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Primera A
Round 1

Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Betting Tips

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Confidence

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Independiente Medellin Draw Deportivo Pasto
Match Result
Independiente Medellin
Bet
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
Bet
55%
Both Teams Score
Yes
Bet
64%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Bet
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin have scored in each of their last 15 matches
Both teams scored in 11 of Independiente Medellin's last 15 matches (73%)
Independiente Medellin failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)
Independiente Medellin average 2.7 yellow cards per game (16 in 6 matches)
Deportivo Pasto
A. Estupiñán has scored 5 of Deportivo Pasto's 6 goals (83%)
Deportivo Pasto have received 3 red cards in 6 matches this season
Deportivo Pasto average 3.7 yellow cards per game (22 in 6 matches)
Deportivo Pasto have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches (50%)
Deportivo Pasto failed to score in 2 of 6 matches (33%)

Key Statistics

6
6 Draws
4
1.44 Avg Goals
31% BTTS
25% Over 2.5
18 Jan 2026 Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin
19 Aug 2025 Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Independiente Medellin
4 Mar 2025 Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
9 Sep 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin
1 Mar 2024 Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our model predicts Independiente Medellin with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (55% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
Both teams to score: Yes (64% confidence).
When and where is Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto played?
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto takes place on 25 Jul 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Additional Information

Independiente Medellin

Top Scorers

L. ChaverraDefender
1Goals
D. MorenoMidfielder
1Goals
E. LarrosaAttacker
1Goals
J. OrtizDefender
1Goals
J. MontañoAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

L. ChaverraDefender
1Assists
D. MorenoMidfielder
1Assists
E. LarrosaAttacker
1Assists
F. ChaverraMidfielder
1Assists
F. FydriszewskiAttacker
1Assists

Cards

F. FydriszewskiAttacker
30
L. ChaverraDefender
20
J. OrtizDefender
20
F. ChaverraMidfielder
20
L. BerríoMidfielder
20
Deportivo Pasto

Top Scorers

A. EstupiñánAttacker
5Goals
Y. GóezMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. EstupiñánAttacker
1Assists
J. CaicedoMidfielder
1Assists
Jonathan PerlazaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

A. EstupiñánAttacker
31
J. CaicedoMidfielder
30
D. ChávezMidfielder
30
M. GaravitoDefender
20
E. SerjeMidfielder
20

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Independiente Medellin
LWLWW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

27 MayLat Estudiantes L.P.0-1
21 MayWat Cusco3-2
3 MayLvs Águilas Doradas1-2
1 MayWvs Cusco1-0
26 AprWvs Fortaleza FC1-0
Deportivo Pasto
LLLLW
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

13 MayLvs Deportes Tolima0-2
9 MayLat Deportes Tolima0-1
3 MayLat Junior3-4
23 AprLvs Santa Fe1-2
17 AprWat Jaguares3-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches16
Average Goals1.44
BTTS31%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 1.5 Goals31%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Independiente Medellin130.81 per game
Deportivo Pasto100.63 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Independiente Medellin8 (50%)
Deportivo Pasto7 (44%)
18 Jan 2026 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin
19 Aug 2025 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Independiente Medellin
4 Mar 2025 Primera A Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
9 Sep 2024 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin
1 Mar 2024 Primera A Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
26 Oct 2023 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Independiente Medellin
14 May 2023 Primera A Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
30 Nov 2022 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Independiente Medellin
6 Nov 2022 Primera A Independiente Medellin 0-0 Deportivo Pasto
30 Oct 2022 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Independiente Medellin
14 May 2022 Primera A Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pasto
21 Nov 2021 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Independiente Medellin
21 Mar 2021 Primera A Independiente Medellin 2-2 Deportivo Pasto
19 Oct 2020 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Independiente Medellin
2 Oct 2019 Primera A Independiente Medellin 3-1 Deportivo Pasto
7 Apr 2019 Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin

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