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Poland
Ekstraklasa
Round 4

Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction & Betting Tips

16 Aug 2026
2 - 1
Full Time
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Kraków
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

39%
27%
34%
Cracovia Krakow Draw Raków Częstochowa
Match Result
Cracovia Krakow
39%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
55%
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%
Double Chance
Home/Away
36%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

When Cracovia Krakow and Raków Częstochowa meet at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego on Sunday, August 16, 2026, kickoff is scheduled for 15:30 local time (16:30 BST). Both clubs arrive at Matchday 4 of the Ekstraklasa in unfamiliar territory, with neither side having secured a league victory...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

8
5 Draws
4
2.53 Avg Goals
47% BTTS
53% Over 2.5
16 Aug 2026 Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Raków Częstochowa
19 Apr 2026 Raków Częstochowa 4-1 Cracovia Krakow
29 Oct 2025 Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Cracovia Krakow
18 Oct 2025 Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Raków Częstochowa
1 Feb 2025 Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Raków Częstochowa
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Winless Poles Seek First Victory at Pilsudski Stadium

When Cracovia Krakow and Raków Częstochowa meet at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego on Sunday, August 16, 2026, kickoff is scheduled for 15:30 local time (16:30 BST). Both clubs arrive at Matchday 4 of the Ekstraklasa in unfamiliar territory, with neither side having secured a league victory this campaign.

Cracovia Krakow sit 14th in the standings with just two points accumulated across three fixtures, their season record reading zero wins, two draws, and one defeat. Raków Częstochowa find themselves in even more precarious territory, propping up the table in 17th place with zero points from three consecutive defeats. The visitors travel to Krakow with mounting pressure on their shoulders, having failed to register a single point in their opening exchanges. Both squads have enjoyed recent rest periods, with Cracovia playing one match in the past ten days and Raków completing the same workload, meaning fatigue will not factor into the equation.

The stakes could not be clearer as these two struggling outfits prepare to face off. Raków Częstochowa must find a way to kickstart their campaign immediately, while Cracovia Krakow will look to build on their modest two-point foundation and climb away from the lower reaches. With both teams yet to taste victory this season, this Matchday 4 encounter presents a golden opportunity for one side to break their duck and inject renewed confidence into their Ekstraklasa campaign.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Both teams appear set to employ an attacking 4-3-3 formation for this encounter, suggesting an open contest with emphasis on width and forward play. The projected lineups indicate two sides prioritizing ball retention in midfield while looking to exploit spaces in behind opposition full-backs.

Cracovia Krakow's likely starting eleven features S. Madejski between the posts, protected by a back four of O. Kakabadze, G. Henriksson, B. Traoré, and M. Perković. The midfield trio consists of Amir Al Ammari, M. Klich, and K. Knap, with A. Hasić, M. Minchev, and Zahiroleslam leading the attacking line. Raków Częstochowa's projected XI includes W. Zolneczko in goal, F. Tudor, B. Racovițan, J. Napieraj, and S. Svarnas comprising the defensive unit, while Jean Carlos, O. Repka, and E. Otieno form the midfield engine room, with P. Makuch, T. Pieńko, and M. Emreli expected to provide the offensive threat.

Raków's primary attacking outlet appears to be P. Makuch, who has demonstrated his goal-scoring capability this season with one goal to his name. His movement and positioning could prove decisive in breaking down what promises to be a competitive defensive challenge from Cracovia's backline. The match-up between Raków's forward options and Cracovia's defensive organization may ultimately determine which side can impose their tempo on proceedings.

Recent Meetings Favour Raków in Krakow Tussle

Across the last 16 encounters between these two sides, Cracovia Krakow hold the historical edge with seven victories compared to four for Raków Częstochowa, alongside five draws. The overall balance, however, masks significant recent shifts in momentum.

Raków Częstochowa have dominated the most recent fixtures, winning three of the last five meetings by commanding margins. Their 4-1 victory in April 2026 and 3-0 win in late October 2025 stand out as particularly emphatic results. Cracovia Krakow responded with a 2-0 home win earlier in October 2025, though their sole away success came via a narrow 1-0 victory in July 2024, with the February 2025 meeting ending in a goalless draw.

The fixture averages 2.5 goals per match, while both teams have found the net in just 44% of their head-to-head meetings — a below-average rate suggesting clean sheets remain a realistic outcome. Given Raków's recent dominance and the low BTTS history, goals may prove harder to come by than the overall average implies.

Cracovia Krakow Seek Momentum Against Free-Falling Raków Częstochowa

The contrasting fortunes of these two Ekstraklasa sides heading into Matchday 4 tell a compelling story. Cracovia Krakow sit 14th with two points from three matches, a position that reflects their season-long struggle for consistency. Their recent run of DLDDD paints the picture of a side that cannot buy a win — they have managed just two victories across their last ten league fixtures, with eight draws and two defeats rounding out a remarkably stalemate-prone record. Their 0.8 goals per game average is the second-lowest in the division, and they have failed to score in three of their last five matches across all competitions.

