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Uruguay
Primera División
Round 10

Penarol vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Confidence

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Penarol Draw Progreso
Match Result
Penarol
Bet
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
Bet
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
Bet
59%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Bet
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

8
1 Draws
0
2.78 Avg Goals
56% BTTS
56% Over 2.5
4 Apr 2026 Progreso 0-2 Penarol
1 Feb 2025 Progreso 1-3 Penarol
22 Jun 2024 Progreso 0-2 Penarol
23 May 2024 Penarol 3-1 Progreso
14 Aug 2021 Penarol 1-0 Progreso
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Penarol vs Progreso: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Penarol with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Penarol vs Progreso have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Progreso?
Both teams to score: Yes (59% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Penarol vs Progreso?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Penarol vs Progreso played?
Penarol vs Progreso takes place on 10 Oct 2026.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Atletico Torque 7 6 0 1 18 7 +11 18
2 Liverpool Montevideo 8 5 2 1 14 5 +9 17
3 Penarol 7 5 1 1 13 5 +8 15
4 Deportivo Maldonado 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11 9 +2 14
6 Cerro 8 4 2 2 9 9 0 14
7 Juventud 8 3 4 1 10 6 +4 13
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
9 Wanderers 8 3 3 2 10 11 -1 12
10 Progreso 8 4 0 4 7 9 -2 12
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10 12 -2 8
12 Defensor Sporting 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5 10 -5 5
14 Central Espanol 8 1 2 5 5 13 -8 5
15 Danubio 8 0 4 4 2 9 -7 4
16 Albion FC 8 0 0 8 6 16 -10 0
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Penarol
WWWWL
10Played
8Wins
1Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.5
Win %80%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg2.4
Conceded Avg0.6
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

26 SepWvs Boston River2-1
19 SepWat Cerro2-1
13 SepWvs Albion FC3-1
5 SepWat Danubio4-0
30 AugLvs Club Nacional0-1
Progreso
WWLWW
10Played
5Wins
0Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %50%
Goals/Game2
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

26 SepWvs Racing Montevideo2-1
19 SepWat Boston River2-1
13 SepLvs Cerro1-3
7 SepWat Albion FC1-0
29 AugWvs Danubio1-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches9
Average Goals2.78
BTTS56%
Over 2.5 Goals56%
Over 1.5 Goals78%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Penarol192.11 per game
Progreso60.67 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Penarol4 (44%)
Progreso0 (0%)
4 Apr 2026 Primera División Progreso 0-2 Penarol
1 Feb 2025 Primera División Progreso 1-3 Penarol
22 Jun 2024 Primera División Progreso 0-2 Penarol
23 May 2024 Primera División Penarol 3-1 Progreso
14 Aug 2021 Primera División Penarol 1-0 Progreso
6 Oct 2020 Primera División Penarol 2-1 Progreso
26 May 2019 Primera División Penarol 2-2 Progreso
29 Apr 2018 Primera División Progreso 0-1 Penarol
17 Nov 2012 Primera División Progreso 1-3 Penarol

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