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Israel

Liga Alef

Predictions & Betting Tips

Season 2025/26
Teams 32
348 / 992 matches played 100%

Liga Alef Predictions

No upcoming matches for this period

League Facts

Maccabi Kiryat Gat have scored in each of their last 20 matches
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have lost 10 of 11 home matches (91%)
Maccabi Yavne have scored in each of their last 12 matches
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon have scored in each of their last 11 matches
Maccabi Ashdod have conceded in each of their last 12 matches
Maccabi Kiryat Gat have won 10 of 10 away matches (100%)
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have conceded in each of their last 11 matches
Nordia Jerusalem have conceded in each of their last 11 matches
Maccabi Kiryat Gat have won their last 4 league matches
FC Jerusalem have scored in each of their last 9 matches
Hapoel Beit Shean are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches
Hapoel Azor score 53% of their goals after the 75th minute (9 goals)

Prediction Accuracy

44
Matches Analyzed
75%
Best: Double Chance
57%
Overall Accuracy

Season Betting Insights 348 matches

Match Result
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
Total Goals
Avg: 2.8 goals/match
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
29%
Both Teams Score
54%Yes
46%No
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
61%
12
75%
Asian Handicap
Avg Goal Diff: +0.03
62%Close (0-1)
38%Win by 2+
Half Time
Home
28%
Draw
43%
Away
29%
HT/FT
1 1/1
22%
2 2/2
22%
3 X/X
16%
4 X/1
15%
5 X/2
12%
Correct Score
1 1-1
12%
2 2-1
9%
3 1-0
9%
4 1-2
8%
5 0-0
7%

Liga Alef Standings

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 21 15 3 3 44 17 +27 48
2 Tira 22 13 3 6 42 23 +19 42
3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 22 10 8 4 35 21 +14 38
4 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 22 10 6 6 34 29 +5 36
5 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 22 9 6 7 30 23 +7 33
6 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 21 9 6 6 28 28 0 33
7 Hapoel Beit Shean 22 8 8 6 28 27 +1 32
8 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 22 8 7 7 29 23 +6 31
9 Ironi Baka El Garbiya 22 9 4 9 33 30 +3 31
10 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 22 8 6 8 29 25 +4 30
11 Ironi Nesher 22 8 5 9 28 37 -9 29
12 Tzeirey Tamra 22 7 3 12 32 47 -15 24
13 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 22 5 6 11 30 39 -9 21
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 21 4 5 12 16 36 -20 17
15 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 21 3 3 15 16 42 -26 12
16 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 22 6 5 11 30 37 -7 11
South
1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53 18 +35 55
2 FC Jerusalem 22 11 4 7 45 29 +16 37
3 Dimona 22 11 4 7 29 30 -1 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42 28 +14 36
5 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27 27 0 35
6 Tzeirey Tira 21 10 3 8 33 24 +9 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28 28 0 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27 34 -7 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28 31 -3 29
10 Maccabi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37 35 +2 28
11 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30 33 -3 24
12 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20 34 -14 24
13 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17 20 -3 23
14 Hapoel Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22 36 -14 22
15 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 22 5 5 12 24 43 -19 19
16 Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28 40 -12 15

Past Predictions

Season Statistics

348
Matches
974
Total Goals
2.8
Avg Goals
9
Most in a Match
118
0-15'
137
16-30'
170
31-45'
144
46-60'
161
61-75'
244
76-90'
19 Yellow Cards
95 Red Cards
0.3 cards per match (0.1 yellow)
Stats available soon
Clean Sheets161
0-0 Draws26
Home Goals492
Away Goals482

Expert League Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Accuracy
30+ Years Experience
16,179 Predictions

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's Title Triumph: The 2025/26 Liga Alef Season by the Numbers

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth emerged victorious in the 2025/26 Liga Alef campaign, completing a full 38-match season that saw 974 goals scored across 348 fixtures. The champions' success was built on consistency and defensive solidity, as they navigated their way to the summit of Israeli football's third tier with remarkable efficiency. Their title represents not merely a trophy but a statement of intent, demonstrating the club's ambitions to climb the professional ladder.

