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Colombia
Primera A
Round 12

Deportivo Pasto vs Chico Prediction & Betting Tips

18 Mar 2026
2 - 0
Full Time
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Deportivo Pasto
2 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

64%
23%
13%
Deportivo Pasto Draw Chico
Match Result
Deportivo Pasto
64%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
No
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
43%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
4 min read

In a battle of contrasting fortunes, Deportivo Pasto welcomes Chico to Estadio Departamental Libertad for a key Primera A fixture. With Deportivo Pasto currently nestled in third place and Chico languishing near the bottom of the table, this matchup promises to be a test of resilience and determinat...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Deportivo Pasto
A. Estupiñán has scored 5 of Deportivo Pasto's 6 goals (83%)
Deportivo Pasto have received 3 red cards in 6 matches this season
Deportivo Pasto average 3.7 yellow cards per game (22 in 6 matches)
Deportivo Pasto have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches (50%)
Deportivo Pasto failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Chico
Chico failed to score in 4 of 5 matches (80%)
Chico concede 40% of goals after the 75th minute (4 goals)
Both teams scored in just 3 of Chico's last 15 matches (20%)
Chico average 2.8 yellow cards per game (14 in 5 matches)
Chico concede 2 goals per game (10 in 5)

Key Statistics

8
6 Draws
1
2.07 Avg Goals
40% BTTS
33% Over 2.5
18 Mar 2026 Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico
5 Sep 2025 Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico
26 Jul 2025 Chico 2-2 Deportivo Pasto
22 Mar 2025 Chico 0-0 Deportivo Pasto
12 Feb 2025 Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Chico
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Deportivo Pasto vs Chico: Strugglers Meet in Crucial Primera A Clash

In a battle of contrasting fortunes, Deportivo Pasto welcomes Chico to Estadio Departamental Libertad for a key Primera A fixture. With Deportivo Pasto currently nestled in third place and Chico languishing near the bottom of the table, this matchup promises to be a test of resilience and determination for both sides.

Recent Momentum

Deportivo Pasto enters this match on the back of a strong run of form, having claimed three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Their most recent result, a narrow victory over Envigado, keeps them firmly in contention for a top-three finish. On the other hand, Chico’s form has been far less impressive, with only two wins and seven losses in their last ten matches. Their most recent defeat to Atlético Nacional leaves them fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone.

Tactical Preview

Deportivo Pasto typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, which allows them to maintain a solid defensive structure while also posing a threat in attack. Key to their success is the interplay between their midfield trio, who provide a blend of creativity and work rate. Meanwhile, Chico prefers a 4-2-3-1 setup, emphasizing a compact shape and quick transitions. Despite their struggles, Chico’s front three offer some spark, though they often struggle to convert chances into goals.

Key Players

  • A. Estupiñán: The top scorer for Deportivo Pasto with five goals, Estupiñán has been a constant threat in front of goal. His ability to break through tight defenses makes him a pivotal figure in their attacking play.
  • J. Romana: Chico’s lone goal scorer in the season, Romana will need to step up against a defensively solid Deportivo Pasto. His creativity and vision could be crucial for Chico to unlock the opposition defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record clearly favors Deportivo Pasto, with seven wins to Chico’s one over the past fourteen encounters. Notably, four of those games ended in draws, indicating that despite the overall superiority of Deportivo Pasto, Chico can sometimes match them on the field. In their most recent meeting just last month, Deportivo Pasto emerged victorious with a 2-0 win, a result that will surely give them added confidence heading into this clash.

Betting Analysis

Looking at the betting odds, Deportivo Pasto is favored to secure all three points with the bookmakers giving them odds of 1.95, implying a 51.3% chance of winning. An over 2.5 goals bet is priced at 2.00, suggesting a 50% probability of the total being three or more. For both teams to score, the odds are set at 1.80, indicating a 55.6% likelihood. Finally, a double chance bet favoring Deportivo Pasto or a draw comes in at 1.25, reflecting a high 79.4% probability.

Our Predictions

Based on the form, head-to-head history, and current standings, we predict Deportivo Pasto to come out on top. Our confidence level is 45%, and we expect the match to see a total of over 2.5 goals. We believe there’s a strong possibility that Deportivo Pasto will secure a comfortable victory, but we’re also open to the possibility of Chico finding the net too. Therefore, our best bet recommendation is to go with a double chance for Deportivo Pasto or a draw at 1.25 odds.

Conclusion

In this upcoming Primera A clash, Deportivo Pasto and Chico will face off with vastly different ambitions. Deportivo Pasto, with its third-place standing and strong recent form, looks set to extend its lead in the table. Chico, meanwhile, needs a positive result to bolster its survival hopes. With the odds slightly in favor of Deportivo Pasto, this match offers an excellent opportunity to back a team that has been performing consistently well in recent weeks. Get ready for an exciting battle on Wednesday night!

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Our model predicts Deportivo Pasto with 64% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Deportivo Pasto vs Chico have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (57% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Both teams to score: No (60% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 43% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Deportivo Pasto vs Chico?
Frank Martinez is our pick to find the net.
When and where is Deportivo Pasto vs Chico played?
Deportivo Pasto vs Chico takes place on 18 Mar 2026 at Estadio Departamental Libertad.

Additional Information

Deportivo Pasto

Top Scorers

A. EstupiñánAttacker
5Goals
Y. GóezMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. EstupiñánAttacker
1Assists
J. CaicedoMidfielder
1Assists
Jonathan PerlazaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

A. EstupiñánAttacker
31
J. CaicedoMidfielder
30
D. ChávezMidfielder
30
M. GaravitoDefender
20
E. SerjeMidfielder
20
Chico

Top Scorers

J. RomanaMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

Nicolas ValenciaMidfielder
30
J. RomanaMidfielder
20
D. RamírezMidfielder
20
J. MolinaAttacker
10
J. PalmaDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Deportivo Pasto
LLLLW
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

13 MayLvs Deportes Tolima0-2
9 MayLat Deportes Tolima0-1
3 MayLat Junior3-4
23 AprLvs Santa Fe1-2
17 AprWat Jaguares3-2
Chico
WLLWL
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg0.8
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

2 MayWvs Llaneros3-0
27 AprLat Internacional de Bogota0-4
22 AprLat Independiente Medellin0-2
17 AprWvs Deportivo Cali1-0
12 AprLat Bucaramanga0-5

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches15
Average Goals2.07
BTTS40%
Over 2.5 Goals33%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Deportivo Pasto231.53 per game
Chico80.53 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Deportivo Pasto8 (53%)
Chico3 (20%)
18 Mar 2026 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico
5 Sep 2025 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico
26 Jul 2025 Primera A Chico 2-2 Deportivo Pasto
22 Mar 2025 Primera A Chico 0-0 Deportivo Pasto
12 Feb 2025 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Chico
22 Sep 2024 Primera A Chico 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
9 Mar 2024 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Chico
20 Aug 2023 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Chico
27 Feb 2023 Primera A Chico 1-1 Deportivo Pasto
4 Apr 2021 Primera A Chico 0-0 Deportivo Pasto
3 Oct 2020 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Chico
26 Oct 2018 Primera A Chico 1-1 Deportivo Pasto
24 Apr 2018 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Chico
10 Jul 2016 Primera A Chico 0-2 Deportivo Pasto
7 Feb 2016 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico

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