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Uruguay
Primera División
Round 10

Penarol vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips

10 Oct 2026
1 - 1
Full Time
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Penarol
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

68%
20%
13%
Penarol Draw Progreso
Match Result
Penarol
68%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
No
56%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
43%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

8
2 Draws
0
2.7 Avg Goals
60% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
10 Oct 2026 Penarol 1-1 Progreso
4 Apr 2026 Progreso 0-2 Penarol
1 Feb 2025 Progreso 1-3 Penarol
22 Jun 2024 Progreso 0-2 Penarol
23 May 2024 Penarol 3-1 Progreso
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Penarol vs Progreso: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Penarol with 68% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Penarol vs Progreso have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Progreso?
Both teams to score: No (56% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Penarol vs Progreso?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 43% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Penarol vs Progreso played?
Penarol vs Progreso takes place on 10 Oct 2026 at Estadio Centenario.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Liverpool Montevideo 13 9 3 1 22 8 +14 30
2 Atletico Torque 14 9 2 3 28 16 +12 29
3 Club Nacional 13 8 2 3 19 13 +6 26
4 Deportivo Maldonado 13 6 4 3 18 10 +8 22
5 Penarol 13 6 5 2 17 9 +8 22
6 Racing Montevideo 14 5 5 4 20 16 +4 20
7 Progreso 14 6 2 6 15 17 -2 20
8 Juventud 13 4 6 3 12 10 +2 18
9 Cerro 13 5 3 5 15 19 -4 18
10 Wanderers 13 4 4 5 14 19 -5 16
11 Boston River 13 4 3 6 15 17 -2 15
12 Albion FC 13 4 1 8 15 20 -5 13
13 Defensor Sporting 13 3 3 7 16 23 -7 12
14 Cerro Largo 14 1 7 6 12 19 -7 10
15 Danubio 13 2 4 7 7 15 -8 10
16 Central Espanol 13 2 2 9 8 22 -14 8
Europa League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Penarol
DDLDW
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

31 OctDvs Wanderers1-1
23 OctDat Juventud0-0
18 OctLat Liverpool Montevideo0-1
10 OctDvs Progreso1-1
4 OctWat Racing Montevideo1-0
Progreso
DLWWD
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

12 NovDat Cerro Largo2-2
1 NovLvs Defensor Sporting0-2
25 OctWat Wanderers1-0
17 OctWvs Juventud2-0
10 OctDat Penarol1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches10
Average Goals2.7
BTTS60%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Penarol202 per game
Progreso70.7 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Penarol4 (40%)
Progreso0 (0%)
10 Oct 2026 Primera División Penarol 1-1 Progreso
4 Apr 2026 Primera División Progreso 0-2 Penarol
1 Feb 2025 Primera División Progreso 1-3 Penarol
22 Jun 2024 Primera División Progreso 0-2 Penarol
23 May 2024 Primera División Penarol 3-1 Progreso
14 Aug 2021 Primera División Penarol 1-0 Progreso
6 Oct 2020 Primera División Penarol 2-1 Progreso
26 May 2019 Primera División Penarol 2-2 Progreso
29 Apr 2018 Primera División Progreso 0-1 Penarol
17 Nov 2012 Primera División Progreso 1-3 Penarol

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