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Scotland
Scottish Premiership
Round 3

ST Johnstone vs Celtic Prediction & Betting Tips

9 Sep 2026
0 - 1
Full Time
McDiarmid Park, Perth
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Celtic
0 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

15%
20%
65%
ST Johnstone Draw Celtic
Match Result
Celtic
65%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
43%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

McDiarmid Park prepares for a compelling midweek fixture as Celtic make the journey north to Perth for Matchday 3 of the Scottish Premiership. Kickoff is set for 20:00 BST on Wednesday evening, with the home support hoping to play a decisive role against a side that has made a flying start to the ca...

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Key Statistics

1
2 Draws
16
3.32 Avg Goals
42% BTTS
63% Over 2.5
9 Sep 2026 ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic
20 Apr 2025 ST Johnstone 0-5 Celtic
6 Apr 2025 ST Johnstone 1-0 Celtic
29 Dec 2024 Celtic 4-0 ST Johnstone
28 Sep 2024 ST Johnstone 0-6 Celtic
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

McDiarmid Park Hosts Divergent Fortunes as Celtic Aim to Extend Perfect Start Against Perth Saints

McDiarmid Park prepares for a compelling midweek fixture as Celtic make the journey north to Perth for Matchday 3 of the Scottish Premiership. Kickoff is set for 20:00 BST on Wednesday evening, with the home support hoping to play a decisive role against a side that has made a flying start to the campaign. The atmosphere carries genuine anticipation, with two clubs occupying entirely different orbits this season.

Celtic arrive at the summit of the table with a perfect record, five wins from five matches accumulating 15 points and a goal difference that reflects their ruthless attacking approach. The champions-elect have made an ominous start, and the gap to the rest of the league is already beginning to take shape. ST Johnstone, by contrast, find themselves in the lower reaches with seven points from five games, needing a strong run of results to pull clear of relegation trouble. The Perth side will approach this fixture with no shortage of motivation, and the contrast in league positions tells only part of the story. At Bet365, Celtic are priced at 1.44 in the 1X2 market to take all three points, with the draw available at 4.5 and a home victory priced at 6.5. The odds reflect the quality chasm between the sides, yet the Saints will back themselves to make life difficult on their own patch.

Both sides have had similar preparation time, with Celtic holding a marginal rest advantage having last played four days ago compared to Johnstone's three days since their previous fixture. Celtic come into this match off the back of a commanding performance, while Johnstone will need to find considerable improvement to pose a genuine threat to the league leaders. The question hanging over McDiarmid Park is straightforward: can the home side produce a performance worthy of the occasion, or will Celtic's relentless form continue unabated?

Team News, Probable Lineups & Key Players

The projected lineups for this fixture suggest two sides set to operate in an attacking 4-3-3 formation. For the home side, T. Steward is expected to start in goal behind a defensive line comprising Z. Mitchell, C. Diabate, L. Smith, and M. Foulds. The midfield three appears likely to feature S. Stanton anchoring the centre, with R. McAlear and J. Gullan providing energy and ball-winning ability. Up front, the attacking trident of J. Fowler, K. Fotheringham, and L. Lloyd will look to provide the creative spark and goalscoring threat. It is worth noting that this represents a probable starting XI based on season appearances rather than confirmed team news, and the actual lineup may vary depending on late fitness checks and tactical considerations from the coaching staff.

Celtic are expected to line up with V. Sinisalo between the posts, protected by a back four of C. Carter-Vickers, K. Tierney, A. Trusty, and Colby Donovan. The midfield engine room likely features B. Nygren operating in a central role alongside Yang Hyun-Jun, with the forward line spearheaded by the attacking trio of C. Durán, K. Høgh, and S. Tounekti, with C. Osmand completing the likely eleven. Again, this should be treated as a projected lineup rather than confirmed selection, as managers often retain the flexibility to adjust based on opposition analysis and the latest information from the training ground.