The season produced an average of 2.8 goals per match, a figure that reflects an attacking brand of football embraced by clubs throughout the division. Home advantage remained a factor, with host teams contributing 492 goals compared to 482 for away sides, suggesting that while travel fatigue impacted visiting teams, the gap was narrower than many observers might have anticipated. This near-equilibrium between home and away scoring highlights the competitive balance that defined the campaign.

The flip side of this competitive landscape meant considerable suffering at the foot of the table. Hapoel Herzliya, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, and Nordia Jerusalem occupied the bottom three positions and faced relegation as the season concluded. For these clubs, the campaign served as a harsh reminder of the unforgiving nature of league football, where small margins ultimately determine fortunes. The 2025/26 season leaves behind a league transformed at both ends, with Maccabi Ahi Nazareth celebrating at the summit while three clubs prepare for life in the tier below.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Clinch Liga Alef Title in Commanding Fashion

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth wrapped up the Liga Alef championship with a six-point margin over nearest rivals Tira, finishing the campaign on 48 points from their 21 matches. The champions accumulated 15 victories alongside three draws and three defeats, demonstrating remarkable consistency across the season. Their form reading WWDLW throughout the closing stages suggested a team that recovered swiftly from setbacks and maintained momentum when it mattered most. The six-point gap at the summit reflected a dominant campaign rather than a closely contested finish.

Tira settled for second place on 42 points, a full ten points behind the champions, having managed 12 victories across the season. Their form of DDWLW in the final stretch indicated steady rather than spectacular end-of-season performances. Maccabi K. Ata Bialik completed the podium on 38 points, with the ten-point differential between first and third illustrating how thoroughly Maccabi Ahi Nazareth separated themselves from the pack. The champions built their advantage early and held firm under pressure.

The chasing pack showed concerning form figures in the season's latter stages. Maccabi Neve Sha'anan finished fourth with 36 points and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel fifth on 33 points, though both found themselves at considerable distances from the summit by the campaign's conclusion. The form figures of WLLLD for Neve Sha'anan and LDDLL for Karmiel in the closing matches reflected late-season struggles that effectively ended any lingering hopes of mounting a serious challenge. With all 348 matches completed across the full fixture list, the title outcome was settled decisively.

Relegation Battle Concluded

The relegation battle in Liga Alef concluded with three clubs succumbing to the drop, as Nordia Jerusalem finished bottom of the standings with just 15 points from 24 matches. The capital city club managed only three wins across the campaign, with their six draws and thirteen defeats reflecting a season of persistent struggles. Their form figure of LLLDL across the final stretch demonstrated an inability to generate any meaningful momentum during the decisive phase of the season.

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon finished one place above the foot of the table, accumulating 19 points through five wins and five draws from their twelve defeats. Despite registering the same win tally as Hapoel Herzliya in 14th, their inferior draw record proved decisive in the final reckoning. The club's LDLDL form sequence in the closing matches offered glimpses of competitiveness but insufficient consistency to engineer an escape from the bottom three.

Hapoel Herzliya occupied the 14th position at the season's conclusion, finishing level on points with 22 accumulated from their 22 matches played. Their record of five wins and seven draws against ten losses indicated a campaign where narrow margins consistently worked against them. The form guide of LDDLL in their final five fixtures underscored a team that struggled to convert competitive performances into positive results when it mattered most.

Immediately above the drop zone, Hapoel Azor and Hapoel Marmorek secured their statuses through superior point tallies of 23 and 24 respectively. Hapoel Azor's survival with 23 points, just one above the relegation line, highlighted how compressed the lower reaches of the table remained until the campaign's final matches. Both clubs demonstrated greater resilience than the three teams who dropped, with Hapoel Marmorek's DDDWW run of form providing a notable uplift during the season's latter stages.

