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England
Championship
Round 11

Derby vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips

Pride Park, Derby

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Confidence

Betting Tips

10%
45%
45%
Derby Draw Stoke City
Match Result
Stoke City
Bet
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
Bet
57%
Both Teams Score
Yes
Bet
65%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Bet
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

4
4 Draws
5
2.23 Avg Goals
46% BTTS
54% Over 2.5
6 Apr 2026 Derby 2-0 Stoke City
9 Aug 2025 Stoke City 3-1 Derby
3 May 2025 Derby 0-0 Stoke City
2 Nov 2024 Stoke City 2-1 Derby
30 Dec 2021 Stoke City 1-2 Derby
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Derby vs Stoke City?
Our model predicts Stoke City with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Derby vs Stoke City?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Derby vs Stoke City have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (57% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Stoke City?
Both teams to score: Yes (65% confidence).
When and where is Derby vs Stoke City played?
Derby vs Stoke City takes place on 17 Oct 2026 at Pride Park.

Additional Information

Derby

Top Scorers

S. SzmodicsAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

C. MorrisAttacker
1Assists

Cards

A. MowattMidfielder
10
R. BrewsterAttacker
10
S. LangåsDefender
10
Stoke City

Top Scorers

E. BocatDefender
1Goals

Top Assists

T. RigoMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

L. GrahamDefender
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Derby
DLLLW
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.8
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.1
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

19 SepDat Burnley1-1
12 SepLvs Birmingham1-2
9 SepLvs West Brom0-1
5 SepLat West Ham0-3
1 SepWat Portsmouth2-0
Stoke City
WWDWW
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

19 SepWvs Sheffield Utd2-1
12 SepWat Watford2-1
8 SepDat Cardiff1-1
5 SepWvs Charlton4-0
1 SepWvs Norwich1-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches13
Average Goals2.23
BTTS46%
Over 2.5 Goals54%
Over 1.5 Goals69%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Derby151.15 per game
Stoke City141.08 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Derby5 (38%)
Stoke City5 (38%)
6 Apr 2026 Championship Derby 2-0 Stoke City
9 Aug 2025 Championship Stoke City 3-1 Derby
3 May 2025 Championship Derby 0-0 Stoke City
2 Nov 2024 Championship Stoke City 2-1 Derby
30 Dec 2021 Championship Stoke City 1-2 Derby
18 Sep 2021 Championship Derby 2-1 Stoke City
20 Mar 2021 Championship Stoke City 1-0 Derby
12 Dec 2020 Championship Derby 0-0 Stoke City
31 Jan 2020 Championship Derby 4-0 Stoke City
17 Aug 2019 Championship Stoke City 2-2 Derby
13 Mar 2019 Championship Derby 0-0 Stoke City
28 Nov 2018 Championship Stoke City 2-1 Derby
28 Jan 2012 FA Cup Derby 0-2 Stoke City

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