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Review Premier Division

Goal Feast as Waterford and Bohemians Steal the Show on 17-Goal Matchday 23

Alexey Andrianov 6 min read 2 6 Jul 2026

The Premier Division produced a spectacular attacking display on Matchday 23, with all five fixtures yielding a remarkable 17 goals across the division. The round provided plenty of entertainment for supporters, as visiting sides enjoyed particular success with three victories on hostile territory. Waterford emerged as the weekend's standout performers, delivering the most emphatic result of the evening with a 4-2 victory at Derry City, while Bohemians claimed a valuable three points at Drogheda United.

The action began at the Brandywell Stadium, where Waterford's clinical finishing proved too much for Derry City to handle in a 4-2 thriller. Bohemians followed suit with a composed 2-0 display against Drogheda United, keeping a clean sheet in the process. St Patrick's Athletic were in dominant form at Richmond Park, sweeping aside Galway United with a 3-0 victory that signals their continued push up the standings.

The late kick-offs brought further drama as Shamrock Rovers edged past Sligo Rovers 2-1 in a tight contest, while Shelbourne and Dundalk served up an entertaining 2-1 encounter at Tolka Park. With the goals flowing freely and the race for positions intensifying, Matchday 23 delivered everything fans could have asked for as the 2024/25 season continues to build momentum.

Prediction Accuracy Falls Short in High-Scoring Derry City Thriller

The matchday 23 predictions delivered a solid 80% accuracy rate across the five Premier Division fixtures, with four correct 1X2 selections out of five. The Over/Under metric performed equally well at 80%, while Both Teams To Score came in at 60%. The standout failure came at the Brandywell where Derry City played out a barnstormering 4-2 defeat to Waterford, a result that confounded the home favourite prediction and produced the only outright miss of the round.

The Waterford upset deserves particular attention given the margin of victory. A 4-2 scoreline at Derry City's home ground represents a significant defensive collapse for the home side and a clinical attacking display from the visitors. The failure to anticipate this outcome cost the prediction column dearly, though the high-scoring nature of the match did at least align with Over/Under expectations. Meanwhile, Drogheda United's 0-2 home loss to Bohemians validated the away win selection, with the visitors keeping a clean sheet while clinical in front of goal. St Patrick's Athletic's dominant 3-0 home victory over Galway United also confirmed the home favourite prediction, suggesting strong home form for the Dublin side.

Sligo Rovers' narrow 1-2 defeat to Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne's 2-1 home win against Dundalk both followed the predicted away and home outcomes respectively. The overall 80% hit rate demonstrates reasonable predictive performance across the fixture list, though the Waterford result underscores how home advantage can be swiftly overturned when visiting teams arrive in exceptional form. The 60% BTTS rate indicates that while goal-scoring was generally reliable, predicting whether both sides would find the net proved trickier than outright winner selection on this particular matchday.

Surprise Result Headlines Matchday 23 Action

The standout result of Matchday 23 came at Brandywell Stadium where Derry City suffered a 4-2 home defeat against Waterford. The bookmakers had strongly backed Derry City to secure all three points at 66 percent probability, making this one of the most significant upsets of the round. Waterford's commanding victory suggests they found the net with clinical efficiency on their travels, leaving Derry City with a difficult afternoon despite their home advantage.

Shelbourne maintained their consistent form with a 2-1 victory over Dundalk at Tolka Park. While the prediction model favored Shelbourne at 46 percent, indicating a closely contested encounter, they ultimately justified the favouritism. The result extends Shelbourne's positive run and provides a welcome three points against a Dundalk side that was unable to complete a comeback despite the narrow margin.

Sligo Rovers played hosts to Shamrock Rovers in a fixture that delivered the expected outcome as Shamrock Rovers claimed a 2-1 away victory. The prediction of an away win at 60 percent proved accurate, reflecting Shamrock Rovers' ability to perform consistently on their travels this season. Sligo Rovers managed to find the net but could not prevent their opponents from taking maximum points back to Dublin.

St Patrick's Athletic delivered the most emphatic result of the round with a 3-0 demolition of Galway United at Richmond Park. Predicted at 67 percent as the most likely outcome, St Patrick's Athletic converted their chances with ruthless efficiency to record a clean sheet and three goals. The result will boost confidence heading into the next round of fixtures as the season continues its trajectory through the 2026/27 campaign.

Round 23 Shakes Up the Premier Division Race

The Matchday 23 results delivered significant movement across the Premier Division table, with the top three teams separated by just nine points heading into the final stretch of the 2026/27 season. Shamrock Rovers maintained their position at the summit with 50 points, having accumulated 15 wins alongside five draws and five defeats, leaving them seven points clear of second-placed Bohemians. Bohemians themselves have been consistent if not spectacular, collecting 43 points through 12 victories, seven draws and six losses, while St Patrick's Athletic sit close behind on 41 points, with the same win tally as Bohemians but having played one game fewer.

Further down the table, Dundalk hold fourth place on 35 points, though their destiny remains firmly in their own hands with a game in hand over several rivals. Shelbourne are only one point adrift of Dundalk in fifth, having drawn a remarkable ten matches this season — the highest draw count in the division — which suggests a pattern of narrow margins costing them precious ground. Derry City occupy sixth with 29 points, eight points behind Shelbourne, and their fate may now depend on results going their way across the remaining fixtures.

The gap between first and fourth stands at 15 points, a margin that offers Shamrock Rovers breathing room but provides no guarantees in a division where Bohemians and St Patrick's Athletic both possess games in hand. With only seven points separating second place from fifth, the battle for European qualification spots remains fiercely competitive, and every result from this point forward carries added significance for clubs with ambitions of climbing the final standings.

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst

Founder of Football Predictions — an AI-powered football analysis platform covering 180+ leagues worldwide. Each forecast is generated by our prediction engine and editorially reviewed.

60.3% accuracy 16179 predictions 30+ years

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