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Wales
FAW Championship
Round 5

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Confidence

Betting Tips

10%
45%
45%
Baglan Dragons Draw Caerau (Ely)
Match Result
Caerau (Ely)
Bet
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
Bet
70%
Both Teams Score
Yes
Bet
65%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Bet
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

2
0 Draws
5
2.86 Avg Goals
43% BTTS
71% Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026 Baglan Dragons 0-5 Caerau (Ely)
17 Sep 2025 Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug 2025 Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Baglan Dragons
11 Jan 2025 Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely)
1 Nov 2024 Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Caerau (Ely) with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (70% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Both teams to score: Yes (65% confidence).
When and where is Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) played?
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) takes place on 28 Aug 2026.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Swansea University 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6
2 Carmarthen Town 2 2 0 0 6 4 +2 6
3 Pontypridd Town 2 2 0 0 6 4 +2 6
4 Ynyshir Albions 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
5 Afan Lido 2 1 0 1 7 5 +2 3
6 Aberystwyth Town 2 1 0 1 6 4 +2 3
7 Newport City 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
8 Pontardawe Town 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
9 Treowen Stars 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
11 Caerau (Ely) 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1
12 Cardiff Draconians 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
13 llanelli AFC 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
14 Baglan Dragons 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
15 Caerphilly Athletic 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
16 Llantwit Major 2 0 0 2 0 8 -8 0

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Baglan Dragons
LDDLL
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.6
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg0.4
Conceded Avg2.4
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score70%

Recent Matches

9 AugLvs Swansea University0-3
31 JulDat Trethomas Bluebirds0-0
18 AprDvs Trethomas Bluebirds1-1
3 AprLat Cambrian & Clydach0-2
28 MarLvs Carmarthen Town0-7
Caerau (Ely)
DLDWW
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.3
Scored Avg2.6
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

7 AugDvs Ynyshir Albions1-1
1 AugLat Carmarthen Town3-4
18 AprDat Pontypridd Town0-0
4 AprWvs Ynyshir Albions2-0
28 MarWat Llantwit Major4-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches7
Average Goals2.86
BTTS43%
Over 2.5 Goals71%
Over 1.5 Goals86%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Baglan Dragons60.86 per game
Caerau (Ely)142 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Baglan Dragons1 (14%)
Caerau (Ely)3 (43%)
14 Mar 2026 FAW Championship Baglan Dragons 0-5 Caerau (Ely)
17 Sep 2025 FAW Championship Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug 2025 FAW Championship Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Baglan Dragons
11 Jan 2025 FAW Championship Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely)
1 Nov 2024 FAW Championship Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons
20 Jan 2024 FAW Championship Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely)
6 Oct 2023 FAW Championship Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons

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