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Yellow Cards Over/Under Predictions 13 Mar 2026

Alexey Andrianov 4 min read 51 13 Mar 2026

The world of football betting is rich with opportunities, but one area often overlooked is the number of yellow cards a match might produce. On March 13, 2026, we have 21 fixtures across various leagues, offering us a perfect chance to dive deep into the yellow card over/under market. With an impressive 95% of our predictions leaning towards an over on the yellow card count, it’s clear that this matchday promises plenty of action and discipline calls from the referees.

Best Over Cards Picks

Our top picks for yellow cards over the line are dominated by Serie A and CONMEBOL Libertadores clashes, with strong home favorites leading the way:

  • Gremio vs RB Bragantino (Brazilian Série A): With odds at 1.21 and a prediction confidence of 74%, this match stands out as one of the strongest over bets. Gremio’s aggressive playing style and RB Bragantino's tendency for fouls make this a high-intensity battle likely to see multiple cards.
  • Independiente Medellin vs Juventud (CONMEBOL Libertadores): At 1.28 odds and a 70% confidence level, this fixture promises a lively encounter. Both teams are known for their physical play, setting the stage for several disciplinary actions.
  • NK Varazdin vs NK Varaždin (HNL): Another standout choice with odds at 1.28 and 70% confidence. The local rivalry and high-pressure environment ensure that this match will be full of challenges and potential yellow cards.
  • Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe (Super Lig): At 1.32 odds and 68% confidence, this Istanbul derby features two teams known for passionate and sometimes rough play, making it a prime candidate for yellow cards.
  • Estudiantes LP vs Lanús (Liga Profesional): With odds at 1.34 and 67% confidence, this clash between two strong Argentinian sides is sure to be competitive, with both teams not afraid to assert themselves physically.

Best Under Cards Picks

While the majority of matches lean towards the over, there are a few standout choices where we predict fewer yellow cards than the average:

  • FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL (CONCACAF Champions Cup): At 1.70 odds and 55% confidence, this match has a good chance of seeing fewer cards due to the neutral nature of the competition and less intense rivalry between the teams.

Referee Card Trends

A closer look at the referees shows that some officials are more prone to issuing yellow cards than others. Referees known for their strict interpretations of rules and high card rates include:

  • Rafael Irizar (Mexico): Known for his consistent application of the rules, Irizar tends to issue more yellow cards compared to other Mexican officials.
  • Daniele Orsato (Italy): With a reputation for being fair yet firm, Orsato often sees higher than average card counts in his matches.
  • Mario Della Venuta (Argentina): A seasoned official who doesn’t shy away from penalizing fouls and misconduct, making his games typically card-heavy.

Value Cards Picks

In terms of value, the following matches offer the best combination of high confidence and attractive odds:

  • Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League): With a 67% confidence level and odds at 2.12, this match represents a solid bet for those looking for a slight edge in the over market.
  • Huracan vs River Plate (Liga Profesional): At 1.37 odds and 66% confidence, this classic Argentine derby promises plenty of action and potential yellow cards.

Quick Tips

Here are some quick tips for the 13th of March, 2026:

  • Focus on Serie A and CONMEBOL Libertadores matches for high-confidence over picks.
  • Look for matches with strong rivalries and physical play styles to increase your chances of seeing more yellow cards.
  • Consider the referee’s history with issuing cards when choosing your over/under bets.
  • Don’t overlook the value in lower-profile matches where the odds offer better returns despite lower confidence levels.

With these insights, you’re well-equipped to make informed decisions on your yellow card over/under bets for March 13, 2026. Happy betting!

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst

Founder of Football Predictions — an AI-powered football analysis platform covering 180+ leagues worldwide. Each forecast is generated by our prediction engine and editorially reviewed.

60.3% accuracy 16179 predictions 30+ years

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