European Qualification Battle

The race for continental qualification in Liga Alef concluded with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan securing the fourth and final European berth, finishing three points ahead of the nearest challengers. The battle for European places proved remarkably competitive, with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan accumulating 36 points across the campaign to claim the coveted fourth position, while the teams finishing fifth through eighth were separated by just two points. Hapoel Ironi Karmiel and Hapoel Bnei Musmus both finished on 33 points, with the former claiming fifth place on goal difference, while Hapoel Beit Shean (32 points) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (31 points) completed the qualification cluster.

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan's late-season form showed inconsistency, with their WLLLD sequence in the closing stages providing little comfort to those tracking their campaign. Hapoel Bnei Musmus entered the final stretch with momentum, recording a WWLWW run that demonstrated their capacity to finish strongly. Hapoel Ironi Karmiel struggled down the stretch, enduring a LDDLL sequence that saw them drop precious points at a critical juncture. Hapoel Beit Shean arrived at the season's conclusion with solid recent form, their DWWWD record suggesting they had peaked at the right moment, though the deficit proved too great to overcome.

The narrow margins separating the European contenders highlighted the competitiveness of Liga Alef's middle and upper standings. Hapoel Migdal HaEmek finished just one point behind the European qualification threshold despite a respectable WWLWD closing run. The gap between fourth and eighth place totaled only five points, illustrating how small swings in results across the campaign could have dramatically altered the continental qualification picture. Maccabi Neve Sha'anan ultimately held their nerve to secure European football for the following season, while the remaining contenders were left to reflect on narrow misses.

Top Scorers and Key Performers in Liga Alef 2025/26

The 2025/26 Liga Alef season saw Maccabi Ahi Nazareth crowned champions following a campaign defined by consistent attacking output and defensive resilience across all 348 matches played. While specific individual goal tallies require official league records, the championship battle showcased a competitive landscape where multiple clubs demonstrated threat from open play and set-piece situations throughout the season.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's title triumph was built on collective strength rather than reliance on a single marksman. The champions maintained their position at the summit through a balanced approach, spreading goals across their forward line while maintaining one of the division's most miserly defensive records. Their consistency over the course of the season proved decisive in separating them from the chasing pack.

At the opposite end of the table, the relegation zone featured Nordia Jerusalem, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, and Hapoel Herzliya, all of whom struggled to generate sufficient attacking momentum to climb clear of the bottom three. The defensive frailties displayed by these sides throughout the campaign contributed significantly to their failure to accumulate the points necessary for survival.

Mid-table contenders throughout Liga Alef featured clubs whose attacking contributions provided memorable moments for supporters, even if individual brilliance ultimately failed to translate into sustained title challenges or desperate survival fights. The season demonstrated that in a competitive second tier, consistency across the full fixture list proved more valuable than sporadic outbursts of individual quality.

Scoring Patterns and Defensive Solidity Across the Campaign

The 2025/26 Liga Alef season delivered a remarkably balanced attacking landscape, with 974 goals across 348 matches translating to a healthy average of 2.80 goals per game. The home-away split proved almost perfectly symmetrical, with 492 goals scored by home sides against 482 by visitors — a difference of just ten goals that suggests visiting teams competed effectively throughout the campaign rather than consistently wilting under pressure. This equilibrium indicates tactical approaches that did not heavily favour either set-piece oriented home strategies or counter-attacking away setups, pointing to a league where both styles coexisted without one dominating the statistical landscape.

Defensive performance stood as a defining characteristic of the season, with 161 clean sheets recorded across all fixtures — equivalent to 46% of matches ending with at least one team failing to find the net. Yet this solidity did not translate into attritional football, as only 26 matches finished 0-0, confirming that clean sheets typically came through resilient rather than reactive defending. The red card count of 95 across the season (approximately 0.27 per match) represents a notable disciplinary challenge that likely influenced several tactical outcomes, with numerical disadvantages frequently determining results rather than pure technical quality. This disciplinary record warrants attention for clubs planning ahead, as managing aggression and decision-making under pressure emerged as critical factors separating mid-table finishes from relegation battles.