Looking at the standout performers this season, K. Høgh has been Celtic's most prolific outlet with three goals, while C. Durán and B. Nygren have contributed two goals and one assist each, highlighting the attacking quality available to the visitors. For the home side, J. Fowler leads their scoring charts with one goal and one assist, indicating his importance to their attacking transitions, with C. Diabate also representing a threat from set-piece situations. R. Paton, another key contributor, rounds out the notable performers for the side. The contrast in goalscoring records between the two teams will likely prove a significant factor in determining the outcome of this encounter.

Celtic's Commanding Record Against St Johnstone

The historical record between these two Scottish Premiership clubs reveals a stark imbalance. Across their last 18 meetings, Celtic have claimed victory on 15 occasions, while St Johnstone have managed just one win alongside two draws. That solitary success for the Perth side stands as a significant outlier in what has been a predominantly one-sided sequence of encounters. Celtic have established themselves as overwhelming favourites in this fixture, with the visiting side struggling to find any sustained momentum against their more decorated opponents.

When examining the goal patterns, the average of 3.44 goals per meeting indicates these clashes tend to produce entertaining, high-scoring affairs. However, the BTTS rate of 44% suggests that while goals flow freely overall, both teams finding the net remains far from guaranteed. The most recent meetings paint a particularly challenging picture for St Johnstone, with defeats of 6-0 and 5-0 punctuating the record, broken only by their narrow 1-0 victory that stands as a statistical anomaly. The scale of Celtic's wins when they do triumph has been substantial, suggesting a significant quality gap between the sides regardless of venue conditions.

The pattern emerging from recent results shows Celtic converting their chances with clinical efficiency while St Johnstone frequently struggle to match that output. Celtic have demonstrated the ability to score heavily against this opponent, with their most recent meeting producing a 5-0 scoreline. The frequency of these lopsided results has contributed heavily to the elevated goal average across the fixture history. For bettors assessing this matchup, the historical data strongly favours Celtic continuing their dominance, though the 44% BTTS rate indicates that backing goals markets requires careful consideration of the specific scoreline expectations rather than assuming a straightforward home victory.

Where the Match at McDiarmid Park Could Be Won and Lost

With kickoff set for 20:00 BST on Wednesday at McDiarmid Park, Celtic arrive as heavy favorites according to Bet365 odds of 1.44 for an away win, while ST Johnstone sit at 6.5 with the draw available at 4.5. The gulf in the Scottish Premiership table reflects recent form: Celtic are on a five-match winning streak, while ST Johnstone's recent results of WDLLW suggest they remain in a relegation battle despite their mid-table position. This contrast in momentum and motivation will heavily influence how each side sets up tactically.

Celtic's dominance this season, collecting 15 points from five victories, suggests they will control possession and press high up the pitch, looking to break down a ST Johnstone defense that will likely adopt a deep, compact block. The visitors' title charge demands three points, so expect them to dominate the midfield battle and create overloads wide, exploiting any space left by a home side fighting for survival. For ST Johnstone, the key will be discipline without the ball and sharpness on the counterattack, targeting moments when Celtic's full-backs push forward. Their recent win followed by losses indicates inconsistency, so maintaining concentration for the full 90 minutes will be crucial if they are to trouble the league leaders.

The tactical battle may hinge on set pieces and transition moments, where ST Johnstone can neutralize Celtic's numerical superiority in open play. With Celtic pushing for a sixth consecutive league win and ST Johnstone desperate to pull further away from the relegation zone, expect an energetic opening from the home side before Celtic's quality tells in the second half. The visitors' ability to sustain pressure while remaining solid defensively could prove decisive, though any lapses in concentration against a motivated ST Johnstone side could provide an unexpected opportunity.

