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Italy
Serie C - Girone B
Round 32

Vis Pesaro vs Ternana Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Mar 2026
1 - 0
Full Time
Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

29%
30%
41%
Vis Pesaro Draw Ternana
Match Result
Ternana
41%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
61%
Both Teams Score
No
55%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
36%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
4 min read

In the picturesque city of Pesaro, the Tonino Benelli stadium is set to witness a clash of styles as Vis Pesaro takes on Ternana in a pivotal Serie C - Girone B encounter. With both sides locked in a fierce battle for positioning in the table, this match promises to be a tactical showdown. Let’s del...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Vis Pesaro
Vis Pesaro concede 38% of goals after the 75th minute (14 goals)
Vis Pesaro have received 4 red cards in 37 matches this season
Vis Pesaro score 22% of their goals in the first 15 minutes (8 goals)
Vis Pesaro failed to score in 12 of 37 matches (32%)
Vis Pesaro average 2.6 yellow cards per game (98 in 37 matches)
Ternana
Ternana have conceded in each of their last 11 matches
Ternana have scored in each of their last 6 matches

Key Statistics

2
2 Draws
2
1.67 Avg Goals
33% BTTS
17% Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026 Vis Pesaro 1-0 Ternana
9 Nov 2025 Ternana 1-1 Vis Pesaro
26 Jan 2025 Ternana 2-1 Vis Pesaro
20 Sep 2024 Vis Pesaro 0-2 Ternana
26 Jan 2019 Ternana 0-2 Vis Pesaro
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: Tactical Showdown in Serie C - Girone B

In the picturesque city of Pesaro, the Tonino Benelli stadium is set to witness a clash of styles as Vis Pesaro takes on Ternana in a pivotal Serie C - Girone B encounter. With both sides locked in a fierce battle for positioning in the table, this match promises to be a tactical showdown. Let’s delve into the key elements that make this fixture so intriguing.

Match Context and Significance

This Saturday, Vis Pesaro and Ternana lock horns in what could be a crucial matchup for both teams vying for better standing in Serie C - Girone B. With Vis Pesaro currently occupying the 10th spot and Ternana nestled comfortably in 5th place, the visitors might hold a slight edge. However, the home side will be eager to capitalize on their familiarity with the pitch and the support from their passionate fans.

Recent Momentum

Let's take a closer look at the form lines. Vis Pesaro has been showing some resilience lately, with a mix of wins and draws interspersed with a couple of losses. Their last five results read WWDDL, which indicates they've managed to secure back-to-back victories recently. On the flip side, Ternana’s recent run can be summarized as LWLWW, suggesting they've also found the winning ways after a brief dip. Both teams share similarities in terms of consistency, each boasting four wins, four draws, and two losses in their last ten matches.

Current State of Play

In the broader context of Serie C - Girone B, Ternana is sitting pretty at fifth, having accumulated 42 points from 29 games. Meanwhile, Vis Pesaro trails slightly with 39 points in 10th place. While Ternana is closer to securing a top playoff spot, Vis Pesaro remains in contention and hungry for points to move up the ladder.

Tactical Preview

Head coach Andrea Mazzoni of Vis Pesaro is known for his flexible approach, often adapting his tactics based on the opposition. Expect him to employ a formation that capitalizes on the home advantage, possibly a 4-3-3 system designed to exploit Ternana's defensive weaknesses. Conversely, Ternana's manager Marco Baroni favors a robust 4-4-2 setup that emphasizes solidity in defense while maintaining a threat in attack. His midfield duo will play a crucial role in dictating the tempo and controlling possession.

Head-to-Head History and Patterns

When we look at the head-to-head record, we see a closely contested series between these two teams. Over the past five encounters, Ternana has claimed two wins, Vis Pesaro one win, and there have been two draws. The most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, showcasing the competitive nature of these matchups. Notably, the average goal tally per match in this series stands at 1.8, hinting at tight and potentially low-scoring affairs.

Betting Analysis

Let’s dive into the betting landscape. The bookmakers have priced the match at 3.1 for Vis Pesaro to win, 2.75 for a draw, and 2.25 for Ternana to emerge victorious. These odds suggest a slight preference for Ternana, with an implied probability of around 39.3%. In the double chance market, backing Ternana or a draw offers decent value at 1.3, reflecting the close nature of the teams and the likelihood of a narrow margin of victory.

For those interested in over/under betting, the top correct score predictions point towards a low-scoring affair, with 1-1 and 0-1 being popular picks among the bookies. Considering the head-to-head history and the teams’ recent defensive performances, betting on under 2.5 goals could be a smart choice.

Predictions

Based on the available data and recent form, we predict a closely fought battle that might just tip in favor of Ternana. Our confidence level stands at 41% for a Ternana win. We also believe that under 2.5 goals will be the likely outcome, with a 60% confidence level. Lastly, we lean towards the absence of both teams scoring, giving this prediction a 54% confidence rating.

Best Bets Summary

Our top recommendations for this match:

  • Match Result: Ternana to win (Confidence: 41%)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (Confidence: 60%)
  • Both Teams to Score: No (Confidence: 54%)

In conclusion, Vis Pesaro and Ternana present a fascinating matchup that hinges on tactical acumen and recent form. With Ternana holding a slight edge in the standings and Vis Pesaro aiming to capitalize on their home field advantage, this match sets the stage for a compelling contest that will surely delight Serie C - Girone B enthusiasts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Ternana with 41% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 36% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Vis Pesaro vs Ternana have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (61% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
Both teams to score: No (55% confidence).
When and where is Vis Pesaro vs Ternana played?
Vis Pesaro vs Ternana takes place on 14 Mar 2026 at Tonino Benelli.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64 24 +40 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63 23 +40 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50 30 +20 73
4 Campobasso FC 36 17 10 9 49 37 +12 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46 43 +3 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37 34 +3 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42 45 -3 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31 32 -1 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44 40 +4 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38 36 +2 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39 51 -12 43
12 Forli 36 10 10 16 41 52 -11 40
13 Athletic Carpi 36 10 10 16 35 48 -13 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38 44 -6 38
15 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 36 8 14 14 30 36 -6 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30 37 -7 37
17 Torres 36 6 18 12 32 45 -13 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37 54 -17 32
19 Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27 62 -35 20
Champions League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Vis Pesaro
LLWLL
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 AprLvs Sambenedettese2-3
18 AprLat Ravenna0-1
12 AprWvs Athletic Carpi3-0
4 AprLat Ascoli1-2
29 MarLvs Perugia0-1
Ternana
LWDLD
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

26 AprLvs Pianese1-3
18 AprWat Bra2-1
12 AprDvs Perugia2-2
8 AprLat Juventus U231-2
4 AprDat Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches6
Average Goals1.67
BTTS33%
Over 2.5 Goals17%
Over 1.5 Goals67%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Vis Pesaro50.83 per game
Ternana50.83 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Vis Pesaro3 (50%)
Ternana2 (33%)
14 Mar 2026 Serie C - Girone B Vis Pesaro 1-0 Ternana
9 Nov 2025 Serie C - Girone B Ternana 1-1 Vis Pesaro
26 Jan 2025 Serie C - Girone B Ternana 2-1 Vis Pesaro
20 Sep 2024 Serie C - Girone B Vis Pesaro 0-2 Ternana
26 Jan 2019 Serie C - Girone B Ternana 0-2 Vis Pesaro
30 Sep 2018 Serie C - Girone B Vis Pesaro 0-0 Ternana

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