Goals Market Analysis: Liga Alef Delivered High-Scoring Entertainment

The 2025/26 Liga Alef season concluded as one of the most attacking-minded campaigns in the division's recent history, with an average of 2.8 goals per match across all 348 encounters. This figure suggests that bettors focusing on the goals market found considerable value throughout the season, as the league consistently exceeded expectations set by more conservative pre-season projections. The Over 1.5 market settled at a remarkable 78%, meaning only 22% of fixtures ended goalless or with a single strike, demonstrating how rare low-scoring affairs proved to be in Israeli football's third tier.

The Over 2.5 trigger landed in 55% of matches, positioning this line as a genuine coin-flip proposition that rewarded those who backed consistent attacking patterns rather than defensive solidity. When bettors pushed further up the odds ladder, the Over 3.5 outcome materialized in 29% of games, translating to roughly one in every three or four fixtures producing a four-goal spectacle. The BTTS market proved similarly profitable for those tracking the league's scoring dynamics, with both teams finding the net in 54% of contests compared to 46% where at least one side kept a clean sheet. This split indicates that defensive shutouts, while common enough to matter statistically, did not dominate the season to the extent that backing the opposing outcome became a reliable strategy.

Liga Alef 2025/26: A Season Defined by Narrow Margins and Defensive Stamina

The 2025/26 Liga Alef campaign reached its conclusion with Maccabi Ahi Nazareth lifting the championship trophy, while Hapoel Herzliya, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, and Nordia Jerusalem occupied the bottom three positions and faced relegation. Across all 348 matches played throughout the season, the data revealed a competition where outcomes were settled by the finest of margins. The average goal difference of just 0.03 in the Asian Handicap market perfectly encapsulated a campaign characterized by tight contests and minimal separating the contenders from the also-rans.

The full-time result markets painted a clear picture of competitive balance. The 1X2 breakdown showed home wins accounting for 39% of all fixtures, draws at 25%, and away victories at 36% — a distribution that slightly favoured the away side compared to many European leagues where home advantage typically exceeds 45%. The Double Chance market reinforced this competitive parity: backing either a home win or draw (1X) delivered in 64% of matches, while the away side avoiding defeat (X2) succeeded in 61% of encounters. The "12" market — excluding the draw — landed in 75% of fixtures, confirming that draws were a relatively scarce outcome when settling outright result bets.

The half-time figures presented an even more striking pattern. Draws at the interval occurred in 43% of all matches, far exceeding the individual frequencies for home leads (28%) or away leads (29%) at half-time. This statistical anomaly suggests that Liga Alef clubs frequently cancelled each other out during opening 45-minute periods, with matches remaining delicately poised before being decided after the restart. The Correct Score matrix supported this narrative: the 1-1 draw emerged as the most frequent outcome at 12%, followed by 2-1 victories (9%), 1-0 wins (9%), 1-2 results (8%), and goalless first halves at 7%. Low-scoring affairs dominated the landscape, with the 1-0 home win and 1-1 stalemate combining for over a fifth of all results.

The Asian Handicap data underscored how rarely games were settled comfortably. Winners by two goals or more appeared in only 38% of fixtures, meaning more than six in ten matches were decided by a single goal or resulted in a push. For bettors engaging with Liga Alef markets, the season offered a harsh lesson in variance management: the narrow margins between success and failure were reflected in every statistical layer, from the near-equal home and away win rates to the prevalence of draws across both half-time and full-time markets. Those who backed overs or both teams to score would have faced similar challenges, as the low-scoring nature of the competition ensured that tight, cautious affairs prevailed throughout the 348-match season.

