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Spain
La Liga
Round 28

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante Prediction & Betting Tips

16 Mar 2026
1 - 1
Full Time
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

57%
23%
19%
Rayo Vallecano Draw Levante
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
57%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
No
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
40%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

The winds of change are blowing through La Liga as Rayo Vallecano and Levante prepare to clash in a crucial match at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. With both teams locked in a fierce battle for survival, this encounter promises to be filled with passion, intensity, and a touch of unpredictability.

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 7 matches
Rayo Vallecano have received 9 red cards in 38 matches this season
Rayo Vallecano have scored all 3 penalties this season
Rayo Vallecano scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)
Rayo Vallecano failed to score in 12 of 38 matches (32%)
Rayo Vallecano average 2.7 yellow cards per game (104 in 38 matches)
Levante
Levante have received 5 red cards in 38 matches this season
Levante score 30% of their goals after the 75th minute (15 goals)
Levante failed to score in 12 of 38 matches (32%)

Key Statistics

9
3 Draws
6
3.44 Avg Goals
72% BTTS
72% Over 2.5
16 Mar 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Levante
19 Oct 2025 Levante 0-3 Rayo Vallecano
20 May 2022 Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
11 Sep 2021 Levante 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
4 May 2019 Levante 4-1 Rayo Vallecano
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante: Battle for Survival in La Liga

The winds of change are blowing through La Liga as Rayo Vallecano and Levante prepare to clash in a crucial match at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. With both teams locked in a fierce battle for survival, this encounter promises to be filled with passion, intensity, and a touch of unpredictability.

Match Context and Significance

In the grand scheme of La Liga, every point matters, especially for teams battling at the lower end of the table. Rayo Vallecano currently occupies the 13th spot, while Levante finds themselves just one place above the relegation zone in 19th. This match is not just another game; it’s a chance for either side to make a statement and potentially secure their fate for the remainder of the season.

Recent Momentum

Let's dive into the recent performances of our two protagonists. Rayo Vallecano have shown flashes of brilliance in their last five matches, racking up a record of WDWDD. Although they haven't been able to string together consecutive wins, their consistency has kept them relatively safe in the standings. On the other hand, Levante’s form has been somewhat patchy, marked by DWLLL. Despite their struggles, they’ve managed to stay competitive and remain in contention for better positioning.

Current State of Play

A closer look at the statistics reveals that Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.4 goals per game and conceded the same amount, indicating a well-rounded performance. They’ve managed to keep clean sheets in 20% of their matches and seen both teams score in 60% of their encounters. Levante, however, have found the back of the net less frequently, averaging only 0.9 goals per game, and their defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. The contrast in attacking prowess and defensive solidity is clear, setting the stage for an interesting tactical duel.

Tactical Preview

Both teams are expected to field familiar formations. Rayo Vallecano will likely deploy a 4-2-3-1 system, emphasizing their strengths in midfield and attacking width. Their formation allows for flexibility, with Jorge de Frutos leading the line and providing crucial support. Levante, on the other hand, will stick to their tried-and-true 4-4-2, aiming to balance their attack and defense. Expect Levante to press high and look to exploit any gaps left by Rayo's midfield.

Key Players

  • Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano): The top scorer with 7 goals, Jorge is the linchpin of Rayo’s offense. His ability to create chances and score crucial goals will be vital for his team's success.
  • Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano): With 3 goals and 3 assists, Álvaro is a threat both in front of goal and in creating opportunities for his teammates. His versatility makes him a headache for opposing defenses.
  • Iván Romero (Levante): Scoring 4 goals in the league, Iván has been a consistent source of inspiration for Levante. His presence in the box can disrupt the best of defenses and provide much-needed boosts to morale.
  • Etta Eyong (Levante): Leading the scoring charts with 5 goals, Etta is a key figure in Levante’s push for more points. His ability to break down tight defenses will be crucial against a resilient Rayo side.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides is rich with close contests and dramatic moments. In their last five meetings, Rayo Vallecano have emerged victorious in nine out of seventeen matches, while Levante have won six times. The most recent encounter saw Rayo Vallecano triumph 3-0 at Levante’s home ground. This trend suggests that Rayo Vallecano hold a slight edge in head-to-head battles, though anything can happen on a given day in La Liga.