Raków Częstochowa arrive in even more troubled waters, propping up the table in 17th place with zero points from two consecutive league defeats. However, their form readout of DLLWW reveals a team capable of moments of real quality — they secured a commanding 3-0 victory over Arka Gdynia before following it up with an impressive 3-1 away win at Piast Gliwice. The concerning issue for the visitors is that those triumphs have been overshadowed by back-to-back losses against Slask Wroclaw and Wisla Plock, both 1-2 defeats that exposed vulnerabilities at both ends of the pitch. Their superior attacking average of 1.6 goals per game suggests goals should not be a concern, yet they have failed to score in two of their last three outings.

When examining the head-to-head form data, Cracovia's defensive record stands out as a potential leveller. Their 40% clean sheet percentage over the last ten matches is respectable, and they have kept shutouts against quality opponents such as Lech Poznan and Slask Wroclaw in recent weeks. The 3-3 draw away to Motor Lublin highlighted an ability to fight back from difficult situations, though conceding three goals on the road raises questions about concentration levels. Raków, by contrast, have managed clean sheets in only 30% of their recent fixtures, and their defensive frailties were fully exposed in those narrow 1-2 defeats where they failed to hold onto leads or find a crucial second goal.

The statistical comparison reveals a fascinating tactical puzzle for Matchday 4. Cracovia's unbeaten streak may appear respectable on the surface, but seven consecutive draws across all competitions represent a psychological barrier that must be broken. Raków's superior firepower — averaging nearly double Cracovia's output — is undermined by their current winless league run and the lack of points accumulated on the board. The away side will back themselves to exploit Cracovia's goal-shy form, yet the hosts' stubbornness at the back, demonstrated by their back-to-back 0-0 stalemates against Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan, suggests this encounter may hinge on which team can first breach the opposing defence.

Tactical Battle Between Two Struggling Ekstraklasa Sides

Sunday's encounter at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego presents a fascinating tactical puzzle between two clubs desperately seeking their first victory of the season. Cracovia Krakow arrive in 14th position with two points from three matches, while Raków Częstochowa sit second from bottom with zero points and back-to-back defeats. With both teams yet to register a goal this campaign, the emphasis will inevitably fall on which side can first unlock their attacking potential and demonstrate tactical coherence in the final third.

Cracovia Krakow, under their current management, have shown resilience despite their winless start, collecting two draws from their opening fixtures. Their defensive structure has remained solid, conceding no goals across the season thus far. However, the inability to convert chances into goals suggests a potential tactical rigidity that Raków Częstochowa may look to exploit. The home side will benefit from seven days of rest since their last outing, providing ample time to work on offensive patterns during training sessions.

Raków Częstochowa face a steeper challenge, having suffered two consecutive losses without scoring. Their extended 10-day preparation period suggests their coaching staff has focused intensively on addressing both the defensive organization and the conversion of chances. The visitors will need to balance cautiousness against a Cracovia side equally desperate for three points, making an early tactical adjustment or set-piece opportunity potentially decisive in determining which team breaks their scoring drought first.

Cracovia vs Raków Częstochowa: Where the Value Lies for Ekstraklasa Bettors

Raków Częstochowa arrive at Matchday 4 in a precarious position, having accumulated zero points from their opening two fixtures and sitting second-bottom of the Ekstraklasa table. The away side's early season difficulties contrast sharply with Cracovia Krakow's more resilient start, as the hosts have collected two draws from three matches to sit in 14th place with two points. This disparity in form makes Sunday's encounter particularly intriguing from a betting perspective, as the market odds suggest an evenly contested match despite the hosts appearing marginally more stable at this early stage of the campaign.

The bookmaker odds reflect this uncertainty, with Raków Częstochowa installed as narrow away favourites at 2.55 (implied 37.2% probability) while Cracovia Krakow are priced at 2.85 for a home victory. The draw sits at 3.21, implying approximately 29.5% likelihood of a share of the spoils. Our analysis leans toward the away side securing all three points, though the confidence level of 38% indicates this remains a difficult fixture to call with any great certainty. Those backing a Raków victory can find the best available price of 2.6 at Betano, while the draw is best priced at 3.3 with 10Bet and Pinnacle offers the most competitive Home win odds at 2.85.

The goals markets present some of the more compelling value opportunities for this matchup. Both teams have struggled for attacking fluency in the early exchanges, which supports the under 2.5 goals selection at 55% confidence as the highest conviction pick in our analysis. The tight nature of the contest, combined with both sides' attacking limitations, suggests a low-scoring affair is the most likely outcome. However, the BTTS yes market at 52% confidence introduces an interesting alternative, as Raków will need to break down a Cracovia defence that has proven vulnerable despite accumulating clean sheets, while the hosts must find goals if they are to capitalise on their opponents' current frailties.