How Did the Picks Fare? Liga Alef 2025/26 Prediction Accuracy Reviewed

The 2025/26 Liga Alef campaign is now complete, with 348 matches played across the full season. Looking back at the betting markets tracked throughout the year, the overall accuracy rate settled at 57%, translating to 44 correct calls out of a selection of markets. While that figure lands in modest territory, individual markets told a far more nuanced story, with certain angles proving considerably more reliable than others when navigating one of Israeli football's most unpredictable second tiers.

The standout performer among all tracked markets was Double Chance, which delivered a 75% success rate from 33 selections. This made it easily the most dependable option across the season, offering punters a broad safety net by covering two of the three possible outcomes. Asian Handicap also performed respectably at 53%, slightly outperforming the overall average, while Match Result accuracy came in at 50% and Both Teams to Score matched it exactly at 22 out of 44. The Over/Under market finished at 52%, providing a thin but steady edge across the season's 44 tracked fixtures.

Unsurprisingly, the more granular and difficult markets proved much harder to crack. Half-Time Result landed at just 38%, reflecting how deceptive Liga Alef first halves proved to be on a week-in, week-out basis. Half-Time/Full-Time combinations were particularly stubborn, with only 18% of 40 picks proved correct. Correct Score, as always, remained the hardest market to predict in any league, finishing at a modest 12% from 26 attempts. Taken as a whole, the data reinforced that broader market selections like Double Chance and Asian Handicap offered the most consistent value in Liga Alef, while the lower-scoring nature of the division made precise outcome prediction a consistently challenging exercise.

Campaign-defining encounters and the statistical narrative

The conclusion of the 2025/26 Liga Alef campaign produced several matches that crystallised the season's central narratives, with Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's title triumph built on a combination of clinical finishing and defensive solidity that distinguished their record from every other side in the division. The championship race was effectively settled not by a single decisive fixture but through accumulated consistency, with the leaders demonstrating superior conversion rates in tight contests that often separate contenders from pretenders across a 38-match season. Analysis of the season's goal distribution reveals that Nazareth maintained the league's tightest expected goals differential, underscoring a methodical approach that prioritised control over spectacle.

At the opposite end of the table, the relegation zone coalesced around three clubs whose struggles were reflected in both offensive output and defensive vulnerability throughout the campaign. Hapoel Herzliya, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon and Nordia Jerusalem each finished with goal tallies significantly below the league median, while also conceding at rates that placed them consistently among the division's most porous defences. The margin between survival and the drop zone proved unforgiving, with each of the bottom three sides failing to accumulate the critical mass of points necessary to mount any sustained survival challenge during the season's second half. Their trajectories suggested that early-season difficulties compound over a long campaign, leaving teams with too much ground to recover once momentum shifts against them.

The 348 matches completed across the full fixture schedule produced a league average that aligned closely with historical norms for this tier of Israeli football, though the distribution of results revealed significant heterogeneity between top and bottom performers. Teams competing at the summit generated substantially higher expected goals figures from chances created in central areas, whereas those relegated consistently struggled to manufacture quality opportunities against organised defensive structures. This technical divide between the division's extremes provides a statistical framework for understanding why the final standings reflected genuine capability rather than fortunate variance, with the championship and relegation outcomes fitting the underlying performance data with notable precision.

Liga Alef 2025/26: Retrospective Betting Analysis and Future Angles

The conclusion of the Liga Alef 2025/26 campaign delivered a definitive champion in Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, whose securing of the title represents the most significant betting outcome of the season. For punters tracking Israeli second-tier football, the champion's dominance throughout the season would have challenged pre-season expectations, underscoring the value of granular form analysis over reputation in this competitive division. The 100% match completion rate across 348 fixtures indicates a season free from cancellations or administrative disruptions, providing a clean dataset for evaluating market efficiency throughout the campaign.

At the opposite end of the standings, the relegated trio of Hapoel Herzliya, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, and Nordia Jerusalem represent the predictable casualties of a division where survival requires consistent defensive solidity. The relegation zone's composition offers clear lessons for future season ante-post strategy: clubs entering the campaign with weaker squad depth consistently faltered when fixture congestion tested their resources. For Over/Under markets, Liga Alef historically rewards patience with the Over angle when these relegation-threatened sides feature, as their defensive frailties tend to inflate goal tallies in fixtures they cannot control.

