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Spain
La Liga
Round 8

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Our prediction: Atletico Madrid — Win (47%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
Atletico Madrid -0.25
@ 1.35
74%
Confidence

Betting Tips

26%
27%
47%
Alaves Draw Atletico Madrid
Match Result
Atletico Madrid
@ 1.83
Bet
48%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.87
Bet
52%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
@ 1.27
Bet
37%
Asian Handicap
Atletico Madrid -0.25
@ 1.35
Bet
74%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.11
Bet
41%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 5.00
Bet
20%
Correct Score
1:2
@ 7.00
Bet
14.3%

Additional Markets

Anytime Goalscorer
Alexander Sorloth
45.5% @ 2.20 Bet
Jonathan David
42.0% @ 2.38 Bet
Julian Alvarez
40.0% @ 2.50 Bet
Ademola Lookman
36.4% @ 2.75 Bet
Lucas Boye
34.7% @ 2.88 Bet
Carlos Martin
34.7% @ 2.88 Bet
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

2
5 Draws
11
2.06 Avg Goals
44% BTTS
39% Over 2.5
18 Jan 2026 Atletico Madrid 1-0 Alaves
30 Aug 2025 Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
3 May 2025 Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid
23 Nov 2024 Atletico Madrid 2-1 Alaves
21 Apr 2024 Alaves 2-0 Atletico Madrid
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.85 3.78 2.04
Bet365 2.62 3.50 1.44
Pinnacle 3.74 3.57 1.98

Frequently Asked Questions

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Atletico Madrid with 48% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the best bet for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Our top recommendation is Yes with 55% confidence.
What scoreline is predicted for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Our most likely correct score is 1:2 (14.3% implied probability).
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: what is our Asian Handicap tip?
Our Asian Handicap call is Atletico Madrid -0.25 with 74% confidence.
What is the Half Time prediction for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
Our Half Time call is Draw with 41% confidence.
When and where is Alaves vs Atletico Madrid played?
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid takes place on 10 Oct 2026 at Estadio Mendizorrotza.

Additional Information

Alaves

Top Scorers

M. DíazAttacker
2Goals
N. TenagliaDefender
1Goals
Mikel RodriguezMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

M. DíazAttacker
2Assists

Cards

M. DíazAttacker
10
N. TenagliaDefender
10
Antonio BlancoMidfielder
10
Denis SuárezMidfielder
10
A. RebbachMidfielder
10
Atletico Madrid

Top Scorers

Álex BaenaMidfielder
1Goals
G. SimeoneAttacker
1Goals
Lee Kang-InMidfielder
1Goals
Marc PubillDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

Álex BaenaMidfielder
1Assists
G. SimeoneAttacker
1Assists
D. HanckoDefender
1Assists

Cards

Álex BaenaMidfielder
10
D. HanckoDefender
10
Robin Le NormandDefender
01
M. HjulmandMidfielder
10
Jorge DominguezDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Alaves
DLLWW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

19 SepDat Athletic Club0-0
15 SepLvs Valencia0-1
12 SepLat Racing Santander1-2
6 SepWvs Osasuna5-2
28 AugWvs Villarreal1-0
Atletico Madrid
WWWLL
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.3
Scored Avg1.9
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

20 SepWvs Real Madrid2-1
16 SepWvs Osasuna4-0
13 SepWat Real Sociedad3-0
9 SepLat Liverpool1-2
5 SepLat Athletic Club0-3

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals2.06
BTTS44%
Over 2.5 Goals39%
Over 1.5 Goals61%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Alaves110.61 per game
Atletico Madrid261.44 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Alaves4 (22%)
Atletico Madrid8 (44%)
18 Jan 2026 La Liga Atletico Madrid 1-0 Alaves
30 Aug 2025 La Liga Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
3 May 2025 La Liga Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid
23 Nov 2024 La Liga Atletico Madrid 2-1 Alaves
21 Apr 2024 La Liga Alaves 2-0 Atletico Madrid
29 Oct 2023 La Liga Atletico Madrid 2-1 Alaves
2 Apr 2022 La Liga Atletico Madrid 4-1 Alaves
25 Sep 2021 La Liga Alaves 1-0 Atletico Madrid
21 Mar 2021 La Liga Atletico Madrid 1-0 Alaves
3 Jan 2021 La Liga Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid
27 Jun 2020 La Liga Atletico Madrid 2-1 Alaves
29 Oct 2019 La Liga Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
30 Mar 2019 La Liga Alaves 0-4 Atletico Madrid
8 Dec 2018 La Liga Atletico Madrid 3-0 Alaves
29 Apr 2018 La Liga Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid
16 Dec 2017 La Liga Atletico Madrid 1-0 Alaves
28 Jan 2017 La Liga Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid
21 Aug 2016 La Liga Atletico Madrid 1-1 Alaves

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