For punters seeking a more conservative approach, the double chance 12 market (home win or draw, no draw) carries 36% confidence and offers protection against a Cracovia collapse while still allowing for an away victory. The under 2.5 goals selection at 55% confidence remains our strongest recommendation given both teams' early season attacking struggles, though those confident in Raków's ability to bounce back from their winless start may find the best price available at Betano for an away victory to be the most attractive option given the odds differential across the market.

Extended Markets: Where the Value Lies Against the Spread

The Asian Handicap market presents the most compelling alternative to the standard 1X2 angle. With Cracovia Krakow sitting 14th on two draws from three matches and Raków Częstochowa propping up the table at 17th with back-to-back defeats, the handicap of Raków Częstochowa -0.25 at 1.52 (66% confidence) offers a measured approach to backing the visitors. The half-ball start for Raków means a outright win delivers a full return, while a draw results in half-stakes returned. Given that Cracovia have yet to register a victory this season despite showing some resilience, this market provides a cushion that pure match-odds cannot match. The 66% confidence rating reflects the inherent unpredictability of early-season form, where the sample size remains small and momentum can shift quickly.

For those seeking higher odds, the Half-Time market deserves attention given both sides' tendency to approach matches cautiously. Cracovia have shown a pattern of tight first halves, with their two draws both stemming from goalless openings before finding the net after the interval. Raków's attacking struggles compound this trend, suggesting the Half-Time draw could offer value at attractive odds. Similarly, the HT/FT double of Draw/Draw or Draw/Raków Częstochowa combinations merit consideration based on the tactical approach likely to be adopted by two clubs under pressure to arrest their respective slides.

Raków's Time to End Winless Run Against Struggling Cracovia

Raków Częstochowa heads into Matchday 4 desperate for a turnaround, sitting bottom of the Ekstraklasa without a single point after two consecutive defeats. Cracovia Krakow shows marginally better form with two draws and one loss, but the hosts remain in the lower half and have yet to taste victory this season. This fixture presents an ideal opportunity for Raków to register their first points of the campaign against a Cracovia side that has struggled to convert their competitive performances into wins.

Both teams enter with leaky defenses and inconsistent attacking outputs, which points toward a tightly contested affair with limited scoring opportunities. The under 2.5 goals market offers the strongest statistical edge given the attacking deficiencies on display, while BTTS yes captures value as neither defense inspires confidence. Raków at 2 remains the primary selection given their superior quality and urgent need for points, though the double chance 12 provides a safety net should Cracovia steal a share of the spoils. The combination of Raków's motivation, home advantage for Cracovia, and the low-scoring nature expected across Ekstraklasa fixtures this early in the campaign shapes our final recommendation toward Raków winning with under 2.5 total goals as the most likely outcome.

Our #1 PickUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.73 · 55%
Best ValueRaków CzęstochowaMatch Result (1X2)@2.32 · 38%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our model predicts Cracovia Krakow with 39% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 36% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (55% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
Both teams to score: Yes (51% confidence).
When and where is Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa played?
Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa takes place on 16 Aug 2026 at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.

Additional Information

Cracovia Krakow

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

A. HasićAttacker
10
F. MarchwińskiMidfielder
10
M. KlichMidfielder
10
Raków Częstochowa

Top Scorers

P. MakuchAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

F. TudorDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Cracovia Krakow
LLLWW
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.1
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

13 SepLat Wisla Plock1-3
6 SepLvs Gornik Zabrze0-1
29 AugLat Radomiak Radom1-2
21 AugWvs Wieczysta Kraków3-2
16 AugWvs Raków Częstochowa2-1
Raków Częstochowa
LWLLL
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.8
Win %20%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

15 SepLvs Zaglebie Lubin2-3
11 SepWvs Motor Lublin2-1
6 SepLat Lech Poznan0-1
3 SepLvs Gornik Zabrze1-2
30 AugLvs Jagiellonia2-5

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches17
Average Goals2.53
BTTS47%
Over 2.5 Goals53%
Over 1.5 Goals76%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Cracovia Krakow241.41 per game
Raków Częstochowa191.12 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Cracovia Krakow8 (47%)
Raków Częstochowa3 (18%)
16 Aug 2026 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Raków Częstochowa
19 Apr 2026 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 4-1 Cracovia Krakow
29 Oct 2025 Polish Cup Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Cracovia Krakow
18 Oct 2025 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Raków Częstochowa
1 Feb 2025 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Raków Częstochowa
29 Jul 2024 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 0-1 Cracovia Krakow
19 May 2024 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Raków Częstochowa
25 Nov 2023 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Cracovia Krakow
18 Mar 2023 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 4-1 Cracovia Krakow
3 Sep 2022 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 3-0 Raków Częstochowa
8 May 2022 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Cracovia Krakow
22 Nov 2021 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 1-0 Raków Częstochowa
14 Apr 2021 Polish Cup Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Raków Częstochowa
6 Mar 2021 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Cracovia Krakow
26 Sep 2020 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Raków Częstochowa
8 Dec 2019 Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow 3-0 Raków Częstochowa
3 Aug 2019 Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa 1-3 Cracovia Krakow

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