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Spain
La Liga
Round 7

Villarreal vs Levante Prediction & Betting Tips

20 Sep 2026
3 - 1
Full Time
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Over 2.5
3 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

64%
19%
17%
Villarreal Draw Levante
Match Result
Villarreal
64%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams Score
Yes
61%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
41%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
13 min read

Villarreal head into Matchday 7 at Estadio de la Cerámica still searching for their first win of the campaign, with Marcelino's side languishing in 18th place on just two points from five matches. The Yellow Submarine's winless streak, reflected in a recent run of results that leaves them with zero ...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

13
1 Draws
4
2.72 Avg Goals
44% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
20 Sep 2026 Villarreal 3-1 Levante
2 May 2026 Villarreal 5-1 Levante
18 Feb 2026 Levante 0-1 Villarreal
2 Apr 2022 Levante 2-0 Villarreal
3 Jan 2022 Villarreal 5-0 Levante
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Winless Villarreal Desperate for First Victory as Relegation Threat Looms

Villarreal head into Matchday 7 at Estadio de la Cerámica still searching for their first win of the campaign, with Marcelino's side languishing in 18th place on just two points from five matches. The Yellow Submarine's winless streak, reflected in a recent run of results that leaves them with zero victories, three defeats and two draws, has placed them firmly in the relegation conversation early in the season. When Levante visit on Sunday, the home side will feel this represents their best opportunity yet to break that duck against a side sitting comfortably in mid-table.

Levante arrive five points and five places above their hosts, sitting 13th with five points from their opening five fixtures. While neither side has hit form in recent weeks, the context surrounding this fixture differs dramatically. Villarreal have far more riding on the outcome, with relegation concerns already sharpening urgency at the Estadio de la Cerámica. Levante, by contrast, head into this encounter without the same pressure bearing down on them.

For viewers in the UK, kickoff is at 17:30 BST on Sunday, with the match available on Fubo. Bookmaker Bet365 price Villarreal at 1.55 for the home win, with the draw at 4.1 and Levante rated as 5.5 outsiders. The odds reflect Villarreal's home advantage and the weight of necessity they carry into this pivotal early-season encounter.

Key Players & Probable Lineups

The attacking threat for Villarreal this season has been concentrated primarily through two players. Nicolas Pépé and Patrick Gueye have each found the back of the net once, making them the club's joint-top scorers heading into this fixture. Both players will look to add to their season tallies against a Levante side that will need to be organized defensively to contain their threat. The reliance on these two players for goals suggests opponents may focus tactical attention on limiting their chances, which could create space for other attacking players to exploit.

Villarreal are projected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation with Luíz Júnior in goal. The defensive line is expected to feature J. Foyth and Carlos Romero as fullbacks, while Renato Veiga and S. Mouriño anchor the central defense. In midfield, P. Gueye will be tasked with breaking up opposition attacks and transitioning play forward, supported by N. Pépé and Alberto Moleiro in slightly more advanced roles. The front three is likely to include G. Mikautadze and Ayoze Pérez through the middle, with T. Buchanan operating from one of the wide positions. This projected lineup blends defensive solidity with creative intent, though it remains a projection based on season appearances rather than a confirmed selection.

Levante respond with their own 4-3-3 structure, with M. Ryan protecting the goalkeeper position. The defense is projected to feature Manu Sánchez and Víctor García as the fullbacks, with A. Mandi and Dela forming the central defensive partnership. In midfield, Nacho Pérez is expected to sit deep and shield the back four, while Oriol Rey and Jon Ander Olasagasti offer energy and ball-carrying ability from the middle. The attacking trio is likely to include Iván Romero and Etta Eyong in wide positions, with K. Tunde leading the line as the focal point of their offensive play. The balance of this projected eleven suggests a side capable of competing across all areas, though the final lineup may vary depending on tactical considerations closer to kickoff.

Villarreal Swept Past Levante in Their Most Recent Clash

The head-to-head record between these two sides reveals a lopsided rivalry over their last 17 meetings, with Villarreal securing victory on 12 occasions compared to just four wins for Levante. The remaining encounter ended in a draw, highlighting how rarely Levante has managed to avoid defeat in this fixture. Villarreal's dominance is further emphasized by the fact that their opponents have managed to avoid losing only five times across this extended sample, suggesting a significant psychological and tactical edge for the Yellow Submarine in this particular matchup.