Betting Analysis

Let's delve into the betting options and see where the value lies. The bookmakers offer the following odds:

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home (Rayo Vallecano) 1.25, Draw 3.7, Away (Levante) 3.6
  • Implied Probabilities: Home 59.3%, Draw 20%, Away 20.6%
  • Double Chance: 1X 1.18, 12 1.25, X2 2.05
  • Asian Handicap: Home -1 2.25, Away -1 1.65, Home -0.5 1.7, Away -0.5 2.15
  • Top Correct Scores: 1:0 5.75, 1:0 6.08, 1:1 6.25, 1:0 6.3, 2:0 6.5

Given the form and recent history, backing Rayo Vallecano to win seems like a solid bet. Their higher probability of winning is reflected in the odds, but there's still enough value to consider. The double chance of 1X (Home or Draw) at 1.18 offers a safer option for those looking to hedge their bets. As for the Asian Handicap, Rayo Vallecano at -0.5 looks attractive due to their strong home form and Levante's inconsistency.

Predictions

Based on the analysis, we predict a narrow victory for Rayo Vallecano, with a total goal count exceeding 2.5. Both teams scoring remains a possibility, given their recent trends. We're confident in these predictions, but always ready for the unexpected twist in La Liga!

Best Bets Summary

  • Match Winner: Rayo Vallecano (1)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Double Chance: 1X (Home or Draw)

In this captivating clash, expect Rayo Vallecano to capitalize on their home advantage and edge out a hard-fought victory. Don’t miss this opportunity to witness the drama unfold!

Frequently Asked Questions

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Rayo Vallecano with 57% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Who is most likely to score in Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
Alexandre Alemao is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Rayo Vallecano vs Levante have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
Both teams to score: No (51% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 40% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Levante played?
Rayo Vallecano vs Levante takes place on 16 Mar 2026 at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.

Additional Information

Rayo Vallecano

Top Scorers

Jorge de FrutosAttacker
7Goals
Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder
3Goals
Isi PalazónMidfielder
2Goals
Pep ChavarríaDefender
1Goals
Fran PérezMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder
3Assists
Isi PalazónMidfielder
3Assists
Unai LópezMidfielder
3Assists
Pep ChavarríaDefender
2Assists
Jorge de FrutosAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Isi PalazónMidfielder
70
P. CissMidfielder
42
Unai LópezMidfielder
60
A. RațiuDefender
60
Pep ChavarríaDefender
50
Levante

Top Scorers

Etta EyongAttacker
5Goals
Iván RomeroAttacker
4Goals
Carlos ÁlvarezMidfielder
3Goals
DelaDefender
2Goals
Iker LosadaAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

J. ToljanDefender
3Assists
Pablo MartínezMidfielder
2Assists
Jon Ander OlasagastiMidfielder
2Assists
Etta EyongAttacker
1Assists
Iván RomeroAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Manu SánchezDefender
50
DelaDefender
40
J. ToljanDefender
40
K. ArriagaMidfielder
40
Unai VencedorMidfielder
31

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Rayo Vallecano
LWWDD
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

27 MayLat Crystal Palace0-1
23 MayWat Alaves2-1
17 MayWvs Villarreal2-0
14 MayDat Valencia1-1
11 MayDvs Girona1-1
Levante
LWWWL
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

23 MayLat Real Betis1-2
17 MayWvs Mallorca2-0
12 MayWat Celta Vigo3-2
8 MayWvs Osasuna3-2
2 MayLat Villarreal1-5

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals3.44
BTTS72%
Over 2.5 Goals72%
Over 1.5 Goals89%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Rayo Vallecano351.94 per game
Levante271.5 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano4 (22%)
Levante2 (11%)
16 Mar 2026 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Levante
19 Oct 2025 La Liga Levante 0-3 Rayo Vallecano
20 May 2022 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
11 Sep 2021 La Liga Levante 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
4 May 2019 La Liga Levante 4-1 Rayo Vallecano
23 Dec 2018 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Levante
6 May 2017 Segunda División Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Levante
14 Dec 2016 Segunda División Levante 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
15 May 2016 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Levante
9 Jan 2016 La Liga Levante 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
28 Feb 2015 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 4-2 Levante
27 Sep 2014 La Liga Levante 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
1 Feb 2014 La Liga Levante 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
30 Aug 2013 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Levante
19 May 2013 La Liga Levante 2-3 Rayo Vallecano
20 Dec 2012 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Levante
19 Feb 2012 La Liga Levante 3-5 Rayo Vallecano
21 Sep 2011 La Liga Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Levante

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