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Review League One

League One Matchday 24 Review 2026: Surprises & Key Results

Alexey Andrianov 4 min read 194 11 Mar 2026

Matchday 24 in Scotland's League One delivered goals, drama, and crucial results that reshaped the top-eight standings. With a mix of tight encounters and unexpected outcomes, fans were treated to a thrilling round of football. It was a week where our prediction accuracy hit a solid 67% for 1X2 picks and 100% on over/under calls, but not without a few surprises along the way.

Our Prediction Scorecard: Hits and Misses

  • 1X2: 2 out of 3 correct (67%)
  • Over/Under: 100% accuracy
  • BTTS: 67% accuracy

While our 1X2 predictions performed decently, one result caught us off guard. Our over/under calls were flawless, correctly anticipating the dynamics of all three matches. BTTS had a mixed showing, with two correct calls out of three.

Highlight Results: Key Matches in Focus

Montrose 1-1 Kelty Hearts

This encounter promised a Montrose win, based on form and historical edge, but the match unfolded differently. Kelty Hearts battled valiantly to secure a 1-1 draw, defying our predicted home victory. Montrose’s early goal looked to set the tone, but Kelty responded with resilience, grabbing a second-half equalizer. The teams canceled each other out in a midfield-heavy battle, aligning with our correct under 2.5 goals expectation. Both sides created enough opportunities to validate the BTTS call, but Montrose fans will be disappointed with dropped points as their hopes for climbing higher in the table falter.

Hamilton Academical 0-1 Stenhousemuir

Our prediction of a Stenhousemuir away win proved spot on, as the visitors continued their impressive form to edge Hamilton in a cagey 1-0 victory. Stenhousemuir managed the game brilliantly, scoring the decisive goal in the first half and locking up defensively in the second. Our correct under 2.5 goals call reflects the disciplined defensive display from the visitors. However, Hamilton’s inability to break down the Stenhousemuir backline meant our BTTS prediction was misplaced. As they remain second in the table, Stenhousemuir’s consistency keeps Inverness CT within arm’s reach in the title race.

Peterhead 3-1 Alloa Athletic

Peterhead delivered the shock of the round, comprehensively defeating playoff-chasing Alloa Athletic with a commanding 3-1 performance. We nailed this one, accurately forecasting a home win (despite just 38% confidence) and over 2.5 goals. Peterhead’s attacking efficiency stunned Alloa, whose usually solid defense crumbled under pressure. The victory boosts Peterhead’s position in the standings, pulling closer to the mid-table pack. Alloa, meanwhile, will be frustrated by their missed chance to strengthen their grip on third place. The BTTS prediction also landed, with Alloa managing a consolation goal late in the second half.

Biggest Surprises: Where We Got It Wrong

The draw between Montrose and Kelty Hearts stood out as the round’s biggest surprise. Our prediction leaned towards Montrose exploiting their home advantage, but Kelty Hearts proved stubborn opposition. Montrose lacked the clinical edge that has often seen them secure tight matches; their failure to convert possession into goals was evident here. While the result didn’t drastically alter the standings, it certainly raised questions about Montrose’s ability to mount a late charge for fifth place.

Best Calls: Where We Nailed It

Peterhead’s triumph against Alloa was undoubtedly our standout call. Despite Peterhead having an inconsistent season, their home form and underlying attacking metrics suggested potential for an upset — and they delivered big time. The over 2.5 goals call also fit perfectly into the narrative of a free-flowing, high-tempo game. Our confidence in Stenhousemuir’s ability to grind out an away win also paid off. Their compact defensive structure and ability to capitalize on Hamilton’s mistakes were textbook qualities that justified the pick.

Standings Impact: What Changed at the Top

The most significant shift saw Stenhousemuir closing the gap on leaders Inverness CT to just two points. Inverness remain in first place with 52 points, but Stenhousemuir’s relentless form is keeping the title race alive. Alloa Athletic missed an opportunity to solidify third place, slipping to 46 points and leaving themselves vulnerable to Queen of the South. Peterhead’s win brings them to 35 points, keeping them just ahead of Montrose in fifth. Meanwhile, Cove Rangers and East Fife remain distant, with little movement in the bottom two spots.

Looking Ahead: Eyes on the Next Round

As Matchday 25 looms, the pressure is mounting at both ends of the table. Inverness CT will look to extend their lead with Stenhousemuir breathing down their necks. Alloa Athletic must bounce back quickly to avoid losing ground in the playoff race, while Peterhead and Montrose are set for a mid-table tussle that could define the race for fifth place. The league is heating up, and fans can expect more drama in the coming weeks!

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst

Founder of Football Predictions — an AI-powered football analysis platform covering 180+ leagues worldwide. Each forecast is generated by our prediction engine and editorially reviewed.

60.3% accuracy 16179 predictions 30+ years

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