When examining the most recent encounter on May 2, 2026, Villarreal delivered a commanding performance, running out 5-1 victors in a result that underscored their recent stranglehold on the fixture. Prior to that dominant showing, the earlier meeting of 2026 saw Villarreal claim a narrow 1-0 victory away from home on February 18. However, Levante did manage to break through with a 2-0 home win in April 2022, one of their rare successes in this fixture. The goal-scoring patterns across these contests paint a picture of high-scoring affairs when Villarreal prevails, with the Yellow Submarine frequently finding the net multiple times.

Aggregating the 17 meetings yields an average of 2.65 goals per match, indicating that while entertaining, the clashes tend not to become goalfests. Interestingly, both teams have found the net in only 41 percent of their encounters, suggesting that when one side scores, they often do so without reply. The 5-0 Villarreal victory in January 2022 and the 5-1 result in their most recent meeting stand out as outliers in an otherwise more competitive goal distribution, though Villarreal's ability to post heavy scorelines has been a defining characteristic of this fixture.

Villarreal's Winless Struggle Meets Levante's Inconsistent Momentum at Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal head into Matchday 7 in deep trouble, rooted to 18th place with just two points from six matches and a miserable run of form that has seen them fail to win any of their last ten games across all competitions. Their recent results make grim reading: a narrow 1-2 home defeat to Real Betis, a high-scoring 2-3 loss away to Borussia Dortmund in European competition, a 2-3 reverse against Deportivo La Coruna, a solitary 0-1 loss away to Alaves, and a hard-fought 2-2 draw away to Atletico Madrid that remains their only point earned in their last five La Liga fixtures. The pattern is alarming — the Yellow Submarine have found the net regularly (1.7 goals per game on average), yet their defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly, with the side failing to keep a single clean sheet across their entire ten-game sample and conceding at a rate of two goals per match. An alarming 80% of their matches have seen both teams score, underscoring the inability to shut out opponents at crucial moments.

Levante arrive at Estadio de la Ceramica occupying 13th position with five points from their opening six games, a record that reflects their own struggles for consistency in the early stages of the campaign. Their recent form of LDWDL shows a team capable of impressive attacking displays but equally prone to heavy setbacks. A devastating 2-4 home defeat to Barcelona highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities against elite opposition, while a goalless draw away to Malaga demonstrated their ability to grind out results when defending solidly. Their standout performance came in a commanding 5-2 victory over Real Betis at home, a result that showcased their firepower and ability to blow teams away. Draws against Osasuna and Malaga, combined with a concerning 0-3 loss away to Espanyol, paint the picture of a side still searching for the consistency required to climb the table comfortably.

The statistical comparison reveals a significant gap between the two sides in current form, with Villarreal registering just 33% compared to Levante's 67% — a differential that reflects the hosts' desperate winless run against the visitors' more competitive performances. In attack, the two teams appear evenly matched on paper, with Villarreal holding a slight edge at 55% versus Levante's 45%, mirroring their identical scoring average of 1.7 goals per game. However, the defensive picture tells a very different story: Levante's 62% defensive rating compared to Villarreal's 38% exposes the hosts' persistent problems at the back, where the complete absence of clean sheets has proven catastrophic for their points tally.

When assessing the tactical implications for Sunday's encounter, both teams' recent results suggest a match likely to feature goals at both ends. Villarreal's defensive record makes them vulnerable regardless of home advantage, while Levante's willingness to commit forward — as demonstrated in their 5-2 Betis demolition — could expose the gaps in the hosts' backline. The visitors' superior defensive solidity, reflected in their 30% clean sheet rate, gives them a marginal edge in what promises to be a tightly contested battle between two sides desperate to climb away from the lower reaches of the La Liga table.

Villarreal's Desperation Meets Levante's Comfortable Mid-Table Position

The Estadio de la Cerámica clash on Sunday presents a fascinating contrast in immediate objectives. Villarreal, occupying 18th position with just two points from five matches, find themselves in a relegation battle that demands an immediate response. The Yellow Submarine's recent form of LLLDD tells a story of a side struggling to find any rhythm, and this fixture represents what could be a pivotal juncture in their season. With Bet365 pricing Villarreal at 1.55 for victory, the bookmakers view them as clear favourites, yet the home side must translate that statistical advantage into three points or risk falling further adrift of safety.

