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Brazil
Serie A
Round 19

Atletico-MG vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Our prediction: Atletico-MG — Win (44%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.81
52%
Confidence

Betting Tips

44%
28%
27%
Atletico-MG Draw Bahia
Match Result
Atletico-MG
@ 1.97
Bet
45%
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.77
Bet
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.30
Bet
36%
Asian Handicap
Atletico-MG -0.5
@ 2.08
Bet
48%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.04
Bet
44%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.10
Bet
19.6%

Additional Markets

Anytime Goalscorer
Mateo Cassierra
38.2% @ 2.62 Bet
Dudu Pereira
33.3% @ 3.00 Bet
Everaldo Stum
31.3% @ 3.20 Bet
da Silva Willian Jose
31.3% @ 3.20 Bet
Reinier Carvalho
29.4% @ 3.40 Bet
Alan Minda
29.4% @ 3.40 Bet
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Bahia
Bahia have conceded in each of their last 9 matches
Bahia have scored in each of their last 6 matches

Key Statistics

6
7 Draws
7
2.7 Avg Goals
60% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
5 Nov 2025 Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia
13 Jul 2025 Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG
15 Sep 2024 Bahia 3-0 Atletico-MG
2 Jun 2024 Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia
7 Dec 2023 Bahia 4-1 Atletico-MG
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 3.40 3.52
Bet365 1.50 3.25 2.50
Marathonbet 2.10 3.30 3.42

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the best bet for Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our top recommendation is Under 2.5 with 52% confidence.
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our Asian Handicap call is Atletico-MG -0.5 with 48% confidence.
Atletico-MG vs Bahia: what is our Half Time tip?
Our Half Time call is Draw with 44% confidence.
What is the HT/FT prediction for Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Our HT/FT call is X/1 with 20% confidence.
When and where is Atletico-MG vs Bahia played?
Atletico-MG vs Bahia takes place on 21 Jul 2026 at MRV Arena.

Additional Information

Atletico-MG

Top Scorers

Victor HugoMidfielder
1Goals
HulkAttacker
1Goals
Ruan TressoldiDefender
1Goals
DuduMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Victor HugoMidfielder
1Assists
HulkAttacker
1Assists
Renan LodiDefender
1Assists

Cards

Renan LodiDefender
20
Ruan TressoldiDefender
10
A. FrancoDefender
10
Igor GomesMidfielder
10
AlexsanderMidfielder
10
Bahia

Top Scorers

Jean LucasMidfielder
1Goals
Willian JoséAttacker
1Goals
C. OliveraAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

GilbertoDefender
1Assists

Cards

Jean LucasMidfielder
10
N. AcevedoMidfielder
10
Erick PulgaAttacker
10
DellAttacker
01
M. AraújoMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Atletico-MG
WLWDW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

31 MayWat Vasco DA Gama1-0
24 MayLat Corinthians0-1
16 MayWvs Mirassol3-1
10 MayDvs Botafogo1-1
3 MayWat Cruzeiro3-1
Bahia
WLDLL
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game3.3
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.9
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

30 MayWvs Botafogo2-1
25 MayLat Coritiba2-3
17 MayDvs Gremio1-1
14 MayLat Remo1-2
10 MayLvs Cruzeiro1-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals2.7
BTTS60%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals85%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Atletico-MG261.3 per game
Bahia281.4 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Atletico-MG5 (25%)
Bahia3 (15%)
5 Nov 2025 Serie A Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia
13 Jul 2025 Serie A Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG
15 Sep 2024 Serie A Bahia 3-0 Atletico-MG
2 Jun 2024 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia
7 Dec 2023 Serie A Bahia 4-1 Atletico-MG
13 Aug 2023 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-0 Bahia
2 Dec 2021 Serie A Bahia 2-3 Atletico-MG
5 Aug 2021 Copa Do Brasil Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG
29 Jul 2021 Copa Do Brasil Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia
25 Jul 2021 Serie A Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia
13 Feb 2021 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia
19 Oct 2020 Serie A Bahia 3-1 Atletico-MG
28 Nov 2019 Serie A Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG
24 Aug 2019 Serie A Atletico-MG 0-1 Bahia
17 Nov 2018 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-0 Bahia
30 Jul 2018 Serie A Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG
12 Nov 2017 Serie A Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG
20 Jul 2017 Serie A Atletico-MG 0-2 Bahia
21 Oct 2014 Serie A Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG
19 Jul 2014 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia

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