%)
FK Neftekhimik3 (27%)
16 Mar 2026 First League Torpedo Moskva 3-0 FK Neftekhimik
27 Jul 2025 First League FK Neftekhimik 0-0 Torpedo Moskva
15 Mar 2025 First League FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Torpedo Moskva
17 Aug 2024 First League Torpedo Moskva 2-1 FK Neftekhimik
12 Nov 2023 First League FK Neftekhimik 0-0 Torpedo Moskva
21 Aug 2023 First League Torpedo Moskva 2-1 FK Neftekhimik
10 Apr 2022 First League FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Torpedo Moskva
29 Sep 2021 First League Torpedo Moskva 1-1 FK Neftekhimik
11 Apr 2021 First League FK Neftekhimik 2-2 Torpedo Moskva
17 Oct 2020 First League Torpedo Moskva 4-0 FK Neftekhimik
29 Sep 2019 First League FK Neftekhimik 1-0 Torpedo Moskva

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