Recent Form Sets Up Compelling Contrast at McDiarmid Park

The two sides arrive at this Matchday 3 encounter from fundamentally different starting points. Celtic travel to Perth having secured five consecutive victories to open the campaign, a run that has established them firmly at the summit of the Scottish Premiership with fifteen points from a perfect five wins. The scale of their current dominance becomes apparent when examining their recent results, which include a commanding 3-0 victory over Aberdeen, a clinical 2-1 triumph against Falkirk, a dominant 3-0 win in European competition against Lask Linz, and a particularly impressive 5-1 away victory against Kilmarnock. Their most recent league result saw them emerge with a hard-fought 2-1 away win against St Mirren, demonstrating their ability to grind out results when not at their free-flowing best.

Celtic's attacking output this season has been exceptional, averaging 2.8 goals per match across all competitions. Their forward play has been characterised by ruthlessness in the final third, with the team consistently finding the net at a remarkable rate. Defensively, they have maintained a solid structure, conceding just 0.8 goals per match on average. The combination of prolific scoring and miserly defending has made them a formidable proposition for any opponent, and their recent run of clean sheets and goals across multiple matches highlights the balance they have achieved between the two phases of play.

ST Johnstone enter this fixture in seventh position with seven points, having recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their opening five fixtures. Their form reads WDLLW, suggesting a team that has shown resilience but also vulnerability. Their most recent outing brought a morale-boosting 2-1 home victory against Hibernian, which followed a disappointing sequence that included a 1-1 draw away to Dundee and consecutive away defeats, notably a 1-2 loss to Heart of Midlothian and a narrow 0-1 reverse away to St Mirren. They did, however, demonstrate their capability to win high-scoring encounters with a thrilling 4-3 victory over Kilmarnock earlier in the season.

St Johnstone's attacking statistics paint a respectable picture, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match, indicating genuine goal threat, particularly at home. Their clean sheet percentage of forty percent demonstrates they can be difficult to break down on their own patch. However, their overall defensive record of conceding an average of one goal per match will face its sternest test against a Celtic side averaging nearly three goals per game. The home side will need to replicate the defensive discipline shown in their better performances while also capitalising on any opportunities that present themselves. The contrast in current momentum between a Celtic side riding the crest of a winning wave and a St Johnstone team searching for consistency makes this a fascinating tactical assignment, with the visitors expected to assert their quality while the hosts look to spring a surprise on their own ground.

Celtic Offer the Most Compelling Value in McDiarmid Park Clash

The Scottish Premiership Matchday 3 encounter at McDiarmid Park pitches ST Johnstone against a Celtic side that has made a stunning start to the campaign. Celtic sit top of the table with a perfect record of five wins from five matches, accumulating fifteen points without dropping a single one. The odds compilers have reflected this dominance, pricing Celtic as heavy 1.44 favourites in the 1X2 market, with the best available price of 1.47 available at Betano for those seeking maximum value. This translates to an implied probability of 63.2%, yet our confidence model rates Celtic's chances at 65%, suggesting a sliver of value for punters willing to back the away side. The gulf in form between these sides makes Celtic the analytically sound selection in the match result market.

ST Johnstone occupy seventh place with seven points from their opening five fixtures, a record comprising two wins, one draw, and two defeats. While respectable, their position highlights the significant gap they must bridge to compete with the league's dominant force. The draw is priced at 4.2 in the main market, with the best available odds of 4.5 accessible at 1xBet, while the home win carries the longest odds at 6 with the best available price of 6.7 at Betano. Our double chance prediction of X2, covering either a draw or Celtic victory, carries 43% confidence and reflects the realistic outcomes punters should consider when constructing their betting slips.

The goal markets present additional opportunities for value seekers. Our model indicates a 60% confidence level for over 2.5 goals, a prediction underpinned by Celtic's ruthless attacking efficiency this season. Simultaneously, the both teams to score market shows 54% confidence for a yes outcome, suggesting our analysts anticipate ST Johnstone may trouble a defence that has remained watertight throughout the campaign. These two predictions in combination paint a picture of Celtic scoring multiple goals while potentially allowing their hosts onto the scoresheet as well, making this a potentially entertaining encounter despite the clear disparity in league positions.

