Premier League Matchday 37 Review 2026
Matchday 37 of the Ethiopian Premier League delivered 19 goals across ten pulsating encounters, a round that showcased the fierce competitive intensity defining this season's campaign. With the season still in progress, every result carries significant weight, and this fixture block proved no exception as clubs at both ends of the table scrambled to strengthen their positions. The fixture card produced a fascinating mix of comprehensive victories and narrow wins, underlining the unpredictable nature of Ethiopian top-flight football.
Ethiopia Bunna captured the headlines with an emphatic 3-0 victory over Mekelle Kenema, a result that provided a statement of intent regarding their attacking capabilities and defensive solidity heading into the decisive phase of the season. Meanwhile, Negelle Arsi claimed a crucial 2-0 win over Ethiopia Nigd Bank that could prove pivotal in their battle against relegation, demonstrating the desperate survival stakes that continue to drive performances across the lower reaches of the standings.
Clean sheets dominated the landscape, with six teams successfully shutting out their opponents, while three encounters ended in draws. The round produced several statement results including Kedus Giorgis edging past Fasil Ketema, Welwalo Adigrat Uni claiming all three points at Arba Minch Kenema, and Suhul Shire's impressive 3-0 triumph over Ethiopian Medhin. The margins separating success and disappointment remain razor-thin, and as the season approaches its climax, every goal, every point, and every performance carries magnified significance in shaping the final hierarchy.
Prediction Scorecard: Matchday 37 Accuracy Breakdown
The prediction model navigated Matchday 37 of the Ethiopian Premier League with a solid foundation, recording 6 correct results from 10 matches for a 60% success rate on the 1X2 market. While the hit rate on outright winner predictions leaves room for refinement, the secondary markets proved considerably more reliable, with both the Over/Under and BTTS markets hitting at an impressive 80% clip.
Two predictions stood out as particularly strong calls. The forecast for Bahardar 0-1 Sidama Bunna delivered precisely, with the away side grinding out a narrow one-goal victory. Similarly, the anticipated home win for Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Fasil Ketema materialised exactly as suggested. On the opposite end, four matches deviated from predictions: Ethiopia Bunna's commanding 3-0 home victory over Mekelle Kenema caught the model off guard, as did the comfortable away success of Suhul Shire at Ethiopian Medhin. The draws at Hadiya Hosaena and Mebrat Hayl proved equally elusive, with both home teams failing to hold onto leads or find winners.
Examining the secondary metrics reveals where the model excelled. The 80% accuracy on Over/Under total goals indicates strong calibration on expected matchflow, correctly identifying eight of ten fixtures as low-scoring affairs. The BTTS market mirrored this performance, with eight matches producing either clean sheets or one-sided attacking output. The lone exception worth noting was the Adama Kenema 0-2 Welayta Dicha result, where a draw was tipped but an away win materialised. Overall, the multi-market approach provided valuable balance, with the secondary markets compensating for 1X2 shortfalls throughout the card.
Surprise Results Shake the Title Race as Favourites Fall
Matchday 37 of the Ethiopian Premier League delivered a series of unexpected outcomes that reshaped the dynamics at both ends of the standings. Three of the four fixtures on the card resulted in victories for the underdogs, defying the pre-match predictions that had favoured the opposing sides. The sole outcome that aligned with expectations came at Mebrat Hayl, where a share of the spoils unfolded as anticipated in their encounter with Awassa Kenema.
Suhul Shire produced the most convincing upset of the round, travelling to face Ethiopian Medhin and securing a comprehensive 3-0 victory. The scoreline not only ended the matchday with the largest margin of victory but also demonstrated clinical efficiency in both boxes. Ethiopian Medhin, who had been installed as the predicted winners with a 39% probability, found themselves overwhelmed from the outset and were unable to respond to Suhul Shire's superior attacking play. The three goals represent a significant statement from a side that many had written off ahead of the fixture.
Ethiopia Bunna was another side that confounded the odds compilers, demolishing Mekelle Kenema by a 3-0 margin. Despite being given only a 37% chance of victory, Ethiopia Bunna controlled proceedings from the first whistle and kept Mekelle Kenema at bay throughout. The result will raise questions about Mekelle Kenema's defensive organisation, as they shipped three goals without managing a response. For Ethiopia Bunna, the victory provides crucial momentum as the season progresses through its advanced stages.
Sheger Ketema also bucked the prediction trend, defeating Mekelakeya 2-0 despite Mekelakeya being favoured at 46%. The result represents another substantial upset that will reverberate through the league table. Meanwhile, at the Mebrat Hayl ground, the 1-1 draw between the hosts and Awassa Kenema proved the only fixture to match pre-match expectations, with the draw materialising as the most likely outcome at 31%. This solitary correct prediction highlights the unpredictability that characterised an otherwise extraordinary matchday across Ethiopian football's top tier.
Matchday 37 Review: Medhin's Title March Continues
The 37th round of the Ethiopian Premier League delivered another significant result for league leaders Ethiopian Medhin, who extended their commanding advantage at the summit with a victory that pushed their tally to 73 points. With a record of 22 wins, seven draws, and five defeats, Medhin remain overwhelming favourites to claim the title with little room for their closest pursuers to close the gap. Their relentless consistency across the season has been the defining feature of the campaign, and Matchday 37 offered no indication of a slowdown.
Behind them, the battle for the remaining European qualification spots intensified. Ethiopia Bunna sit second on 60 points following their 17th victory of the season, but Bahardar and Awassa Kenema both remain firmly in contention, separated by just a single point in third and fourth respectively. Bahardar's 15 wins and nine draws reflect a campaign of steady resilience, while Awassa Kenema's 14 victories and 11 draws highlight their unpredictability — a trait that could prove decisive in the closing stages. Sidama Bunna and Welayta Dicha, fifth and sixth on 49 and 48 points, also harbour realistic ambitions of climbing into the qualification places should any of the teams above them stumble.
With only a handful of matches remaining in the 2025/26 season, the standings picture is becoming increasingly crystallised at both ends. Ethiopian Medhin appear to have the title wrapped up, but the race for second place and the scramble for European qualification spots below them guarantees sustained drama through to the final round. Every point dropped by the teams in contention could prove pivotal, and Matchday 38 will be closely watched as the campaign hurtles toward its conclusion.