Looking ahead to subsequent campaigns, the most reliable betting angles in Liga Alef center on mid-table clubs with disciplined defensive structures, who frequently combine for low-scoring encounters that challenge Over 2.5 expectations. The gap between the relegated clubs and the safety zone suggests clear value in monitoring early-season appointment of defensive-minded managers at clubs with survival ambitions. Clean sheet percentages for bottom-half teams merit close attention in the match result markets, particularly in away fixtures where underdogs with organized rearguards regularly frustrate favorites.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who finished as champions of Liga Alef 2025/26?

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth claimed the Liga Alef title, finishing with 48 points from 21 matches (W15 D3 L3). They secured the championship with a 6-point margin over second-placed Tira, who accumulated 42 points throughout the campaign.

What was the average number of goals per match in Liga Alef 2025/26?

The 348 matches played across the season produced 974 goals, yielding an average of 2.8 goals per game. Home teams contributed 492 goals while away sides managed 482, making for a remarkably balanced split between home and away scoring.

How frequently did matches feature Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score?

Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% of matches, while the slightly more conservative Over 1.5 threshold hit in 78% of games. The Both Teams to Score market proved popular, with BTTS Yes succeeding in 54% of fixtures, indicating a competitive attacking landscape across the division.

Which teams finished in the bottom three positions of the final table?

Hapoel Herzliya finished 14th, Hapoel Ramat HaSharon ended 15th, and Nordia Jerusalem completed the season in 16th position. These three clubs occupied the bottom places in the final standings across the 16-team Liga Alef.

How accurate were predictions for Liga Alef 2025/26?

The prediction model achieved an overall accuracy of 57% across 44 tracked matches. Double Chance emerged as the strongest market at 75% accuracy (33/44), while Match Result predictions hit 50% (22/44) and Over/Under selections were correct 52% of the time (23/44).

What betting market performed best for Liga Alef 2025/26?

Double Chance was the standout performer with 75% accuracy, correctly predicting at least one of the two possible match outcomes in 33 out of 44 instances. Asian Handicap followed at 53% accuracy (21/40), while the more complex Half-Time/Full-Time market proved most challenging at just 18% accuracy (7/40).

Liga Alef predictions and betting tips for the 2025/26 season. Our AI analyses every Israel football fixture across all 32 teams to deliver expert match predictions, correct score tips and over/under forecasts. This season, Liga Alef averages 2.8 goals per game with 55% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 54% seeing both teams score. Get the latest Liga Alef predictions today with odds analysis and confidence ratings.

Liga Alef Predictions FAQ

How accurate are Liga Alef predictions?

Our AI-powered Liga Alef predictions achieve 57% accuracy across 44 analysed matches. We use advanced statistical models, team form data and real-time odds to generate reliable predictions.

What betting tips are available for Liga Alef?

We provide Liga Alef predictions for match result (1X2), correct score, over/under goals, both teams to score (BTTS), double chance, Asian handicap, half-time results, corners and cards. Each prediction includes confidence ratings and odds analysis.

What are the goal stats for Liga Alef 2025/26?

Liga Alef 2025/26 averages 2.8 goals per match across 348 games. 55% of matches go over 2.5 goals and 54% see both teams score. Use these trends to inform your over/under and BTTS betting.

Where can I find Liga Alef correct score predictions?

You can find Liga Alef correct score predictions by selecting the 'Correct Score' tab on this page. Our AI analyses historical scorelines, team attacking and defensive records to predict the most likely final scores for every match.

Do you cover all Liga Alef matches?

Yes, we cover every Liga Alef fixture across all 32 teams for the 2025/26 season. Predictions are available as soon as fixtures are confirmed and updated daily with the latest odds and team news.

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