Levante arrive in comparatively better shape, sitting 13th with five points and coming off a win in their most recent outing. Their LDWDL sequence suggests a team that has discovered some stability after an inconsistent start. The Granotas will approach this contest with considerably less pressure than their opponents, giving them the freedom to play a more measured game away from home. Their seven days of rest compares favourably with Villarreal's six, meaning Levante should enter this encounter with fresher legs in what promises to be an energy-intensive affair.

The tactical battle likely hinges on how Villarreal attempt to break down what will almost certainly be a compact Levante defensive block. The hosts must find a way to generate attacking momentum despite their winless start, while Levante can afford to be patient and exploit spaces on the counter-attack. Villarreal's high-stakes situation gives them a clear motivation edge that could manifest in aggressive early pressing, though this approach carries risk against a side with nothing to lose. The draw odds at 4.1 with Bet365 reflect the genuine uncertainty surrounding how this contest might unfold, with both teams possessing enough quality to trouble each other if the right tactical approach is adopted.

Villarreal vs Levante Betting Analysis: Hosts Under Pressure but Value Remains

Villarreal find themselves in a precarious position entering Matchday 7, sitting 18th in the La Liga table with just two points from six matches. The Yellow Submarine have yet to record a win this season, managing only two draws alongside three defeats. Their struggles are compounded by a goalscoring problem that has seen them find the net on just five occasions across their opening six fixtures. Levante, meanwhile, occupy 13th position with five points, having secured one victory and two draws. The visiting side will sense an opportunity to exploit Villarreal's fragile home form and climb further away from the relegation zone.

The 1X2 odds heavily favour the home side at 1.6, implying a 58.1% probability of a Villarreal victory, which increases to 1.64 at 1xBet where the best price is available. Despite their poor league position, the bookmakers clearly believe the Estadio de la Cerámica advantage is significant. The draw is priced at 4 (4.41 at Pinnacle offers the best return for this outcome) with an implied 23.3% chance, while an away success for Levante would return 5 (5.6 available at 1xBet) at 18.6% probability. The odds suggest this represents a must-win fixture for Villarreal if they are to arrest their alarming slide down the table.

Both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities point toward BTTS YES at 57% confidence. Villarreal have kept only one clean sheet this season while Levante have found the net in four of their six matches. This poor defensive record, combined with Villarreal's desperation for three points, suggests an open encounter with goals likely at both ends. The Over 2.5 goals market at 60% confidence reflects the expectation that this match will produce at least three goals, given both sides' inability to keep opponents out and Villarreal's need to take risks going forward.

For punters seeking lower-risk options, the 1X double chance at 41% confidence provides a safety net against a potential Levante upset. The Away win at 5.6 with 1xBet could appeal to those backing the underdog, though Villarreal's home advantage and superior historical record against Levante make the home win the most logical outcome despite their current form. The combination of Villarreal's need for victory and Levante's defensive weaknesses makes Over 2.5 and BTTS YES the most compelling value bets for this Matchday 7 encounter.

Extended Betting Markets for Villarreal vs Levante

Villarreal enter Matchday 7 sitting 18th in La Liga with just two points from their opening six fixtures, making them the heavy underdogs despite home advantage at Estadio de la Cerámica. The Asian Handicap market reflects this difficulty, with Villarreal -1.00 available at odds of 1.88 with 53% confidence. This line essentially requires Villarreal to win by two clear goals for the handicap to pay out, a tall order given their winless start to the season. Levante's relatively better standing at 13th with five points makes them the likelier side to avoid defeat or even secure an away win, positioning the +1.00 Asian Handicap on Levante as an alternative worth considering for those seeking a safety net.

For correct score predictions, 2:1 stands out as the most likely outcome at odds of 7.14 with 14% confidence. The modest confidence percentage reflects the genuine uncertainty surrounding this fixture between two teams in poor form. Neither side has demonstrated defensive solidity, and the attacking potential on display makes multiple goals plausible. The HT/FT market offers further layering opportunities, though without a dominant half-time favourite in the data, cautious bettors may prefer waiting for in-play value. Regarding cards, the desperation of both clubs for points typically elevates match intensity, and individual player disciplinary records warrant checking before committing to any card-related selections.

