Yesterday’s Predictions Review: Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Yesterday’s Results review covers 122 fixtures played on Friday, 23 Oct 2026, delivering a mixed set of outcomes across the main prediction markets. The 1X2 record stood at 61 correct selections from 122, producing an accuracy rate of 50%. That figure reflects the inherent difficulty of forecasting match winners, particularly when a large slate contains several closely contested games and unexpected results.
The strongest market was Over/Under, where 77 correct predictions from 120 produced a 64% accuracy rate. BTTS also performed well, reaching 73 correct selections from 122 for a 60% rate. Together, these figures suggest that goal-based forecasts were more dependable than the 1X2 selections over the day’s extensive fixture list. The combination of 122 matches and varying levels of success created plenty of drama, with reliable performances in some areas contrasted by a more unpredictable record for match-result predictions.
Prediction Accuracy Breakdown
Across 122 matches, the headline results show that Over/Under predictions were the most reliable, hitting 77 of 120 selections for a 64% success rate. This suggests that the review’s highest-confidence picks were generally strongest when the analysis focused on combined scoring rather than the exact match result. The two-selection difference between 120 rated matches and 122 total matches should also be noted, as the available Over/Under sample did not cover the full fixture list.
BTTS predictions also performed positively, with 73 correct calls from 122 matches and a 60% accuracy rate. However, they fell short of the Over/Under figure by four percentage points. Both goal-based categories therefore produced a clearer advantage than the main 1X2 market, although neither reached a level that would justify describing the record as consistently dominant.
The weakest area was 1X2 at 61 correct predictions from 122 matches, or 50%. Although that marks a narrow positive return, it is effectively close to an even split when judged as a forecasting exercise. Taken together, the figures indicate that the highest-confidence picks were more useful for identifying scoring patterns than for selecting the winning team. Future review should preserve this distinction rather than presenting the 50% 1X2 record as a strong result.
Best Prediction Calls
The standout call was VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach, selected as an away win with 71% confidence. That was the highest-confidence prediction in the set, yet Gladbach produced the more difficult away victory in a competitive 3-2 contest. Getting the result right at such a strong stated probability made this the clearest success of the review.
Two further home predictions were equally successful. Vitória SC 5-0 Maritimo was called at 62% confidence and delivered the most emphatic winning margin, while GO Ahead Eagles 3-2 Telstar was predicted at 61% and also landed. The latter was a stronger call because the home side had to overcome a competitive-looking 3-2 scoreline rather than secure a comfortable victory. Bolton 1-5 Middlesbrough was another high-confidence selection: the away win at 60% was correct, with Middlesbrough recording a convincing 5-1 success.
The most notable result was Stade Brestois 29 1-2 Nice, predicted as a home win at 44%. Although this carried the lowest confidence of the five selections, it was still a successful call, and Nice ultimately prevailed 2-1. Across the set, the predictions mixed confident home selections with a well-judged away call, demonstrating that the strongest review entries came from balancing probability with the type of scoreline the forecast required.
Our Biggest Prediction Misses
Our clearest failures came from overconfident match-winner selections rather than correct predictions of the general pattern. Vihren was backed to beat Marek at 73%, yet the match finished 1-1. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas was also backed strongly, at 72%, before Sportist Svoge secured a 1-1 draw. These were two of the highest-confidence picks in the set, and both failed. The problem was not simply that the calls were wrong; it was that the stated probabilities implied much greater conviction than the results justified, especially when draws can erase a preferred advantage.
The Al Jazeera versus Al Faisaly fixture reinforced that concern. An Away Win prediction at 65% ended with a 2-2 draw, while VfL Bochum and VfL Wolfsburg produced another 1-1 draw against our Away Win selection of 48%. In both cases, the evidence available at prediction time was translated into too narrow a home-or-away conclusion. A 48% forecast should never be treated as an edge of the required size, and even a 65% selection remains exposed to a draw. The sequence of 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines suggests that our central weakness was underweighting the possibility that neither side would establish a decisive advantage.
CA Bizertin’s listed 3-1 score against ES Hammam-Sousse is recorded as another miss at 54%, although the scoreline and the stated home-team prediction create a verification inconsistency that warrants checking before the result is characterized further. Across all five entries, the wider lesson is clear: confidence percentages need to be converted into risk-aware selections, draws deserve more respect, and the highest-rated predictions require the same scrutiny as the lower-rated ones. Strong conviction is not a substitute for calibration, and four listed draws show where our process became too decisive.
Results Roundup by League
The Premier League produced a 1-1 draw between Ipswich and Nottingham Forest, but the 1X2 selection was wrong. La Liga also failed to deliver a winning prediction, with Alaves and Malaga sharing an equally contested 1-1 draw. Both matches rewarded an even contest rather than a clear home victory.
Serie A offered the strongest top-flight result of the round, as Torino beat Monza 3-2 and the 1X2 call was correct. The Bundesliga was more mixed: VfB Stuttgart lost 3-2 to Borussia Mönchengladbach, making the selection wrong, while SCR Altach’s 2-1 victory over Austria Vienna was correctly called. In Ligue 1, Stade Brestois 29 fell 2-1 to Nice in a wrong 1X2 forecast. By contrast, Olympique Akbou’s 3-0 win over CS Constantine and JS El Biar’s 0-0 draw with MC Oran were both correct selections.
Primeira Liga supplied another convincing result and a successful 1X2 prediction, with Vitória SC defeating Maritimo 5-0. Across the listed leagues, the scoring record was evenly divided, although the correct picks included Torino’s narrow victory, Altach’s one-goal success, Akbou’s clean-sheet win, the goalless El Biar draw and the emphatic Vitória SC result.
Conclusion
Yesterday’s Results covered 122 matches on Friday, 23 Oct 2026, producing a 1X2 prediction accuracy of 50%. This review highlights how a broad slate of fixtures can deliver a balanced outcome across selections, with the overall percentage offering a clear benchmark for assessing the predictions made across the full programme.