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Brazil
Serie A
Round 23

Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Confidence

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Atletico-MG Draw Gremio
Match Result
Atletico-MG
Bet
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
Bet
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
Bet
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Bet
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Gremio
Carlos Vinícius has scored 4 of Gremio's 6 goals (67%)
Gremio have conceded in each of their last 6 matches

Key Statistics

6
3 Draws
11
3.2 Avg Goals
70% BTTS
60% Over 2.5
26 Feb 2026 Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025 Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio
29 Mar 2025 Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024 Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio
1 Sep 2024 Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Atletico-MG vs Gremio have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
When and where is Atletico-MG vs Gremio played?
Atletico-MG vs Gremio takes place on 15 Aug 2026 at MRV Arena.

Additional Information

Atletico-MG

Top Scorers

Victor HugoMidfielder
1Goals
HulkAttacker
1Goals
Ruan TressoldiDefender
1Goals
DuduMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Victor HugoMidfielder
1Assists
HulkAttacker
1Assists
Renan LodiDefender
1Assists

Cards

Renan LodiDefender
20
Ruan TressoldiDefender
10
A. FrancoDefender
10
Igor GomesMidfielder
10
AlexsanderMidfielder
10
Gremio

Top Scorers

Carlos ViníciusAttacker
4Goals
TetêMidfielder
1Goals
EdenílsonMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

F. AmuzuMidfielder
2Assists
Gustavo MartinsDefender
1Assists

Cards

WevertonGoalkeeper
10
Wagner LeonardoDefender
10
André HenriqueAttacker
10
DodiMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Atletico-MG
WDWLW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 JulWat Palmeiras2-1
21 JulDvs Bahia1-1
31 MayWat Vasco DA Gama1-0
24 MayLat Corinthians0-1
16 MayWvs Mirassol3-1
Gremio
DLLWD
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

26 JulDvs Fluminense1-1
17 JulLat Mirassol1-2
30 MayLvs Corinthians1-3
23 MayWvs Santos3-2
17 MayDat Bahia1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.2
BTTS70%
Over 2.5 Goals60%
Over 1.5 Goals85%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Atletico-MG281.4 per game
Gremio361.8 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Atletico-MG1 (5%)
Gremio5 (25%)
26 Feb 2026 Serie A Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio
29 Mar 2025 Serie A Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024 Serie A Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio
1 Sep 2024 Serie A Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG
26 Nov 2023 Serie A Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio
23 Jul 2023 Serie A Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG
10 Dec 2021 Serie A Gremio 4-3 Atletico-MG
4 Nov 2021 Serie A Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio
20 Jan 2021 Serie A Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG
27 Sep 2020 Serie A Atletico-MG 3-1 Gremio
13 Oct 2019 Serie A Atletico-MG 1-4 Gremio
25 May 2019 Serie A Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG
3 Nov 2018 Serie A Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio
19 Jul 2018 Serie A Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG
3 Dec 2017 Serie A Atletico-MG 4-3 Gremio
6 Aug 2017 Serie A Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG
7 Dec 2016 Copa Do Brasil Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG
23 Nov 2016 Copa Do Brasil Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio
28 Aug 2016 Serie A Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG

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