The corners market leans toward over 9.5 at odds of 1.68 with 54% confidence, suggesting both teams will push forward in search of goals. Villarreal's pressing need for a first victory should translate into consistent attacking phases, while Levante possess enough quality to contribute meaningfully to the corner count on the counter-attack. For anytime goalscorer selections, Georges Mikautadze emerges as the standout value pick at odds of 1.91 with 52% confidence. If he features from the start, his central position in Villarreal's forward line makes him the most probable source of a home goal, and his odds offer reasonable return relative to the stated confidence level.

Villarreal to finally break their winless streak at Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal enter Matchday 7 without a victory but with a genuine opportunity to change that trajectory. Their three defeats came by single-goal margins, indicating they remain competitive despite sitting bottom of the standings. Levante arrive having won just one of their five fixtures, and their away record provides little comfort heading into this fixture. The combination of Villarreal's home advantage and their superior quality on paper makes backing the home win the standout selection for this La Liga encounter.

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities this season, making the over 2.5 goals market particularly attractive. The BTTS market also warrants consideration given Levante's goal-scoring ability and Villarreal's struggles to keep clean sheets. For those seeking a more cautious approach, the double chance in favour of the home side provides a safety net. Ultimately, Villarreal's need for a first victory combined with home comfort should see them get the three points they desperately require.

Our #1 PickVillarrealMatch Result (1X2)@1.45 · 60%
Best ValueYesBoth Teams to Score@1.62 · 57%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Villarreal vs Levante?
Our model predicts Villarreal with 64% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Villarreal vs Levante?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 41% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Villarreal vs Levante?
Georges Mikautadze is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Villarreal vs Levante have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (65% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Levante?
Both teams to score: Yes (61% confidence).
When and where is Villarreal vs Levante played?
Villarreal vs Levante takes place on 20 Sep 2026 at Estadio de la Cerámica.

Additional Information

Villarreal

Top Scorers

N. PépéMidfielder
1Goals
P. GueyeMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Alberto MoleiroMidfielder
1Assists
G. MikautadzeAttacker
1Assists

Cards

P. GueyeMidfielder
10
S. MouriñoDefender
10
J. FoythDefender
10
Carlos RomeroDefender
10
Levante

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

No data

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Villarreal
LDWLW
10Played
3Wins
1Draws
6Losses
Points/Game1
Win %30%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

20 OctLat Liverpool3-4
17 OctDvs Elche0-0
13 OctWvs Napoli3-1
10 OctLat Real Madrid0-1
20 SepWvs Levante3-1
Levante
DDLLD
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game3.3
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

16 OctDat Deportivo La Coruna1-1
12 OctDvs Sevilla3-3
20 SepLat Villarreal1-3
13 SepLvs Barcelona2-4
6 SepDat Malaga0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals2.72
BTTS44%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals72%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Villarreal362 per game
Levante130.72 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Villarreal7 (39%)
Levante3 (17%)
20 Sep 2026 La Liga Villarreal 3-1 Levante
2 May 2026 La Liga Villarreal 5-1 Levante
18 Feb 2026 La Liga Levante 0-1 Villarreal
2 Apr 2022 La Liga Levante 2-0 Villarreal
3 Jan 2022 La Liga Villarreal 5-0 Levante
18 Apr 2021 La Liga Levante 1-5 Villarreal
2 Jan 2021 La Liga Villarreal 2-1 Levante
15 Feb 2020 La Liga Villarreal 2-1 Levante
23 Aug 2019 La Liga Levante 2-1 Villarreal
10 Mar 2019 La Liga Levante 0-2 Villarreal
4 Nov 2018 La Liga Villarreal 1-1 Levante
20 Jan 2018 La Liga Villarreal 2-1 Levante
21 Aug 2017 La Liga Levante 1-0 Villarreal
28 Feb 2016 La Liga Villarreal 3-0 Levante
4 Oct 2015 La Liga Levante 1-0 Villarreal
24 Jan 2015 La Liga Villarreal 1-0 Levante
24 Aug 2014 La Liga Levante 0-2 Villarreal
12 Apr 2014 La Liga Villarreal 1-0 Levante

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