For punters weighing their options, the strongest case rests with backing Celtic to win, with the best available odds of 1.47 at Betano offering superior value compared to the standard 1.44 market price. Those seeking higher odds might explore the over 2.5 goals market or the BTTS yes option, both of which our model supports with reasonable confidence levels. The key tension lies between backing Celtic to win comfortably and recognising that ST Johnstone possess enough quality to contribute to a higher-scoring affair than the odds might initially suggest.

Our #1 PickCelticMatch Result (1X2)@1.34 · 65%
Best ValueYesBoth Teams to Score@1.72 · 54%

Frequently Asked Questions

ST Johnstone vs Celtic: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Celtic with 65% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Celtic?
Both teams to score: Yes (54% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for ST Johnstone vs Celtic?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 43% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in ST Johnstone vs Celtic?
Camilo Duran is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will ST Johnstone vs Celtic have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (60% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is ST Johnstone vs Celtic played?
ST Johnstone vs Celtic takes place on 9 Sep 2026 at McDiarmid Park.

Additional Information

ST Johnstone

Top Scorers

J. FowlerAttacker
1Goals
C. DiabateDefender
1Goals
R. PatonMidfielder
1Goals
K. FotheringhamAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

J. GullanMidfielder
2Assists
J. FowlerAttacker
1Assists
S. StantonMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

C. DiabateDefender
10
J. GullanMidfielder
10
L. SmithDefender
10
Celtic

Top Scorers

K. HøghAttacker
3Goals
C. DuránMidfielder
2Goals
B. NygrenMidfielder
2Goals
L. McCowanMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

K. TierneyDefender
2Assists
C. DuránMidfielder
1Assists
B. NygrenMidfielder
1Assists
A. EngelsMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

A. EngelsMidfielder
10
Colby DonovanDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

ST Johnstone
WDLWD
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

11 OctWat Aberdeen1-0
19 SepDvs Falkirk1-1
9 SepLvs Celtic0-1
6 SepWvs Hibernian2-1
2 SepDat Dundee1-1
Celtic
WLLWW
10Played
8Wins
0Draws
2Losses
Points/Game2.4
Win %80%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

11 OctWat Motherwell2-0
20 SepLvs Rangers0-1
17 SepLvs Ferencvarosi TC1-3
9 SepWat ST Johnstone1-0
5 SepWat ST Mirren2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches19
Average Goals3.32
BTTS42%
Over 2.5 Goals63%
Over 1.5 Goals79%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
ST Johnstone90.47 per game
Celtic542.84 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
ST Johnstone2 (11%)
Celtic10 (53%)
9 Sep 2026 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic
20 Apr 2025 Scottish FA Cup ST Johnstone 0-5 Celtic
6 Apr 2025 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 1-0 Celtic
29 Dec 2024 Scottish Premiership Celtic 4-0 ST Johnstone
28 Sep 2024 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 0-6 Celtic
16 Mar 2024 Scottish Premiership Celtic 3-1 ST Johnstone
3 Dec 2023 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 1-3 Celtic
26 Aug 2023 Scottish Premiership Celtic 0-0 ST Johnstone
5 Feb 2023 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 1-4 Celtic
24 Dec 2022 Scottish Premiership Celtic 4-1 ST Johnstone
8 Oct 2022 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 1-2 Celtic
9 Apr 2022 Scottish Premiership Celtic 7-0 ST Johnstone
26 Dec 2021 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 1-3 Celtic
23 Oct 2021 Scottish Premiership Celtic 2-0 ST Johnstone
12 May 2021 Scottish Premiership Celtic 4-0 ST Johnstone
14 Feb 2021 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 1-2 Celtic
6 Dec 2020 Scottish Premiership Celtic 1-1 ST Johnstone
4 Oct 2020 Scottish Premiership ST Johnstone 0-2 Celtic
1 Mar 2020 Scottish FA Cup ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic

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